IT
Kotak Mahindra AMC - Kotak IT
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Kotak Mahindra AMC - Kotak IT (IT) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is IT a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 47/100.
On the numbers, Kotak Mahindra AMC - Kotak IT (IT) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 47/100, weighing a 28% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
IT share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of IT history (-10%/yr drift, 22%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| IT 2027 | ₹20 | ₹27 | ₹35 | -12% |
| IT 2028 | ₹15 | ₹23 | ₹36 | -23% |
| IT 2029 | ₹12 | ₹21 | ₹34 | -32% |
| IT 2030 | ₹10 | ₹18 | ₹33 | -41% |
| IT 2031 | ₹8 | ₹16 | ₹31 | -48% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability IT goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for IT
- Relatively low volatility (22%/yr), a steadier ride than the typical mid/small-cap.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹34.
The bear case & risks
- The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 28% chance of finishing above today's price.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹12.
IT volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years IT compounded at -10%/year with annualized volatility of 22%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹20–₹35, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
IT price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
IT price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds IT hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the IT price target & forecast page.
IT MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy IT with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| UpstoxCHEAPEST | 27.1% | 3.7× |
Compare every broker on the IT MTF page.
IT vs peers,sector comparison
About Kotak Mahindra AMC - Kotak IT: sector, index & market-cap context
Kotak Mahindra AMC - Kotak IT (IT) is an NSE-listed company.
How the IT Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Kotak Mahindra AMC - Kotak IT's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
IT analysis, FAQs
Is Kotak Mahindra AMC - Kotak IT (IT) a good buy?
On the numbers, Kotak Mahindra AMC - Kotak IT (IT) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 47/100, weighing a 28% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is IT overvalued or undervalued?
Valuation ratios for IT are tracked live on Downstox.
What is the IT share price target for 2031?
IT's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹16, with an 80% range of ₹8–₹31 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability IT doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of IT reaching ₹61 (2×) within 5 years is 0%.
What is the bull case for IT?
Relatively low volatility (22%/yr), a steadier ride than the typical mid/small-cap.
What are the risks in IT?
The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 28% chance of finishing above today's price.