JGCHEM
J.G.CHEMICALS LIMITED
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
J.G.CHEMICALS LIMITED (JGCHEM) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is JGCHEM a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
J.G.CHEMICALS LIMITED (JGCHEM) trades at ₹443,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 54/100.
On the numbers, J.G.CHEMICALS LIMITED (JGCHEM) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 54/100, weighing premium at 26.3× earnings, ROE of 13.3%, a 61% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
JGCHEM fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is JGCHEM overvalued? JGCHEM P/E vs its sector
JGCHEM's P/E of 26.3× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 0.23% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.65%.
JGCHEM share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of JGCHEM history (27%/yr drift, 51%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| JGCHEM 2027 | ₹264 | ₹502 | ₹969 | +15% |
| JGCHEM 2028 | ₹233 | ₹582 | ₹1,495 | +33% |
| JGCHEM 2029 | ₹218 | ₹667 | ₹2,083 | +52% |
| JGCHEM 2030 | ₹211 | ₹774 | ₹2,918 | +77% |
| JGCHEM 2031 | ₹215 | ₹869 | ₹3,923 | +99% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability JGCHEM goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for JGCHEM
- A healthy 13.3% return on equity.
- Strong ROCE (18.1%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.
- A 10,000-path probability model puts a 61% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹502 (+15%).
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹2,083.
The bear case & risks
- At 26.3× earnings the stock carries a premium to the market, strong growth is already in the price, so any miss tends to be punished.
- High historical volatility (51%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹218.
JGCHEM volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years JGCHEM compounded at 27%/year with annualized volatility of 51%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹264–₹969, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
JGCHEM price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
JGCHEM price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds JGCHEM hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the JGCHEM price target & forecast page.
JGCHEM Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. JGCHEM scores 4/9,mixed financial health.
JGCHEM MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy JGCHEM with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| UpstoxCHEAPEST | 36.4% | 2.8× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 36.4% | 2.8× |
| Dhan | 40.0% | 2.5× |
Compare every broker on the JGCHEM MTF page.
JGCHEM vs peers,sector comparison
About J.G.CHEMICALS LIMITED: sector, index & market-cap context
J.G.CHEMICALS LIMITED (JGCHEM) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹1,730 Cr. See more Nifty 500 stocks.
How the JGCHEM Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of J.G.CHEMICALS LIMITED's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
JGCHEM analysis, FAQs
Is J.G.CHEMICALS LIMITED (JGCHEM) a good buy?
On the numbers, J.G.CHEMICALS LIMITED (JGCHEM) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 54/100, weighing premium at 26.3× earnings, ROE of 13.3%, a 61% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is JGCHEM overvalued or undervalued?
JGCHEM trades at 26.3× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.
What is the JGCHEM share price target for 2031?
JGCHEM's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹869, with an 80% range of ₹215–₹3,923 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability JGCHEM doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of JGCHEM reaching ₹875 (2×) within 5 years is 50%.
What is the bull case for JGCHEM?
A healthy 13.3% return on equity. Strong ROCE (18.1%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital. A 10,000-path probability model puts a 61% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹502 (+15%).
What are the risks in JGCHEM?
At 26.3× earnings the stock carries a premium to the market, strong growth is already in the price, so any miss tends to be punished. High historical volatility (51%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.