ITI
Iti Limited
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Iti Limited (ITI) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is ITI a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Iti Limited (ITI) trades at ₹282,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 49/100.
On the numbers, Iti Limited (ITI) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 49/100, weighing fairly valued at 19.8× earnings, ROE of -8.9%, a 49% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
ITI fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
How ITI ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener
- ITI's market cap of 27,200 Cr ranks in the 87th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- ITI's book value of ₹20 ranks in the 18th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- ITI's promoter holding of 90.0% ranks in the top 1% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- ITI's 3-year profit (PAT) growth of 16.0% ranks in the 50th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- ITI's 3-year revenue growth of 16.0% ranks in the 65th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- ITI's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.40x is lower than 42% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
Is ITI overvalued? ITI P/E vs peers
ITI trades at 19.8× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.
ITI share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of ITI history (23%/yr drift, 51%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ITI 2027 | ₹146 | ₹280 | ₹536 | -1% |
| ITI 2028 | ₹110 | ₹277 | ₹696 | -2% |
| ITI 2029 | ₹90 | ₹275 | ₹842 | -3% |
| ITI 2030 | ₹75 | ₹272 | ₹996 | -4% |
| ITI 2031 | ₹64 | ₹270 | ₹1,141 | -4% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability ITI goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for ITI
- ITI's P/E of 19.8x is lower than 63% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹842.
The bear case & risks
- A steep 14.2× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.
- High historical volatility (51%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹90.
ITI volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 9.8 years ITI compounded at 23%/year with annualized volatility of 51%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹146-₹536, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
ITI price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
ITI price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds ITI hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the ITI price target & forecast page.
ITI Piotroski F-Score: 4/8, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. ITI scores 4/8, mixed financial health.
ITI MTF margin & leverage across 8 brokers
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy ITI with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 8 brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 35.47% | 2.8× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 35.44% | 2.8× |
| Groww | 60.00% | 1.7× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 35.44% | 2.8× |
| Kotak Neo | 35.46% | 2.8× |
| Paytm Money | 36.46% | 2.7× |
| Pocketful | 36.13% | 2.8× |
| Share India | 35.60% | 2.8× |
Compare every broker on the ITI MTF page.
About Iti Limited: sector, index & market-cap context
Iti Limited (ITI) is a mid-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index, with a market capitalisation of ₹27,200 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.
How the ITI Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Iti Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
ITI analysis, FAQs
Is Iti Limited (ITI) a good buy?
On the numbers, Iti Limited (ITI) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 49/100, weighing fairly valued at 19.8× earnings, ROE of -8.9%, a 49% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is ITI overvalued or undervalued?
ITI trades at 19.8× earnings, fairly valued versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.
What is the ITI share price target for 2031?
ITI's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹270, with an 80% range of ₹64-₹1,141 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability ITI doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of ITI reaching ₹565 (2×) within 5 years is 26%.
What is the bull case for ITI?
ITI's P/E of 19.8x is lower than 63% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
What are the risks in ITI?
A steep 14.2× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books. High historical volatility (51%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.