JBMA
JBM AUTO LIMITED
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
JBM AUTO LIMITED (JBMA) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is JBMA a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
JBM AUTO LIMITED (JBMA) trades at ₹728,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 30/100.
On the numbers, JBM AUTO LIMITED (JBMA) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 30/100, weighing expensive at 76.7× earnings, ROE of 15.6%, a 27% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
JBMA fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is JBMA overvalued? JBMA P/E vs its sector
JBMA's P/E of 76.7× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 0.12% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.65%.
JBMA share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of JBMA history (-18%/yr drift, 46%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| JBMA 2027 | ₹303 | ₹543 | ₹988 | -25% |
| JBMA 2028 | ₹178 | ₹405 | ₹954 | -44% |
| JBMA 2029 | ₹111 | ₹307 | ₹869 | -58% |
| JBMA 2030 | ₹69 | ₹232 | ₹784 | -68% |
| JBMA 2031 | ₹46 | ₹175 | ₹654 | -76% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability JBMA goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for JBMA
- A healthy 15.6% return on equity.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹869.
The bear case & risks
- A rich 76.7× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows.
- A steep 11.2× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.
- The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 27% chance of finishing above today's price.
- High historical volatility (46%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹111.
JBMA volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years JBMA compounded at -18%/year with annualized volatility of 46%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹303–₹988, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
JBMA price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
JBMA price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds JBMA hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the JBMA price target & forecast page.
JBMA Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. JBMA scores 4/9,mixed financial health.
JBMA MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy JBMA with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| UpstoxCHEAPEST | 36.9% | 2.7× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 36.9% | 2.7× |
| Groww | 37.1% | 2.7× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 36.9% | 2.7× |
Compare every broker on the JBMA MTF page.
JBMA vs peers,sector comparison
About JBM AUTO LIMITED: sector, index & market-cap context
JBM AUTO LIMITED (JBMA) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 200 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹17,218 Cr. See more Nifty 200 stocks.
How the JBMA Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of JBM AUTO LIMITED's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
JBMA analysis, FAQs
Is JBM AUTO LIMITED (JBMA) a good buy?
On the numbers, JBM AUTO LIMITED (JBMA) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 30/100, weighing expensive at 76.7× earnings, ROE of 15.6%, a 27% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is JBMA overvalued or undervalued?
JBMA trades at 76.7× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.
What is the JBMA share price target for 2031?
JBMA's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹175, with an 80% range of ₹46–₹654 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability JBMA doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of JBMA reaching ₹1,455 (2×) within 5 years is 2%.
What is the bull case for JBMA?
A healthy 15.6% return on equity.
What are the risks in JBMA?
A rich 76.7× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows. A steep 11.2× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books. The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 27% chance of finishing above today's price.