Case study

JAMNAAUTO

Jamna Auto Industries

Worth a closer look1y model -5.5%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

0Score

Jamna Auto Industries (JAMNAAUTO) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is JAMNAAUTO a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Jamna Auto Industries (JAMNAAUTO) trades at ₹134,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 62/100.

On the numbers, Jamna Auto Industries (JAMNAAUTO) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 62/100, weighing fairly valued at 22.4× earnings, ROE of 22.4%, a 44% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 20272031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

JAMNAAUTO fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹5,360 Cr
Current price
₹134
P/E ratio
22.4×
P/B ratio
4.67×
Book value
₹29
Dividend yield
1.57%
ROCE
27.5%
ROE
22.4%
Piotroski F-Score
4/9

Is JAMNAAUTO overvalued? JAMNAAUTO P/E vs its sector

JAMNAAUTO's P/E of 22.4× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 1.57% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.65%.

JAMNAAUTO P/E
22.4×
Peer median P/E
15.9×
JAMNAAUTO div yield
1.57%
Peer median yield
1.65%

JAMNAAUTO share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of JAMNAAUTO history (2%/yr drift, 38%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
JAMNAAUTO 2027₹77₹125₹205-5%
JAMNAAUTO 2028₹60₹120₹242-10%
JAMNAAUTO 2029₹48₹114₹269-14%
JAMNAAUTO 2030₹40₹109₹287-17%
JAMNAAUTO 2031₹34₹104₹308-22%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability JAMNAAUTO goes up, or doubles?

44%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
39%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
13%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹265 within 5 years

The bull case for JAMNAAUTO

  • A 22.4× P/E sits in the fair-value band, neither cheap nor stretched.
  • High return on equity (22.4%), the business compounds shareholder capital efficiently, the hallmark of a quality franchise.
  • Strong ROCE (27.5%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹269.

The bear case & risks

  • The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 44% chance of finishing above today's price.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹48.

JAMNAAUTO volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 2.0 years JAMNAAUTO compounded at 2%/year with annualized volatility of 38%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹77₹205, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

JAMNAAUTO price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 2.0 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
5.5%
80% range₹77–₹205
P(price ↑)44%
P(price 2×)3%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
13.8%
80% range₹48–₹269
P(price ↑)41%
P(price 2×)10%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
21.6%
80% range₹34–₹308
P(price ↑)39%
P(price 2×)13%

JAMNAAUTO price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
JAMNAAUTO simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10–P90 (80%)P25–P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds JAMNAAUTO hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the JAMNAAUTO price target & forecast page.

JAMNAAUTO Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?

4/9

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. JAMNAAUTO scores 4/9,mixed financial health.

JAMNAAUTO MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy JAMNAAUTO with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox35.0%2.9×
ZerodhaCHEAPEST34.3%2.9×
DhanCHEAPEST34.3%2.9×

Compare every broker on the JAMNAAUTO MTF page.

JAMNAAUTO vs peers,sector comparison

StockP/EDiv yieldMarket cap
JAMNAAUTO (this stock)22.4×1.57%₹5,360 Cr
RELIANCE23.1×0.45%₹17.95L Cr
TCS14.7×3.01%₹7.69L Cr
HDFCBANK15.9×1.65%₹12.11L Cr
INFY14.4×4.51%₹4.32L Cr
ICICIBANK17.9×0.81%₹9.70L Cr
SBIN11.5×1.67%₹9.61L Cr

About Jamna Auto Industries: sector, index & market-cap context

Jamna Auto Industries (JAMNAAUTO) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹5,360 Cr. See more Nifty 500 stocks.

How the JAMNAAUTO Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Jamna Auto Industries's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

JAMNAAUTO analysis, FAQs

Is Jamna Auto Industries (JAMNAAUTO) a good buy?

On the numbers, Jamna Auto Industries (JAMNAAUTO) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 62/100, weighing fairly valued at 22.4× earnings, ROE of 22.4%, a 44% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is JAMNAAUTO overvalued or undervalued?

JAMNAAUTO trades at 22.4× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.

What is the JAMNAAUTO share price target for 2031?

JAMNAAUTO's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹104, with an 80% range of ₹34₹308 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability JAMNAAUTO doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of JAMNAAUTO reaching ₹265 (2×) within 5 years is 13%.

What is the bull case for JAMNAAUTO?

A 22.4× P/E sits in the fair-value band, neither cheap nor stretched. High return on equity (22.4%), the business compounds shareholder capital efficiently, the hallmark of a quality franchise. Strong ROCE (27.5%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.

What are the risks in JAMNAAUTO?

The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 44% chance of finishing above today's price.

More on JAMNAAUTO