Case study

JKTYRE

JK Tyre & Industries

Worth a closer look1y model -5.6%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

0Score

JK Tyre & Industries (JKTYRE) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is JKTYRE a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

JK Tyre & Industries (JKTYRE) trades at ₹410,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 59/100.

On the numbers, JK Tyre & Industries (JKTYRE) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 59/100, weighing inexpensive at 13.4× earnings, ROE of 16.2%, a 43% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 20272031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

JKTYRE fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹11,837 Cr
Current price
₹410
P/E ratio
13.4×
P/B ratio
1.95×
Book value
₹210
Dividend yield
0.73%
ROCE
15.5%
ROE
16.2%
Piotroski F-Score
4/9

Is JKTYRE overvalued? JKTYRE P/E vs its sector

JKTYRE's P/E of 13.4× sits below the sector peer median of 14.7×, so on earnings it screens in line with peers, while its 0.73% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.65%.

JKTYRE P/E
13.4×
Peer median P/E
14.7×
JKTYRE div yield
0.73%
Peer median yield
1.65%

JKTYRE share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of JKTYRE history (1%/yr drift, 37%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
JKTYRE 2027₹237₹379₹607-6%
JKTYRE 2028₹186₹358₹703-11%
JKTYRE 2029₹150₹343₹770-15%
JKTYRE 2030₹126₹322₹823-20%
JKTYRE 2031₹106₹302₹876-25%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability JKTYRE goes up, or doubles?

43%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
37%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
12%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹803 within 5 years

The bull case for JKTYRE

  • Trades at just 13.4× earnings, below the ~22× long-run Nifty average, so the valuation leaves room rather than pricing in perfection.
  • A healthy 16.2% return on equity.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹770.

The bear case & risks

  • The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 43% chance of finishing above today's price.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹150.

JKTYRE volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 2.0 years JKTYRE compounded at 1%/year with annualized volatility of 37%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹237₹607, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

JKTYRE price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 2.0 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
5.6%
80% range₹237–₹607
P(price ↑)43%
P(price 2×)2%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
14.6%
80% range₹150–₹770
P(price ↑)40%
P(price 2×)9%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
24.7%
80% range₹106–₹876
P(price ↑)37%
P(price 2×)12%

JKTYRE price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
JKTYRE simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10–P90 (80%)P25–P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds JKTYRE hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the JKTYRE price target & forecast page.

JKTYRE Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?

4/9

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. JKTYRE scores 4/9,mixed financial health.

JKTYRE MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy JKTYRE with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
UpstoxCHEAPEST33.6%3.0×
ZerodhaCHEAPEST33.6%3.0×
DhanCHEAPEST33.6%3.0×

Compare every broker on the JKTYRE MTF page.

JKTYRE vs peers,sector comparison

StockP/EDiv yieldMarket cap
JKTYRE (this stock)13.4×0.73%₹11,837 Cr
RELIANCE23.1×0.45%₹17.95L Cr
TCS14.7×3.01%₹7.69L Cr
HDFCBANK15.9×1.65%₹12.11L Cr
INFY14.4×4.51%₹4.32L Cr
ICICIBANK17.9×0.81%₹9.70L Cr
SBIN11.5×1.67%₹9.61L Cr

About JK Tyre & Industries: sector, index & market-cap context

JK Tyre & Industries (JKTYRE) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 200 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹11,837 Cr. See more Nifty 200 stocks.

How the JKTYRE Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of JK Tyre & Industries's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

JKTYRE analysis, FAQs

Is JK Tyre & Industries (JKTYRE) a good buy?

On the numbers, JK Tyre & Industries (JKTYRE) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 59/100, weighing inexpensive at 13.4× earnings, ROE of 16.2%, a 43% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is JKTYRE overvalued or undervalued?

JKTYRE trades at 13.4× earnings versus a peer median of 14.7×, so it screens cheaper than its sector peers.

What is the JKTYRE share price target for 2031?

JKTYRE's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹302, with an 80% range of ₹106₹876 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability JKTYRE doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of JKTYRE reaching ₹803 (2×) within 5 years is 12%.

What is the bull case for JKTYRE?

Trades at just 13.4× earnings, below the ~22× long-run Nifty average, so the valuation leaves room rather than pricing in perfection. A healthy 16.2% return on equity.

What are the risks in JKTYRE?

The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 43% chance of finishing above today's price.

More on JKTYRE