ITCHOTELS
ITC HOTELS LIMITED
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
ITC HOTELS LIMITED (ITCHOTELS) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is ITCHOTELS a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
ITC HOTELS LIMITED (ITCHOTELS) trades at ₹177,on the numbers it high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 27/100.
On the numbers, ITC HOTELS LIMITED (ITCHOTELS) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 27/100, weighing expensive at 42.1× earnings, ROE of 7.8%, a 42% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
ITCHOTELS fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is ITCHOTELS overvalued? ITCHOTELS P/E vs its sector
ITCHOTELS's P/E of 42.1× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 0.57% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.65%.
ITCHOTELS share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 1.4y of ITCHOTELS history (-0%/yr drift, 34%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ITCHOTELS 2027 | ₹104 | ₹160 | ₹246 | -6% |
| ITCHOTELS 2028 | ₹82 | ₹150 | ₹279 | -12% |
| ITCHOTELS 2029 | ₹67 | ₹141 | ₹299 | -17% |
| ITCHOTELS 2030 | ₹56 | ₹134 | ₹316 | -22% |
| ITCHOTELS 2031 | ₹48 | ₹126 | ₹334 | -26% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability ITCHOTELS goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for ITCHOTELS
- ITC HOTELS LIMITED is part of the nifty100 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹299.
The bear case & risks
- A rich 42.1× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows.
- Return on equity is a soft 7.8%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers.
- The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 42% chance of finishing above today's price.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹67.
ITCHOTELS volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 1.4 years ITCHOTELS compounded at -0%/year with annualized volatility of 34%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹104–₹246, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
ITCHOTELS price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
ITCHOTELS price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds ITCHOTELS hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the ITCHOTELS price target & forecast page.
ITCHOTELS Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. ITCHOTELS scores 4/9,mixed financial health.
ITCHOTELS MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy ITCHOTELS with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| UpstoxCHEAPEST | 29.3% | 3.4× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 29.3% | 3.4× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 29.3% | 3.4× |
Compare every broker on the ITCHOTELS MTF page.
ITCHOTELS vs peers,sector comparison
About ITC HOTELS LIMITED: sector, index & market-cap context
ITC HOTELS LIMITED (ITCHOTELS) is a mid-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 100 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹36,850 Cr. See more Nifty 100 stocks.
How the ITCHOTELS Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of ITC HOTELS LIMITED's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
ITCHOTELS analysis, FAQs
Is ITC HOTELS LIMITED (ITCHOTELS) a good buy?
On the numbers, ITC HOTELS LIMITED (ITCHOTELS) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 27/100, weighing expensive at 42.1× earnings, ROE of 7.8%, a 42% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is ITCHOTELS overvalued or undervalued?
ITCHOTELS trades at 42.1× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.
What is the ITCHOTELS share price target for 2031?
ITCHOTELS's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹126, with an 80% range of ₹48–₹334 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability ITCHOTELS doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of ITCHOTELS reaching ₹342 (2×) within 5 years is 9%.
What is the bull case for ITCHOTELS?
ITC HOTELS LIMITED is part of the nifty100 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
What are the risks in ITCHOTELS?
A rich 42.1× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows. Return on equity is a soft 7.8%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers. The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 42% chance of finishing above today's price.