Case study

ITBEES

NIP ETF IT

Mixed signals1y model -12.0%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

0Score

NIP ETF IT (ITBEES) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is ITBEES a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 47/100.

On the numbers, NIP ETF IT (ITBEES) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 47/100, weighing a 28% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 20272031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

ITBEES share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of ITBEES history (-11%/yr drift, 22%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
ITBEES 2027₹20₹27₹36-12%
ITBEES 2028₹15₹23₹35-23%
ITBEES 2029₹12₹21₹34-33%
ITBEES 2030₹10₹18₹32-41%
ITBEES 2031₹8₹16₹30-48%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability ITBEES goes up, or doubles?

28%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
10%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
0%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹61 within 5 years

The bull case for ITBEES

  • Relatively low volatility (22%/yr), a steadier ride than the typical mid/small-cap.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹34.

The bear case & risks

  • The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 28% chance of finishing above today's price.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹12.

ITBEES volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 2.0 years ITBEES compounded at -11%/year with annualized volatility of 22%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹20₹36, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

ITBEES price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 2.0 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
12.0%
80% range₹20–₹36
P(price ↑)28%
P(price 2×)0%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
32.6%
80% range₹12–₹34
P(price ↑)15%
P(price 2×)0%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
47.9%
80% range₹8–₹30
P(price ↑)10%
P(price 2×)0%

ITBEES price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
ITBEES simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10–P90 (80%)P25–P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds ITBEES hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the ITBEES price target & forecast page.

ITBEES MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy ITBEES with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
UpstoxCHEAPEST27.0%3.7×
ZerodhaCHEAPEST27.0%3.7×
DhanCHEAPEST27.0%3.7×

Compare every broker on the ITBEES MTF page.

ITBEES vs peers,sector comparison

StockP/EDiv yieldMarket cap
ITBEES (this stock)
RELIANCE23.1×0.45%₹17.95L Cr
TCS14.7×3.01%₹7.69L Cr
HDFCBANK15.9×1.65%₹12.11L Cr
INFY14.4×4.51%₹4.32L Cr
ICICIBANK17.9×0.81%₹9.70L Cr
SBIN11.5×1.67%₹9.61L Cr

About NIP ETF IT: sector, index & market-cap context

NIP ETF IT (ITBEES) is an NSE-listed company.

How the ITBEES Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of NIP ETF IT's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

ITBEES analysis, FAQs

Is NIP ETF IT (ITBEES) a good buy?

On the numbers, NIP ETF IT (ITBEES) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 47/100, weighing a 28% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is ITBEES overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation ratios for ITBEES are tracked live on Downstox.

What is the ITBEES share price target for 2031?

ITBEES's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹16, with an 80% range of ₹8₹30 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability ITBEES doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of ITBEES reaching ₹61 (2×) within 5 years is 0%.

What is the bull case for ITBEES?

Relatively low volatility (22%/yr), a steadier ride than the typical mid/small-cap.

What are the risks in ITBEES?

The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 28% chance of finishing above today's price.

More on ITBEES