Case study

JKIL

J. Kumar Infraprojects Limited

Worth a closer look1y model +6.4%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

69Score

J. Kumar Infraprojects Limited (JKIL) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is JKIL a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

J. Kumar Infraprojects Limited (JKIL) trades at ₹499,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 69/100.

On the numbers, J. Kumar Infraprojects Limited (JKIL) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 69/100, weighing inexpensive at 9.7× earnings, ROE of 12.4%, a 58% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

JKIL fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹3,775 Cr
Current price
₹499
P/E ratio
9.7×
P/B ratio
1.12×
Book value
₹445
Dividend yield
0.80%
ROCE
18.4%
ROE
12.4%
Piotroski F-Score
6/8

How JKIL ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is JKIL overvalued? JKIL P/E vs peers

JKIL trades at 9.7× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

JKIL share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of JKIL history (10%/yr drift, 33%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
JKIL 2027₹348₹531₹810+6%
JKIL 2028₹309₹564₹1,031+13%
JKIL 2029₹287₹600₹1,253+20%
JKIL 2030₹270₹638₹1,507+28%
JKIL 2031₹256₹679₹1,797+36%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability JKIL goes up, or doubles?

58%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
66%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
30%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹998 within 5 years

The bull case for JKIL

  • JKIL's P/E of 9.7x is lower than 87% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Low price-to-book of 1.12×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.
  • JKIL's return on equity of 12.4% ranks in the 61st percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • JKIL's return on capital employed of 18.4% ranks in the 76th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹1,253.

The bear case & risks

  • No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹287.

JKIL volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years JKIL compounded at 10%/year with annualized volatility of 33%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹348-₹810, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

JKIL price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
6.4%
80% range₹348-₹810
P(price ↑)58%
P(price 2×)3%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
20.3%
80% range₹287-₹1,253
P(price ↑)62%
P(price 2×)19%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
36.1%
80% range₹256-₹1,797
P(price ↑)66%
P(price 2×)30%

JKIL price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
JKIL simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds JKIL hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the JKIL price target & forecast page.

JKIL Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?

6/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. JKIL scores 6/8, mixed financial health.

JKIL MTF margin & leverage across 10 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy JKIL with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 10 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox35.00%2.9×
ZerodhaCHEAPEST31.09%3.2×
Groww31.23%3.2×
Dhan31.09%3.2×
Kotak Neo40.00%2.5×
Paytm Money31.38%3.2×
Pocketful31.54%3.2×
Anand RathiCHEAPEST31.09%3.2×
Bajaj Broking35.00%2.9×
Share India31.20%3.2×

Compare every broker on the JKIL MTF page.

Which ace investors hold JKIL?

Held by 1 tracked superstar investor (from public NSE/BSE disclosures):

About J. Kumar Infraprojects Limited: sector, index & market-cap context

J. Kumar Infraprojects Limited (JKIL) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹3,775 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the JKIL Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of J. Kumar Infraprojects Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

JKIL analysis, FAQs

Is J. Kumar Infraprojects Limited (JKIL) a good buy?

On the numbers, J. Kumar Infraprojects Limited (JKIL) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 69/100, weighing inexpensive at 9.7× earnings, ROE of 12.4%, a 58% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is JKIL overvalued or undervalued?

JKIL trades at 9.7× earnings, inexpensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the JKIL share price target for 2031?

JKIL's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹679, with an 80% range of ₹256-₹1,797 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability JKIL doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of JKIL reaching ₹998 (2×) within 5 years is 30%.

What is the bull case for JKIL?

JKIL's P/E of 9.7x is lower than 87% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. Low price-to-book of 1.12×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets. JKIL's return on equity of 12.4% ranks in the 61st percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

What are the risks in JKIL?

No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.

More on JKIL