JAGRAN
Jagran Prakashan
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Jagran Prakashan (JAGRAN) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is JAGRAN a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Jagran Prakashan (JAGRAN) trades at ₹65,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 55/100.
On the numbers, Jagran Prakashan (JAGRAN) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 55/100, weighing inexpensive at 7.2× earnings, ROE of 9.9%, a 24% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
JAGRAN fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is JAGRAN overvalued? JAGRAN P/E vs its sector
JAGRAN's P/E of 7.2× sits below the sector peer median of 14.7×, so on earnings it screens cheaper than peers, while its 10.70% dividend yield is above the peer median of 1.67%.
JAGRAN share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of JAGRAN history (-17%/yr drift, 28%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| JAGRAN 2027 | ₹38 | ₹54 | ₹78 | -18% |
| JAGRAN 2028 | ₹27 | ₹44 | ₹73 | -33% |
| JAGRAN 2029 | ₹20 | ₹36 | ₹67 | -45% |
| JAGRAN 2030 | ₹14 | ₹29 | ₹60 | -56% |
| JAGRAN 2031 | ₹11 | ₹24 | ₹53 | -64% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability JAGRAN goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for JAGRAN
- Trades at just 7.2× earnings, below the ~22× long-run Nifty average, so the valuation leaves room rather than pricing in perfection.
- Low price-to-book of 0.70×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.
- Pays a 10.7% dividend yield, so you're partly paid to wait.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹67.
The bear case & risks
- Return on equity is a soft 9.9%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers.
- The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 24% chance of finishing above today's price.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹20.
JAGRAN volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years JAGRAN compounded at -17%/year with annualized volatility of 28%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹38–₹78, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
JAGRAN price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
JAGRAN price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds JAGRAN hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the JAGRAN price target & forecast page.
JAGRAN Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. JAGRAN scores 4/9,mixed financial health.
JAGRAN MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy JAGRAN with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 35.0% | 2.9× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 27.2% | 3.7× |
| Dhan | 40.0% | 2.5× |
Compare every broker on the JAGRAN MTF page.
JAGRAN vs peers,sector comparison
About Jagran Prakashan: sector, index & market-cap context
Jagran Prakashan (JAGRAN) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹1,419 Cr. See more Nifty 500 stocks.
How the JAGRAN Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Jagran Prakashan's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
JAGRAN analysis, FAQs
Is Jagran Prakashan (JAGRAN) a good buy?
On the numbers, Jagran Prakashan (JAGRAN) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 55/100, weighing inexpensive at 7.2× earnings, ROE of 9.9%, a 24% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is JAGRAN overvalued or undervalued?
JAGRAN trades at 7.2× earnings versus a peer median of 14.7×, so it screens cheaper than its sector peers.
What is the JAGRAN share price target for 2031?
JAGRAN's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹24, with an 80% range of ₹11–₹53 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability JAGRAN doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of JAGRAN reaching ₹132 (2×) within 5 years is 0%.
What is the bull case for JAGRAN?
Trades at just 7.2× earnings, below the ~22× long-run Nifty average, so the valuation leaves room rather than pricing in perfection. Low price-to-book of 0.70×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets. Pays a 10.7% dividend yield, so you're partly paid to wait.
What are the risks in JAGRAN?
Return on equity is a soft 9.9%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers. The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 24% chance of finishing above today's price.