ITI
ITI
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
ITI (ITI) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is ITI a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
ITI (ITI) trades at ₹311,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 35/100.
On the numbers, ITI (ITI) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 35/100, weighing fairly valued at 19.8× earnings, ROE of -8.9%, a 40% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
ITI fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is ITI overvalued? ITI P/E vs its sector
ITI's P/E of 19.8× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers.
ITI share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of ITI history (0%/yr drift, 52%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ITI 2027 | ₹140 | ₹273 | ₹528 | -13% |
| ITI 2028 | ₹93 | ₹243 | ₹615 | -22% |
| ITI 2029 | ₹67 | ₹208 | ₹663 | -33% |
| ITI 2030 | ₹47 | ₹184 | ₹691 | -41% |
| ITI 2031 | ₹35 | ₹161 | ₹698 | -49% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability ITI goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for ITI
- A 19.8× P/E sits in the fair-value band, neither cheap nor stretched.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹663.
The bear case & risks
- A steep 15.7× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.
- A low Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 flags weaker financial health this cycle, worth understanding why before committing.
- The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 40% chance of finishing above today's price.
- High historical volatility (52%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹67.
ITI volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years ITI compounded at 0%/year with annualized volatility of 52%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹140–₹528, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
ITI price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
ITI price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds ITI hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the ITI price target & forecast page.
ITI Piotroski F-Score: 2/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. ITI scores 2/9,weak on the financial-strength checks.
ITI MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy ITI with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| UpstoxCHEAPEST | 36.9% | 2.7× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 36.9% | 2.7× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 36.9% | 2.7× |
Compare every broker on the ITI MTF page.
ITI vs peers,sector comparison
About ITI: sector, index & market-cap context
ITI (ITI) is a mid-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 200 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹29,950 Cr. See more Nifty 200 stocks.
How the ITI Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of ITI's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
ITI analysis, FAQs
Is ITI (ITI) a good buy?
On the numbers, ITI (ITI) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 35/100, weighing fairly valued at 19.8× earnings, ROE of -8.9%, a 40% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is ITI overvalued or undervalued?
ITI trades at 19.8× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.
What is the ITI share price target for 2031?
ITI's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹161, with an 80% range of ₹35–₹698 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability ITI doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of ITI reaching ₹625 (2×) within 5 years is 12%.
What is the bull case for ITI?
A 19.8× P/E sits in the fair-value band, neither cheap nor stretched.
What are the risks in ITI?
A steep 15.7× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books. A low Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 flags weaker financial health this cycle, worth understanding why before committing. The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 40% chance of finishing above today's price.