Case study

JISLJALEQS

Jain Irrigation Systems Limited

High-risk on the numbers1y model -0.1%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

25Score

Jain Irrigation Systems Limited (JISLJALEQS) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is JISLJALEQS a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Jain Irrigation Systems Limited (JISLJALEQS) trades at ₹31,on the numbers it high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 25/100.

On the numbers, Jain Irrigation Systems Limited (JISLJALEQS) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 25/100, weighing expensive at 81.9× earnings, ROE of -0.5%, a 50% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

JISLJALEQS fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹2,254 Cr
Current price
₹31
P/E ratio
81.9×
P/B ratio
0.38×
Book value
₹82
ROCE
5.3%
ROE
-0.5%
Piotroski F-Score
3/8

How JISLJALEQS ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is JISLJALEQS overvalued? JISLJALEQS P/E vs peers

JISLJALEQS trades at 81.9× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

JISLJALEQS share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of JISLJALEQS history (-9%/yr drift, 46%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
JISLJALEQS 2027₹17₹31₹56-0%
JISLJALEQS 2028₹13₹31₹72-0%
JISLJALEQS 2029₹11₹31₹87-0%
JISLJALEQS 2030₹9₹31₹102-0%
JISLJALEQS 2031₹8₹31₹115-0%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability JISLJALEQS goes up, or doubles?

50%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
50%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
25%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹62 within 5 years

The bull case for JISLJALEQS

  • Low price-to-book of 0.38×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹87.

The bear case & risks

  • JISLJALEQS's P/E of 81.9x is lower than 14% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • JISLJALEQS's Piotroski F-Score of 3/8 ranks in the 15th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • High historical volatility (46%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹11.

JISLJALEQS volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years JISLJALEQS compounded at -9%/year with annualized volatility of 46%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹17-₹56, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

JISLJALEQS price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
0.1%
80% range₹17-₹56
P(price ↑)50%
P(price 2×)7%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
0.2%
80% range₹11-₹87
P(price ↑)50%
P(price 2×)20%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
0.3%
80% range₹8-₹115
P(price ↑)50%
P(price 2×)25%

JISLJALEQS price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
JISLJALEQS simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds JISLJALEQS hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the JISLJALEQS price target & forecast page.

JISLJALEQS Piotroski F-Score: 3/8, how financially strong is it?

3/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. JISLJALEQS scores 3/8, weak on the financial-strength checks.

JISLJALEQS MTF margin & leverage across 9 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy JISLJALEQS with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 9 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox36.78%2.7×
ZerodhaCHEAPEST36.74%2.7×
Groww36.92%2.7×
DhanCHEAPEST36.74%2.7×
Kotak Neo40.00%2.5×
Paytm Money42.83%2.3×
Anand RathiCHEAPEST36.74%2.7×
Bajaj Broking50.00%2.0×
Share India36.92%2.7×

Compare every broker on the JISLJALEQS MTF page.

About Jain Irrigation Systems Limited: sector, index & market-cap context

Jain Irrigation Systems Limited (JISLJALEQS) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹2,254 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the JISLJALEQS Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Jain Irrigation Systems Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

JISLJALEQS analysis, FAQs

Is Jain Irrigation Systems Limited (JISLJALEQS) a good buy?

On the numbers, Jain Irrigation Systems Limited (JISLJALEQS) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 25/100, weighing expensive at 81.9× earnings, ROE of -0.5%, a 50% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is JISLJALEQS overvalued or undervalued?

JISLJALEQS trades at 81.9× earnings, expensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the JISLJALEQS share price target for 2031?

JISLJALEQS's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹31, with an 80% range of ₹8-₹115 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability JISLJALEQS doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of JISLJALEQS reaching ₹62 (2×) within 5 years is 25%.

What is the bull case for JISLJALEQS?

Low price-to-book of 0.38×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.

What are the risks in JISLJALEQS?

JISLJALEQS's P/E of 81.9x is lower than 14% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. JISLJALEQS's Piotroski F-Score of 3/8 ranks in the 15th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. High historical volatility (46%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.

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