Case study

ITCHOTELS

ITC HOTELS LIMITED

Tread carefully1y model +4.7%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

39Score

ITC HOTELS LIMITED (ITCHOTELS) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is ITCHOTELS a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

ITC HOTELS LIMITED (ITCHOTELS) trades at ₹171,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 39/100.

On the numbers, ITC HOTELS LIMITED (ITCHOTELS) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 39/100, weighing premium at 38.6× earnings, ROE of 7.9%, a 56% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

ITCHOTELS fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹35,546 Cr
Current price
₹171
P/E ratio
38.6×
P/B ratio
3.05×
Book value
₹56
Dividend yield
0.59%
ROCE
11.2%
ROE
7.9%
Piotroski F-Score
5/8

How ITCHOTELS ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

We do not hold a 3-year revenue growth figure for ITCHOTELS, as of 9 Aug 2026, so it is not ranked here.

Is ITCHOTELS overvalued? ITCHOTELS P/E vs peers

ITCHOTELS trades at 38.6× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

ITCHOTELS share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 1.5y of ITCHOTELS history (-0%/yr drift, 34%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
ITCHOTELS 2027₹116₹179₹275+5%
ITCHOTELS 2028₹103₹187₹340+10%
ITCHOTELS 2029₹94₹196₹410+15%
ITCHOTELS 2030₹87₹205₹483+20%
ITCHOTELS 2031₹83₹215₹555+26%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability ITCHOTELS goes up, or doubles?

56%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
63%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
26%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹341 within 5 years

The bull case for ITCHOTELS

  • ITC HOTELS LIMITED is part of the nifty100 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹410.

The bear case & risks

  • ITCHOTELS's P/E of 38.6x is lower than 35% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • ITCHOTELS's return on equity of 7.9% ranks in the 40th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹94.

ITCHOTELS volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 1.5 years ITCHOTELS compounded at -0%/year with annualized volatility of 34%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹116-₹275, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

ITCHOTELS price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 1.5 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
4.7%
80% range₹116-₹275
P(price ↑)56%
P(price 2×)3%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
14.8%
80% range₹94-₹410
P(price ↑)59%
P(price 2×)17%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
25.9%
80% range₹83-₹555
P(price ↑)63%
P(price 2×)26%

ITCHOTELS price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
ITCHOTELS simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds ITCHOTELS hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the ITCHOTELS price target & forecast page.

ITCHOTELS Piotroski F-Score: 5/8, how financially strong is it?

5/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. ITCHOTELS scores 5/8, mixed financial health.

ITCHOTELS MTF margin & leverage across 10 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy ITCHOTELS with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 10 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox29.73%3.4×
ZerodhaCHEAPEST29.70%3.4×
Groww29.78%3.4×
Dhan29.70%3.4×
Kotak Neo29.76%3.4×
Paytm Money29.73%3.4×
Pocketful29.78%3.4×
Anand RathiCHEAPEST29.70%3.4×
Bajaj Broking30.00%3.3×
Share India29.77%3.4×

Compare every broker on the ITCHOTELS MTF page.

About ITC HOTELS LIMITED: sector, index & market-cap context

ITC HOTELS LIMITED (ITCHOTELS) is a mid-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index, with a market capitalisation of ₹35,546 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the ITCHOTELS Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of ITC HOTELS LIMITED's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

ITCHOTELS analysis, FAQs

Is ITC HOTELS LIMITED (ITCHOTELS) a good buy?

On the numbers, ITC HOTELS LIMITED (ITCHOTELS) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 39/100, weighing premium at 38.6× earnings, ROE of 7.9%, a 56% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is ITCHOTELS overvalued or undervalued?

ITCHOTELS trades at 38.6× earnings, premium versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the ITCHOTELS share price target for 2031?

ITCHOTELS's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹215, with an 80% range of ₹83-₹555 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability ITCHOTELS doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of ITCHOTELS reaching ₹341 (2×) within 5 years is 26%.

What is the bull case for ITCHOTELS?

ITC HOTELS LIMITED is part of the nifty100 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.

What are the risks in ITCHOTELS?

ITCHOTELS's P/E of 38.6x is lower than 35% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. ITCHOTELS's return on equity of 7.9% ranks in the 40th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

More on ITCHOTELS