ITDC
India Tourism Development Corporation Limited
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
India Tourism Development Corporation Limited (ITDC) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is ITDC a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
India Tourism Development Corporation Limited (ITDC) trades at ₹702,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 47/100.
On the numbers, India Tourism Development Corporation Limited (ITDC) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 47/100, weighing expensive at 72.4× earnings, ROE of 21.1%, a 48% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
ITDC fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
How ITDC ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener
- ITDC's market cap of 6,019 Cr ranks in the 69th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- ITDC's book value of ₹49 ranks in the 33rd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- ITDC's promoter holding of 87.0% ranks in the top 1% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- ITDC's 3-year profit (PAT) growth of 12.0% ranks in the 45th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- ITDC's 3-year revenue growth of 5.0% ranks in the 35th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
We do not hold a debt-to-equity ratio figure for ITDC, as of 9 Aug 2026, so it is not ranked here.
Is ITDC overvalued? ITDC P/E vs peers
ITDC trades at 72.4× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.
ITDC share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.4y of ITDC history (13%/yr drift, 52%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ITDC 2027 | ₹353 | ₹688 | ₹1,341 | -2% |
| ITDC 2028 | ₹264 | ₹675 | ₹1,722 | -4% |
| ITDC 2029 | ₹207 | ₹662 | ₹2,113 | -6% |
| ITDC 2030 | ₹166 | ₹649 | ₹2,531 | -8% |
| ITDC 2031 | ₹143 | ₹636 | ₹2,835 | -9% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability ITDC goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for ITDC
- ITDC's return on equity of 21.1% ranks in the 86th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- ITDC's return on capital employed of 29.9% ranks in the 92nd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹2,113.
The bear case & risks
- ITDC's P/E of 72.4x is lower than 16% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- A steep 14.2× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.
- High historical volatility (52%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹207.
ITDC volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 9.4 years ITDC compounded at 13%/year with annualized volatility of 52%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹353-₹1,341, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
ITDC price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
ITDC price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds ITDC hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the ITDC price target & forecast page.
ITDC Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. ITDC scores 6/8, mixed financial health.
ITDC MTF margin & leverage across 11 brokers
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy ITDC with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 11 brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 41.47% | 2.4× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 41.41% | 2.4× |
| Groww | 60.00% | 1.7× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 41.41% | 2.4× |
| Kotak Neo | 100.00% | 1.0× |
| Paytm Money | 41.90% | 2.4× |
| Pocketful | 42.25% | 2.4× |
| Fyers | 41.67% | 2.4× |
| Anand RathiCHEAPEST | 41.41% | 2.4× |
| Bajaj Broking | 50.00% | 2.0× |
| Share India | 41.66% | 2.4× |
Compare every broker on the ITDC MTF page.
About India Tourism Development Corporation Limited: sector, index & market-cap context
India Tourism Development Corporation Limited (ITDC) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹6,019 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.
How the ITDC Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of India Tourism Development Corporation Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
ITDC analysis, FAQs
Is India Tourism Development Corporation Limited (ITDC) a good buy?
On the numbers, India Tourism Development Corporation Limited (ITDC) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 47/100, weighing expensive at 72.4× earnings, ROE of 21.1%, a 48% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is ITDC overvalued or undervalued?
ITDC trades at 72.4× earnings, expensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.
What is the ITDC share price target for 2031?
ITDC's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹636, with an 80% range of ₹143-₹2,835 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability ITDC doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of ITDC reaching ₹1,404 (2×) within 5 years is 25%.
What is the bull case for ITDC?
ITDC's return on equity of 21.1% ranks in the 86th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. ITDC's return on capital employed of 29.9% ranks in the 92nd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
What are the risks in ITDC?
ITDC's P/E of 72.4x is lower than 16% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. A steep 14.2× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books. High historical volatility (52%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.