ITDC
India Tourism Development Corp
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
India Tourism Development Corp (ITDC) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is ITDC a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 39/100.
On the numbers, India Tourism Development Corp (ITDC) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 39/100, weighing a 30% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
ITDC share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of ITDC history (-14%/yr drift, 51%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ITDC 2027 | ₹245 | ₹475 | ₹914 | -23% |
| ITDC 2028 | ₹143 | ₹360 | ₹918 | -42% |
| ITDC 2029 | ₹87 | ₹273 | ₹872 | -56% |
| ITDC 2030 | ₹55 | ₹208 | ₹758 | -66% |
| ITDC 2031 | ₹36 | ₹158 | ₹672 | -74% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability ITDC goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for ITDC
- India Tourism Development Corp is part of the NSE universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹872.
The bear case & risks
- The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 30% chance of finishing above today's price.
- High historical volatility (51%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹87.
ITDC volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years ITDC compounded at -14%/year with annualized volatility of 51%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹245–₹914, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
ITDC price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
ITDC price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds ITDC hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the ITDC price target & forecast page.
ITDC MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy ITDC with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| UpstoxCHEAPEST | 40.1% | 2.5× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 40.1% | 2.5× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 40.1% | 2.5× |
Compare every broker on the ITDC MTF page.
ITDC vs peers,sector comparison
About India Tourism Development Corp: sector, index & market-cap context
India Tourism Development Corp (ITDC) is an NSE-listed company.
How the ITDC Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of India Tourism Development Corp's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
ITDC analysis, FAQs
Is India Tourism Development Corp (ITDC) a good buy?
On the numbers, India Tourism Development Corp (ITDC) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 39/100, weighing a 30% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is ITDC overvalued or undervalued?
Valuation ratios for ITDC are tracked live on Downstox.
What is the ITDC share price target for 2031?
ITDC's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹158, with an 80% range of ₹36–₹672 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability ITDC doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of ITDC reaching ₹1,238 (2×) within 5 years is 3%.
What is the bull case for ITDC?
India Tourism Development Corp is part of the NSE universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
What are the risks in ITDC?
The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 30% chance of finishing above today's price. High historical volatility (51%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.