Case study

JAYBARMARU

JAYBARMARU

Worth a closer look1y model +10.0%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

0Score

JAYBARMARU (JAYBARMARU) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is JAYBARMARU a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

JAYBARMARU (JAYBARMARU) trades at ₹163,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 67/100.

On the numbers, JAYBARMARU (JAYBARMARU) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 67/100, weighing inexpensive at 12.7× earnings, ROE of 22.2%, a 58% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 20272031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

JAYBARMARU fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹1,768 Cr
Current price
₹163
P/E ratio
12.7×
P/B ratio
2.53×
Book value
₹64
Dividend yield
0.43%
ROCE
16.6%
ROE
22.2%
Piotroski F-Score
4/9

Is JAYBARMARU overvalued? JAYBARMARU P/E vs its sector

JAYBARMARU's P/E of 12.7× sits below the sector peer median of 14.7×, so on earnings it screens cheaper than peers, while its 0.43% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.65%.

JAYBARMARU P/E
12.7×
Peer median P/E
14.7×
JAYBARMARU div yield
0.43%
Peer median yield
1.65%

JAYBARMARU share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of JAYBARMARU history (22%/yr drift, 51%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
JAYBARMARU 2027₹95₹187₹355+10%
JAYBARMARU 2028₹81₹203₹506+20%
JAYBARMARU 2029₹72₹222₹679+31%
JAYBARMARU 2030₹66₹240₹873+42%
JAYBARMARU 2031₹61₹260₹1,134+53%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability JAYBARMARU goes up, or doubles?

58%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
65%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
40%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹339 within 5 years

The bull case for JAYBARMARU

  • Trades at just 12.7× earnings, below the ~22× long-run Nifty average, so the valuation leaves room rather than pricing in perfection.
  • High return on equity (22.2%), the business compounds shareholder capital efficiently, the hallmark of a quality franchise.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹679.

The bear case & risks

  • High historical volatility (51%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹72.

JAYBARMARU volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 2.0 years JAYBARMARU compounded at 22%/year with annualized volatility of 51%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹95₹355, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

JAYBARMARU price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 2.0 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
10.0%
80% range₹95–₹355
P(price ↑)58%
P(price 2×)12%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
31.1%
80% range₹72–₹679
P(price ↑)62%
P(price 2×)31%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
53.1%
80% range₹61–₹1,134
P(price ↑)65%
P(price 2×)40%

JAYBARMARU price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
JAYBARMARU simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10–P90 (80%)P25–P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds JAYBARMARU hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the JAYBARMARU price target & forecast page.

JAYBARMARU Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?

4/9

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. JAYBARMARU scores 4/9,mixed financial health.

JAYBARMARU MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy JAYBARMARU with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
ZerodhaCHEAPEST50.0%2.0×
Dhan64.0%1.6×

Compare every broker on the JAYBARMARU MTF page.

JAYBARMARU vs peers,sector comparison

StockP/EDiv yieldMarket cap
JAYBARMARU (this stock)12.7×0.43%₹1,768 Cr
RELIANCE23.1×0.45%₹17.95L Cr
TCS14.7×3.01%₹7.69L Cr
HDFCBANK15.9×1.65%₹12.11L Cr
INFY14.4×4.51%₹4.32L Cr
ICICIBANK17.9×0.81%₹9.70L Cr
SBIN11.5×1.67%₹9.61L Cr

About JAYBARMARU: sector, index & market-cap context

JAYBARMARU (JAYBARMARU) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹1,768 Cr. See more Nifty 500 stocks.

How the JAYBARMARU Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of JAYBARMARU's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

JAYBARMARU analysis, FAQs

Is JAYBARMARU (JAYBARMARU) a good buy?

On the numbers, JAYBARMARU (JAYBARMARU) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 67/100, weighing inexpensive at 12.7× earnings, ROE of 22.2%, a 58% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is JAYBARMARU overvalued or undervalued?

JAYBARMARU trades at 12.7× earnings versus a peer median of 14.7×, so it screens cheaper than its sector peers.

What is the JAYBARMARU share price target for 2031?

JAYBARMARU's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹260, with an 80% range of ₹61₹1,134 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability JAYBARMARU doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of JAYBARMARU reaching ₹339 (2×) within 5 years is 40%.

What is the bull case for JAYBARMARU?

Trades at just 12.7× earnings, below the ~22× long-run Nifty average, so the valuation leaves room rather than pricing in perfection. High return on equity (22.2%), the business compounds shareholder capital efficiently, the hallmark of a quality franchise.

What are the risks in JAYBARMARU?

High historical volatility (51%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.

More on JAYBARMARU