JGCHEM
J.G.CHEMICALS LIMITED
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
J.G.CHEMICALS LIMITED (JGCHEM) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is JGCHEM a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
J.G.CHEMICALS LIMITED (JGCHEM) trades at ₹553,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 46/100.
On the numbers, J.G.CHEMICALS LIMITED (JGCHEM) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 46/100, weighing premium at 28.8× earnings, ROE of 13.3%, a 49% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
JGCHEM fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
How JGCHEM ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener
- JGCHEM's market cap of 2,166 Cr ranks in the 52nd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- JGCHEM's book value of ₹135 ranks in the 61st percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- JGCHEM's promoter holding of 71.0% ranks in the 77th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- JGCHEM's 3-year profit (PAT) growth of 7.0% ranks in the 38th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- JGCHEM's 3-year revenue growth of 8.0% ranks in the 44th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- JGCHEM's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.01x is lower than 98% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
Is JGCHEM overvalued? JGCHEM P/E vs peers
JGCHEM trades at 28.8× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.
JGCHEM share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.4y of JGCHEM history (46%/yr drift, 51%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| JGCHEM 2027 | ₹284 | ₹547 | ₹1,054 | -1% |
| JGCHEM 2028 | ₹217 | ₹541 | ₹1,350 | -2% |
| JGCHEM 2029 | ₹176 | ₹535 | ₹1,626 | -3% |
| JGCHEM 2030 | ₹147 | ₹529 | ₹1,909 | -4% |
| JGCHEM 2031 | ₹125 | ₹523 | ₹2,189 | -5% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability JGCHEM goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for JGCHEM
- JGCHEM's return on equity of 13.3% ranks in the 65th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- JGCHEM's return on capital employed of 18.1% ranks in the 76th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹1,626.
The bear case & risks
- JGCHEM's P/E of 28.8x is lower than 48% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- High historical volatility (51%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹176.
JGCHEM volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.4 years JGCHEM compounded at 46%/year with annualized volatility of 51%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹284-₹1,054, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
JGCHEM price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
JGCHEM price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds JGCHEM hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the JGCHEM price target & forecast page.
JGCHEM Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. JGCHEM scores 6/8, mixed financial health.
JGCHEM MTF margin & leverage across 9 brokers
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy JGCHEM with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 9 brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 36.28% | 2.8× |
| Zerodha | 36.26% | 2.8× |
| Groww | 36.31% | 2.8× |
| Dhan | 40.00% | 2.5× |
| Kotak Neo | 100.00% | 1.0× |
| Paytm Money | 36.31% | 2.8× |
| PocketfulCHEAPEST | 35.76% | 2.8× |
| Anand Rathi | 36.26% | 2.8× |
| Share India | 36.01% | 2.8× |
Compare every broker on the JGCHEM MTF page.
About J.G.CHEMICALS LIMITED: sector, index & market-cap context
J.G.CHEMICALS LIMITED (JGCHEM) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹2,166 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.
How the JGCHEM Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of J.G.CHEMICALS LIMITED's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
JGCHEM analysis, FAQs
Is J.G.CHEMICALS LIMITED (JGCHEM) a good buy?
On the numbers, J.G.CHEMICALS LIMITED (JGCHEM) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 46/100, weighing premium at 28.8× earnings, ROE of 13.3%, a 49% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is JGCHEM overvalued or undervalued?
JGCHEM trades at 28.8× earnings, premium versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.
What is the JGCHEM share price target for 2031?
JGCHEM's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹523, with an 80% range of ₹125-₹2,189 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability JGCHEM doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of JGCHEM reaching ₹1,106 (2×) within 5 years is 25%.
What is the bull case for JGCHEM?
JGCHEM's return on equity of 13.3% ranks in the 65th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. JGCHEM's return on capital employed of 18.1% ranks in the 76th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
What are the risks in JGCHEM?
JGCHEM's P/E of 28.8x is lower than 48% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. High historical volatility (51%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.