Case study

JPPOWER

Jaiprakash Power Ventures

High-risk on the numbers1y model -16.8%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

0Score

Jaiprakash Power Ventures (JPPOWER) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is JPPOWER a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Jaiprakash Power Ventures (JPPOWER) trades at ₹18,on the numbers it high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 20/100.

On the numbers, Jaiprakash Power Ventures (JPPOWER) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 20/100, weighing premium at 27.7× earnings, ROE of 3.6%, a 36% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 20272031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

JPPOWER fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹12,480 Cr
Current price
₹18
P/E ratio
27.7×
P/B ratio
0.98×
Book value
₹19
ROCE
7.0%
ROE
3.6%
Piotroski F-Score
3/9

Is JPPOWER overvalued? JPPOWER P/E vs its sector

JPPOWER's P/E of 27.7× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers.

JPPOWER P/E
27.7×
Peer median P/E
15.9×
Peer median yield
1.66%

JPPOWER share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of JPPOWER history (-6%/yr drift, 51%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
JPPOWER 2027₹8₹15₹29-17%
JPPOWER 2028₹5₹12₹31-32%
JPPOWER 2029₹3₹10₹31-44%
JPPOWER 2030₹2₹8₹32-54%
JPPOWER 2031₹2₹7₹30-62%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability JPPOWER goes up, or doubles?

36%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
21%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
8%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹36 within 5 years

The bull case for JPPOWER

  • Low price-to-book of 0.98×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹31.

The bear case & risks

  • At 27.7× earnings the stock carries a premium to the market, strong growth is already in the price, so any miss tends to be punished.
  • Return on equity is a soft 3.6%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers.
  • A low Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 flags weaker financial health this cycle, worth understanding why before committing.
  • The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 36% chance of finishing above today's price.
  • High historical volatility (51%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹3.

JPPOWER volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 2.0 years JPPOWER compounded at -6%/year with annualized volatility of 51%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹8₹29, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

JPPOWER price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 2.0 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
16.8%
80% range₹8–₹29
P(price ↑)36%
P(price 2×)5%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
43.9%
80% range₹3–₹31
P(price ↑)25%
P(price 2×)8%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
61.5%
80% range₹2–₹30
P(price ↑)21%
P(price 2×)8%

JPPOWER price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
JPPOWER simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10–P90 (80%)P25–P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds JPPOWER hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the JPPOWER price target & forecast page.

JPPOWER Piotroski F-Score: 3/9, how financially strong is it?

3/9

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. JPPOWER scores 3/9,weak on the financial-strength checks.

JPPOWER MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy JPPOWER with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
UpstoxCHEAPEST41.0%2.4×
ZerodhaCHEAPEST41.0%2.4×
DhanCHEAPEST41.0%2.4×

Compare every broker on the JPPOWER MTF page.

JPPOWER vs peers,sector comparison

StockP/EDiv yieldMarket cap
JPPOWER (this stock)27.7×₹12,480 Cr
RELIANCE23.1×0.45%₹17.95L Cr
TCS14.7×3.01%₹7.69L Cr
HDFCBANK15.9×1.65%₹12.11L Cr
INFY14.4×4.51%₹4.32L Cr
ICICIBANK17.9×0.81%₹9.70L Cr
SBIN11.5×1.67%₹9.61L Cr

About Jaiprakash Power Ventures: sector, index & market-cap context

Jaiprakash Power Ventures (JPPOWER) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 200 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹12,480 Cr. See more Nifty 200 stocks.

How the JPPOWER Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Jaiprakash Power Ventures's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

JPPOWER analysis, FAQs

Is Jaiprakash Power Ventures (JPPOWER) a good buy?

On the numbers, Jaiprakash Power Ventures (JPPOWER) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 20/100, weighing premium at 27.7× earnings, ROE of 3.6%, a 36% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is JPPOWER overvalued or undervalued?

JPPOWER trades at 27.7× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.

What is the JPPOWER share price target for 2031?

JPPOWER's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹7, with an 80% range of ₹2₹30 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability JPPOWER doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of JPPOWER reaching ₹36 (2×) within 5 years is 8%.

What is the bull case for JPPOWER?

Low price-to-book of 0.98×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.

What are the risks in JPPOWER?

At 27.7× earnings the stock carries a premium to the market, strong growth is already in the price, so any miss tends to be punished. Return on equity is a soft 3.6%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers. A low Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 flags weaker financial health this cycle, worth understanding why before committing.

More on JPPOWER