Case study

JAYNECOIND

Jayaswal Neco Industries Limited

Tread carefully1y model -2.5%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

31Score

Jayaswal Neco Industries Limited (JAYNECOIND) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is JAYNECOIND a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Jayaswal Neco Industries Limited (JAYNECOIND) trades at ₹92,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 31/100.

On the numbers, Jayaswal Neco Industries Limited (JAYNECOIND) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 31/100, weighing premium at 33.2× earnings, ROE of -0.9%, a 48% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

JAYNECOIND fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹8,969 Cr
Current price
₹92
P/E ratio
33.2×
P/B ratio
2.78×
Book value
₹33
ROCE
2.9%
ROE
-0.9%
Piotroski F-Score
3/8

How JAYNECOIND ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is JAYNECOIND overvalued? JAYNECOIND P/E vs peers

JAYNECOIND trades at 33.2× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

JAYNECOIND share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of JAYNECOIND history (25%/yr drift, 58%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
JAYNECOIND 2027₹43₹90₹187-2%
JAYNECOIND 2028₹31₹88₹249-5%
JAYNECOIND 2029₹25₹86₹298-7%
JAYNECOIND 2030₹20₹84₹354-10%
JAYNECOIND 2031₹16₹82₹417-12%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability JAYNECOIND goes up, or doubles?

48%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
46%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
25%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹185 within 5 years

The bull case for JAYNECOIND

  • Jayaswal Neco Industries Limited is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹298.

The bear case & risks

  • JAYNECOIND's P/E of 33.2x is lower than 42% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • JAYNECOIND's Piotroski F-Score of 3/8 ranks in the 15th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • High historical volatility (58%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹25.

JAYNECOIND volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years JAYNECOIND compounded at 25%/year with annualized volatility of 58%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹43-₹187, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

JAYNECOIND price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
2.5%
80% range₹43-₹187
P(price ↑)48%
P(price 2×)10%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
7.2%
80% range₹25-₹298
P(price ↑)47%
P(price 2×)22%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
11.8%
80% range₹16-₹417
P(price ↑)46%
P(price 2×)25%

JAYNECOIND price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
JAYNECOIND simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds JAYNECOIND hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the JAYNECOIND price target & forecast page.

JAYNECOIND Piotroski F-Score: 3/8, how financially strong is it?

3/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. JAYNECOIND scores 3/8, weak on the financial-strength checks.

JAYNECOIND MTF margin & leverage across 10 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy JAYNECOIND with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 10 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox40.99%2.4×
ZerodhaCHEAPEST40.92%2.4×
Groww41.11%2.4×
Dhan49.00%2.0×
Kotak Neo100.00%1.0×
Paytm Money55.99%1.8×
Pocketful41.30%2.4×
Anand RathiCHEAPEST40.92%2.4×
Bajaj Broking50.00%2.0×
Share India41.08%2.4×

Compare every broker on the JAYNECOIND MTF page.

About Jayaswal Neco Industries Limited: sector, index & market-cap context

Jayaswal Neco Industries Limited (JAYNECOIND) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹8,969 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the JAYNECOIND Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Jayaswal Neco Industries Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

JAYNECOIND analysis, FAQs

Is Jayaswal Neco Industries Limited (JAYNECOIND) a good buy?

On the numbers, Jayaswal Neco Industries Limited (JAYNECOIND) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 31/100, weighing premium at 33.2× earnings, ROE of -0.9%, a 48% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is JAYNECOIND overvalued or undervalued?

JAYNECOIND trades at 33.2× earnings, premium versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the JAYNECOIND share price target for 2031?

JAYNECOIND's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹82, with an 80% range of ₹16-₹417 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability JAYNECOIND doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of JAYNECOIND reaching ₹185 (2×) within 5 years is 25%.

What is the bull case for JAYNECOIND?

Jayaswal Neco Industries Limited is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.

What are the risks in JAYNECOIND?

JAYNECOIND's P/E of 33.2x is lower than 42% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. JAYNECOIND's Piotroski F-Score of 3/8 ranks in the 15th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. High historical volatility (58%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.

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