Case study

JAYBARMARU

Jay Bharat Maruti Limited

Worth a closer look1y model -2.4%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

67Score

Jay Bharat Maruti Limited (JAYBARMARU) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is JAYBARMARU a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Jay Bharat Maruti Limited (JAYBARMARU) trades at ₹139,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 67/100.

On the numbers, Jay Bharat Maruti Limited (JAYBARMARU) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 67/100, weighing inexpensive at 10.9× earnings, ROE of 22.3%, a 48% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

JAYBARMARU fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹1,508 Cr
Current price
₹139
P/E ratio
10.9×
P/B ratio
2.16×
Book value
₹64
Dividend yield
0.50%
ROCE
16.6%
ROE
22.3%
Piotroski F-Score
6/8

How JAYBARMARU ranks against the 2,374 companies in our screener

Is JAYBARMARU overvalued? JAYBARMARU P/E vs peers

JAYBARMARU trades at 10.9× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

JAYBARMARU share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of JAYBARMARU history (15%/yr drift, 52%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
JAYBARMARU 2027₹70₹136₹265-2%
JAYBARMARU 2028₹52₹133₹339-5%
JAYBARMARU 2029₹41₹130₹410-7%
JAYBARMARU 2030₹33₹126₹485-9%
JAYBARMARU 2031₹28₹123₹550-11%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability JAYBARMARU goes up, or doubles?

48%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
46%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
24%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹279 within 5 years

The bull case for JAYBARMARU

  • JAYBARMARU's P/E of 10.4x is lower than 85% of the 2,374 NSE companies in our screener, as of 10 Aug 2026.
  • JAYBARMARU's return on equity of 22.3% ranks in the 87th percentile of the 2,374 NSE companies in our screener, as of 10 Aug 2026.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹410.

The bear case & risks

  • High historical volatility (52%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹41.

JAYBARMARU volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years JAYBARMARU compounded at 15%/year with annualized volatility of 52%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹70-₹265, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

JAYBARMARU price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
2.4%
80% range₹70-₹265
P(price ↑)48%
P(price 2×)8%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
7.0%
80% range₹41-₹410
P(price ↑)47%
P(price 2×)20%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
11.4%
80% range₹28-₹550
P(price ↑)46%
P(price 2×)24%

JAYBARMARU price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
JAYBARMARU simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds JAYBARMARU hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the JAYBARMARU price target & forecast page.

JAYBARMARU Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?

6/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. JAYBARMARU scores 6/8, mixed financial health.

JAYBARMARU MTF margin & leverage across 3 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy JAYBARMARU with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 3 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Kotak Neo100.00%1.0×
Anand Rathi100.00%1.0×
Share IndiaCHEAPEST41.98%2.4×

Compare every broker on the JAYBARMARU MTF page.

About Jay Bharat Maruti Limited: sector, index & market-cap context

Jay Bharat Maruti Limited (JAYBARMARU) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹1,508 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the JAYBARMARU Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Jay Bharat Maruti Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

JAYBARMARU analysis, FAQs

Is Jay Bharat Maruti Limited (JAYBARMARU) a good buy?

On the numbers, Jay Bharat Maruti Limited (JAYBARMARU) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 67/100, weighing inexpensive at 10.9× earnings, ROE of 22.3%, a 48% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is JAYBARMARU overvalued or undervalued?

JAYBARMARU trades at 10.9× earnings, inexpensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the JAYBARMARU share price target for 2031?

JAYBARMARU's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹123, with an 80% range of ₹28-₹550 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability JAYBARMARU doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of JAYBARMARU reaching ₹279 (2×) within 5 years is 24%.

What is the bull case for JAYBARMARU?

JAYBARMARU's P/E of 10.4x is lower than 85% of the 2,374 NSE companies in our screener, as of 10 Aug 2026. JAYBARMARU's return on equity of 22.3% ranks in the 87th percentile of the 2,374 NSE companies in our screener, as of 10 Aug 2026.

What are the risks in JAYBARMARU?

High historical volatility (52%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.

More on JAYBARMARU