JNKINDIA
JNKINDIA
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
JNKINDIA (JNKINDIA) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is JNKINDIA a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
JNKINDIA (JNKINDIA) trades at ₹479,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 30/100.
On the numbers, JNKINDIA (JNKINDIA) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 30/100, weighing expensive at 41.3× earnings, ROE of 12.1%, a 21% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
JNKINDIA fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is JNKINDIA overvalued? JNKINDIA P/E vs its sector
JNKINDIA's P/E of 41.3× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 0.06% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.65%.
JNKINDIA share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of JNKINDIA history (-29%/yr drift, 50%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| JNKINDIA 2027 | ₹171 | ₹323 | ₹614 | -34% |
| JNKINDIA 2028 | ₹86 | ₹219 | ₹539 | -55% |
| JNKINDIA 2029 | ₹47 | ₹144 | ₹438 | -70% |
| JNKINDIA 2030 | ₹26 | ₹95 | ₹341 | -81% |
| JNKINDIA 2031 | ₹15 | ₹63 | ₹267 | -87% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability JNKINDIA goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for JNKINDIA
- A healthy 12.1% return on equity.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹438.
The bear case & risks
- A rich 41.3× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows.
- The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 21% chance of finishing above today's price.
- High historical volatility (50%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹47.
JNKINDIA volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years JNKINDIA compounded at -29%/year with annualized volatility of 50%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹171–₹614, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
JNKINDIA price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
JNKINDIA price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds JNKINDIA hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the JNKINDIA price target & forecast page.
JNKINDIA Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. JNKINDIA scores 4/9,mixed financial health.
JNKINDIA MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy JNKINDIA with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 40.3% | 2.5× |
Compare every broker on the JNKINDIA MTF page.
JNKINDIA vs peers,sector comparison
About JNKINDIA: sector, index & market-cap context
JNKINDIA (JNKINDIA) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹2,685 Cr. See more Nifty 500 stocks.
How the JNKINDIA Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of JNKINDIA's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
JNKINDIA analysis, FAQs
Is JNKINDIA (JNKINDIA) a good buy?
On the numbers, JNKINDIA (JNKINDIA) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 30/100, weighing expensive at 41.3× earnings, ROE of 12.1%, a 21% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is JNKINDIA overvalued or undervalued?
JNKINDIA trades at 41.3× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.
What is the JNKINDIA share price target for 2031?
JNKINDIA's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹63, with an 80% range of ₹15–₹267 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability JNKINDIA doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of JNKINDIA reaching ₹974 (2×) within 5 years is 1%.
What is the bull case for JNKINDIA?
A healthy 12.1% return on equity.
What are the risks in JNKINDIA?
A rich 41.3× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows. The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 21% chance of finishing above today's price. High historical volatility (50%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.