JKCEMENT
JK Cement
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
JK Cement (JKCEMENT) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is JKCEMENT a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
JK Cement (JKCEMENT) trades at ₹5,474,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 49/100.
On the numbers, JK Cement (JKCEMENT) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 49/100, weighing expensive at 41.3× earnings, ROE of 15.6%, a 61% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
JKCEMENT fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is JKCEMENT overvalued? JKCEMENT P/E vs its sector
JKCEMENT's P/E of 41.3× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 0.37% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.65%.
JKCEMENT share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of JKCEMENT history (13%/yr drift, 31%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| JKCEMENT 2027 | ₹4,024 | ₹6,012 | ₹8,935 | +9% |
| JKCEMENT 2028 | ₹3,700 | ₹6,492 | ₹11,499 | +18% |
| JKCEMENT 2029 | ₹3,588 | ₹7,118 | ₹14,259 | +29% |
| JKCEMENT 2030 | ₹3,518 | ₹7,797 | ₹17,253 | +42% |
| JKCEMENT 2031 | ₹3,514 | ₹8,520 | ₹20,581 | +55% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability JKCEMENT goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for JKCEMENT
- A healthy 15.6% return on equity.
- A 10,000-path probability model puts a 61% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹6,012 (+9%).
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹14,259.
The bear case & risks
- A rich 41.3× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹3,588.
JKCEMENT volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years JKCEMENT compounded at 13%/year with annualized volatility of 31%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹4,024–₹8,935, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
JKCEMENT price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
JKCEMENT price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds JKCEMENT hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the JKCEMENT price target & forecast page.
JKCEMENT Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. JKCEMENT scores 4/9,mixed financial health.
JKCEMENT MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy JKCEMENT with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| UpstoxCHEAPEST | 30.7% | 3.3× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 30.7% | 3.3× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 30.7% | 3.3× |
Compare every broker on the JKCEMENT MTF page.
JKCEMENT vs peers,sector comparison
About JK Cement: sector, index & market-cap context
JK Cement (JKCEMENT) is a mid-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 100 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹42,365 Cr. See more Nifty 100 stocks.
How the JKCEMENT Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of JK Cement's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
JKCEMENT analysis, FAQs
Is JK Cement (JKCEMENT) a good buy?
On the numbers, JK Cement (JKCEMENT) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 49/100, weighing expensive at 41.3× earnings, ROE of 15.6%, a 61% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is JKCEMENT overvalued or undervalued?
JKCEMENT trades at 41.3× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.
What is the JKCEMENT share price target for 2031?
JKCEMENT's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹8,520, with an 80% range of ₹3,514–₹20,581 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability JKCEMENT doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of JKCEMENT reaching ₹11,007 (2×) within 5 years is 35%.
What is the bull case for JKCEMENT?
A healthy 15.6% return on equity. A 10,000-path probability model puts a 61% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹6,012 (+9%).
What are the risks in JKCEMENT?
A rich 41.3× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows.