Case study

JINDRILL

Jindal Drilling Industries

Mixed signals1y model -15.3%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

0Score

Jindal Drilling Industries (JINDRILL) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is JINDRILL a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Jindal Drilling Industries (JINDRILL) trades at ₹584,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 54/100.

On the numbers, Jindal Drilling Industries (JINDRILL) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 54/100, weighing inexpensive at 7.9× earnings, ROE of 12.5%, a 37% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 20272031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

JINDRILL fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹1,691 Cr
Current price
₹584
P/E ratio
7.9×
P/B ratio
0.93×
Book value
₹628
Dividend yield
0.17%
ROCE
15.4%
ROE
12.5%
Piotroski F-Score
4/9

Is JINDRILL overvalued? JINDRILL P/E vs its sector

JINDRILL's P/E of 7.9× sits below the sector peer median of 14.7×, so on earnings it screens cheaper than peers, while its 0.17% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.65%.

JINDRILL P/E
7.9×
Peer median P/E
14.7×
JINDRILL div yield
0.17%
Peer median yield
1.65%

JINDRILL share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of JINDRILL history (-4%/yr drift, 51%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
JINDRILL 2027₹257₹491₹938-15%
JINDRILL 2028₹165₹418₹1,043-28%
JINDRILL 2029₹113₹348₹1,063-40%
JINDRILL 2030₹82₹297₹1,086-49%
JINDRILL 2031₹58₹246₹1,063-58%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability JINDRILL goes up, or doubles?

37%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
23%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
9%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹1,160 within 5 years

The bull case for JINDRILL

  • Trades at just 7.9× earnings, below the ~22× long-run Nifty average, so the valuation leaves room rather than pricing in perfection.
  • Low price-to-book of 0.93×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.
  • A healthy 12.5% return on equity.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹1,063.

The bear case & risks

  • The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 37% chance of finishing above today's price.
  • High historical volatility (51%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹113.

JINDRILL volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 2.0 years JINDRILL compounded at -4%/year with annualized volatility of 51%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹257₹938, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

JINDRILL price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 2.0 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
15.3%
80% range₹257–₹938
P(price ↑)37%
P(price 2×)4%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
40.1%
80% range₹113–₹1,063
P(price ↑)28%
P(price 2×)8%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
57.5%
80% range₹58–₹1,063
P(price ↑)23%
P(price 2×)9%

JINDRILL price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
JINDRILL simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10–P90 (80%)P25–P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds JINDRILL hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the JINDRILL price target & forecast page.

JINDRILL Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?

4/9

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. JINDRILL scores 4/9,mixed financial health.

JINDRILL MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy JINDRILL with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
UpstoxCHEAPEST39.6%2.5×
ZerodhaCHEAPEST39.6%2.5×
DhanCHEAPEST39.6%2.5×

Compare every broker on the JINDRILL MTF page.

JINDRILL vs peers,sector comparison

StockP/EDiv yieldMarket cap
JINDRILL (this stock)7.9×0.17%₹1,691 Cr
RELIANCE23.1×0.45%₹17.95L Cr
TCS14.7×3.01%₹7.69L Cr
HDFCBANK15.9×1.65%₹12.11L Cr
INFY14.4×4.51%₹4.32L Cr
ICICIBANK17.9×0.81%₹9.70L Cr
SBIN11.5×1.67%₹9.61L Cr

About Jindal Drilling Industries: sector, index & market-cap context

Jindal Drilling Industries (JINDRILL) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹1,691 Cr. See more Nifty 500 stocks.

How the JINDRILL Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Jindal Drilling Industries's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

JINDRILL analysis, FAQs

Is Jindal Drilling Industries (JINDRILL) a good buy?

On the numbers, Jindal Drilling Industries (JINDRILL) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 54/100, weighing inexpensive at 7.9× earnings, ROE of 12.5%, a 37% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is JINDRILL overvalued or undervalued?

JINDRILL trades at 7.9× earnings versus a peer median of 14.7×, so it screens cheaper than its sector peers.

What is the JINDRILL share price target for 2031?

JINDRILL's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹246, with an 80% range of ₹58₹1,063 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability JINDRILL doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of JINDRILL reaching ₹1,160 (2×) within 5 years is 9%.

What is the bull case for JINDRILL?

Trades at just 7.9× earnings, below the ~22× long-run Nifty average, so the valuation leaves room rather than pricing in perfection. Low price-to-book of 0.93×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets. A healthy 12.5% return on equity.

What are the risks in JINDRILL?

The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 37% chance of finishing above today's price. High historical volatility (51%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.

More on JINDRILL