Case study

JAGRAN

Jagran Prakashan Limited

Worth a closer look1y model +2.2%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

61Score

Jagran Prakashan Limited (JAGRAN) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is JAGRAN a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Jagran Prakashan Limited (JAGRAN) trades at ₹64,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 61/100.

On the numbers, Jagran Prakashan Limited (JAGRAN) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 61/100, weighing inexpensive at 7.0× earnings, ROE of 9.9%, a 53% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

JAGRAN fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹1,381 Cr
Current price
₹64
P/E ratio
7.0×
P/B ratio
0.69×
Book value
₹93
Dividend yield
11.00%
ROCE
12.8%
ROE
9.9%
Piotroski F-Score
5/8

How JAGRAN ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

We do not hold a 3-year revenue growth figure for JAGRAN, as of 9 Aug 2026, so it is not ranked here.

Is JAGRAN overvalued? JAGRAN P/E vs peers

JAGRAN trades at 7.0× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

JAGRAN share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of JAGRAN history (-11%/yr drift, 27%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
JAGRAN 2027₹46₹65₹92+2%
JAGRAN 2028₹41₹66₹108+4%
JAGRAN 2029₹37₹68₹124+7%
JAGRAN 2030₹35₹69₹138+9%
JAGRAN 2031₹33₹71₹153+12%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability JAGRAN goes up, or doubles?

53%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
57%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
16%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹127 within 5 years

The bull case for JAGRAN

  • JAGRAN's P/E of 7.0x is lower than 92% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Low price-to-book of 0.69×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.
  • JAGRAN's dividend yield of 11.0% ranks in the top 1% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹124.

The bear case & risks

  • JAGRAN's return on equity of 9.9% ranks in the 48th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹37.

JAGRAN volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years JAGRAN compounded at -11%/year with annualized volatility of 27%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹46-₹92, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

JAGRAN price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
2.2%
80% range₹46-₹92
P(price ↑)53%
P(price 2×)1%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
6.8%
80% range₹37-₹124
P(price ↑)55%
P(price 2×)9%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
11.6%
80% range₹33-₹153
P(price ↑)57%
P(price 2×)16%

JAGRAN price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
JAGRAN simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds JAGRAN hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the JAGRAN price target & forecast page.

JAGRAN Piotroski F-Score: 5/8, how financially strong is it?

5/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. JAGRAN scores 5/8, mixed financial health.

JAGRAN MTF margin & leverage across 7 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy JAGRAN with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 7 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
ZerodhaCHEAPEST26.58%3.8×
Groww60.00%1.7×
Dhan40.00%2.5×
Kotak Neo100.00%1.0×
Pocketful26.84%3.7×
Anand RathiCHEAPEST26.58%3.8×
Share India26.66%3.8×

Compare every broker on the JAGRAN MTF page.

About Jagran Prakashan Limited: sector, index & market-cap context

Jagran Prakashan Limited (JAGRAN) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹1,381 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the JAGRAN Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Jagran Prakashan Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

JAGRAN analysis, FAQs

Is Jagran Prakashan Limited (JAGRAN) a good buy?

On the numbers, Jagran Prakashan Limited (JAGRAN) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 61/100, weighing inexpensive at 7.0× earnings, ROE of 9.9%, a 53% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is JAGRAN overvalued or undervalued?

JAGRAN trades at 7.0× earnings, inexpensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the JAGRAN share price target for 2031?

JAGRAN's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹71, with an 80% range of ₹33-₹153 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability JAGRAN doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of JAGRAN reaching ₹127 (2×) within 5 years is 16%.

What is the bull case for JAGRAN?

JAGRAN's P/E of 7.0x is lower than 92% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. Low price-to-book of 0.69×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets. JAGRAN's dividend yield of 11.0% ranks in the top 1% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

What are the risks in JAGRAN?

JAGRAN's return on equity of 9.9% ranks in the 48th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

More on JAGRAN