JINDALSAW
JINDAL SAW LIMITED
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
JINDAL SAW LIMITED (JINDALSAW) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is JINDALSAW a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
JINDAL SAW LIMITED (JINDALSAW) trades at ₹256,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 38/100.
On the numbers, JINDAL SAW LIMITED (JINDALSAW) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 38/100, weighing fairly valued at 16.6× earnings, ROE of 8.2%, a 37% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
JINDALSAW fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is JINDALSAW overvalued? JINDALSAW P/E vs its sector
JINDALSAW's P/E of 16.6× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens in line with peers, while its 0.78% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.65%.
JINDALSAW share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of JINDALSAW history (-4%/yr drift, 46%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| JINDALSAW 2027 | ₹124 | ₹225 | ₹400 | -14% |
| JINDALSAW 2028 | ₹84 | ₹191 | ₹440 | -27% |
| JINDALSAW 2029 | ₹60 | ₹166 | ₹463 | -37% |
| JINDALSAW 2030 | ₹44 | ₹143 | ₹466 | -45% |
| JINDALSAW 2031 | ₹33 | ₹124 | ₹462 | -53% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability JINDALSAW goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for JINDALSAW
- A 16.6× P/E sits in the fair-value band, neither cheap nor stretched.
- Low price-to-book of 1.30×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹463.
The bear case & risks
- Return on equity is a soft 8.2%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers.
- The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 37% chance of finishing above today's price.
- High historical volatility (46%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹60.
JINDALSAW volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years JINDALSAW compounded at -4%/year with annualized volatility of 46%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹124–₹400, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
JINDALSAW price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
JINDALSAW price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds JINDALSAW hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the JINDALSAW price target & forecast page.
JINDALSAW Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. JINDALSAW scores 4/9,mixed financial health.
JINDALSAW MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy JINDALSAW with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| UpstoxCHEAPEST | 37.7% | 2.6× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 37.7% | 2.6× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 37.7% | 2.6× |
Compare every broker on the JINDALSAW MTF page.
JINDALSAW vs peers,sector comparison
About JINDAL SAW LIMITED: sector, index & market-cap context
JINDAL SAW LIMITED (JINDALSAW) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 200 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹16,352 Cr. See more Nifty 200 stocks.
How the JINDALSAW Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of JINDAL SAW LIMITED's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
JINDALSAW analysis, FAQs
Is JINDAL SAW LIMITED (JINDALSAW) a good buy?
On the numbers, JINDAL SAW LIMITED (JINDALSAW) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 38/100, weighing fairly valued at 16.6× earnings, ROE of 8.2%, a 37% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is JINDALSAW overvalued or undervalued?
JINDALSAW trades at 16.6× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.
What is the JINDALSAW share price target for 2031?
JINDALSAW's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹124, with an 80% range of ₹33–₹462 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability JINDALSAW doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of JINDALSAW reaching ₹522 (2×) within 5 years is 8%.
What is the bull case for JINDALSAW?
A 16.6× P/E sits in the fair-value band, neither cheap nor stretched. Low price-to-book of 1.30×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.
What are the risks in JINDALSAW?
Return on equity is a soft 8.2%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers. The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 37% chance of finishing above today's price. High historical volatility (46%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.