Case study

JAYNECOIND

JAYNECOIND

Tread carefully1y model +11.6%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

0Score

JAYNECOIND (JAYNECOIND) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is JAYNECOIND a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

JAYNECOIND (JAYNECOIND) trades at ₹89,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 31/100.

On the numbers, JAYNECOIND (JAYNECOIND) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 31/100, weighing premium at 33.2× earnings, ROE of -0.9%, a 58% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 20272031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

JAYNECOIND fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹8,682 Cr
Current price
₹89
P/E ratio
33.2×
P/B ratio
2.69×
Book value
₹33
ROCE
2.9%
ROE
-0.9%
Piotroski F-Score
2/9

Is JAYNECOIND overvalued? JAYNECOIND P/E vs its sector

JAYNECOIND's P/E of 33.2× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers.

JAYNECOIND P/E
33.2×
Peer median P/E
15.9×
Peer median yield
1.66%

JAYNECOIND share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of JAYNECOIND history (31%/yr drift, 59%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
JAYNECOIND 2027₹47₹100₹220+12%
JAYNECOIND 2028₹40₹115₹342+28%
JAYNECOIND 2029₹35₹131₹487+46%
JAYNECOIND 2030₹32₹150₹677+68%
JAYNECOIND 2031₹31₹169₹952+88%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability JAYNECOIND goes up, or doubles?

58%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
68%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
48%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹179 within 5 years

The bull case for JAYNECOIND

  • JAYNECOIND is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹487.

The bear case & risks

  • At 33.2× earnings the stock carries a premium to the market, strong growth is already in the price, so any miss tends to be punished.
  • A low Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 flags weaker financial health this cycle, worth understanding why before committing.
  • High historical volatility (59%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹35.

JAYNECOIND volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 2.0 years JAYNECOIND compounded at 31%/year with annualized volatility of 59%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹47₹220, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

JAYNECOIND price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 2.0 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
11.6%
80% range₹47–₹220
P(price ↑)58%
P(price 2×)17%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
45.5%
80% range₹35–₹487
P(price ↑)64%
P(price 2×)38%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
88.0%
80% range₹31–₹952
P(price ↑)68%
P(price 2×)48%

JAYNECOIND price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
JAYNECOIND simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10–P90 (80%)P25–P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds JAYNECOIND hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the JAYNECOIND price target & forecast page.

JAYNECOIND Piotroski F-Score: 2/9, how financially strong is it?

2/9

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. JAYNECOIND scores 2/9,weak on the financial-strength checks.

JAYNECOIND MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy JAYNECOIND with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
ZerodhaCHEAPEST41.9%2.4×
Dhan89.0%1.1×

Compare every broker on the JAYNECOIND MTF page.

JAYNECOIND vs peers,sector comparison

StockP/EDiv yieldMarket cap
JAYNECOIND (this stock)33.2×₹8,682 Cr
RELIANCE23.1×0.45%₹17.95L Cr
TCS14.7×3.01%₹7.69L Cr
HDFCBANK15.9×1.65%₹12.11L Cr
INFY14.4×4.51%₹4.32L Cr
ICICIBANK17.9×0.81%₹9.70L Cr
SBIN11.5×1.67%₹9.61L Cr

About JAYNECOIND: sector, index & market-cap context

JAYNECOIND (JAYNECOIND) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹8,682 Cr. See more Nifty 500 stocks.

How the JAYNECOIND Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of JAYNECOIND's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

JAYNECOIND analysis, FAQs

Is JAYNECOIND (JAYNECOIND) a good buy?

On the numbers, JAYNECOIND (JAYNECOIND) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 31/100, weighing premium at 33.2× earnings, ROE of -0.9%, a 58% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is JAYNECOIND overvalued or undervalued?

JAYNECOIND trades at 33.2× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.

What is the JAYNECOIND share price target for 2031?

JAYNECOIND's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹169, with an 80% range of ₹31₹952 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability JAYNECOIND doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of JAYNECOIND reaching ₹179 (2×) within 5 years is 48%.

What is the bull case for JAYNECOIND?

JAYNECOIND is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.

What are the risks in JAYNECOIND?

At 33.2× earnings the stock carries a premium to the market, strong growth is already in the price, so any miss tends to be punished. A low Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 flags weaker financial health this cycle, worth understanding why before committing. High historical volatility (59%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.

More on JAYNECOIND