JAINREC
JAIN RESOURCE RECYCLING L
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
JAIN RESOURCE RECYCLING L (JAINREC) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is JAINREC a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
JAIN RESOURCE RECYCLING L (JAINREC) trades at ₹380,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 45/100.
On the numbers, JAIN RESOURCE RECYCLING L (JAINREC) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 45/100, weighing premium at 37.2× earnings, ROE of 30.8%, a 57% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
JAINREC fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is JAINREC overvalued? JAINREC P/E vs its sector
JAINREC's P/E of 37.2× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers.
JAINREC share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 0.7y of JAINREC history (28%/yr drift, 59%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| JAINREC 2027 | ₹196 | ₹417 | ₹888 | +11% |
| JAINREC 2028 | ₹156 | ₹453 | ₹1,343 | +20% |
| JAINREC 2029 | ₹135 | ₹509 | ₹1,893 | +35% |
| JAINREC 2030 | ₹122 | ₹569 | ₹2,446 | +51% |
| JAINREC 2031 | ₹114 | ₹626 | ₹3,315 | +66% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability JAINREC goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for JAINREC
- High return on equity (30.8%), the business compounds shareholder capital efficiently, the hallmark of a quality franchise.
- Strong ROCE (25.5%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹1,893.
The bear case & risks
- At 37.2× earnings the stock carries a premium to the market, strong growth is already in the price, so any miss tends to be punished.
- A steep 8.4× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.
- A low Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 flags weaker financial health this cycle, worth understanding why before committing.
- High historical volatility (59%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹135.
JAINREC volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 0.7 years JAINREC compounded at 28%/year with annualized volatility of 59%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹196–₹888, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
JAINREC price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
JAINREC price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds JAINREC hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the JAINREC price target & forecast page.
JAINREC Piotroski F-Score: 3/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. JAINREC scores 3/9,weak on the financial-strength checks.
JAINREC MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy JAINREC with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| UpstoxCHEAPEST | 37.4% | 2.7× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 37.4% | 2.7× |
| Dhan | 40.0% | 2.5× |
Compare every broker on the JAINREC MTF page.
JAINREC vs peers,sector comparison
About JAIN RESOURCE RECYCLING L: sector, index & market-cap context
JAIN RESOURCE RECYCLING L (JAINREC) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 200 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹13,115 Cr. See more Nifty 200 stocks.
How the JAINREC Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of JAIN RESOURCE RECYCLING L's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
JAINREC analysis, FAQs
Is JAIN RESOURCE RECYCLING L (JAINREC) a good buy?
On the numbers, JAIN RESOURCE RECYCLING L (JAINREC) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 45/100, weighing premium at 37.2× earnings, ROE of 30.8%, a 57% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is JAINREC overvalued or undervalued?
JAINREC trades at 37.2× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.
What is the JAINREC share price target for 2031?
JAINREC's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹626, with an 80% range of ₹114–₹3,315 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability JAINREC doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of JAINREC reaching ₹754 (2×) within 5 years is 44%.
What is the bull case for JAINREC?
High return on equity (30.8%), the business compounds shareholder capital efficiently, the hallmark of a quality franchise. Strong ROCE (25.5%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.
What are the risks in JAINREC?
At 37.2× earnings the stock carries a premium to the market, strong growth is already in the price, so any miss tends to be punished. A steep 8.4× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books. A low Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 flags weaker financial health this cycle, worth understanding why before committing.