Case study

JSL

JINDAL STAINLESS LIMITED

Worth a closer look1y model +8.8%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

61Score

JINDAL STAINLESS LIMITED (JSL) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is JSL a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

JINDAL STAINLESS LIMITED (JSL) trades at ₹735,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 61/100.

On the numbers, JINDAL STAINLESS LIMITED (JSL) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 61/100, weighing fairly valued at 18.4× earnings, ROE of 17.8%, a 60% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

JSL fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹60,566 Cr
Current price
₹735
P/E ratio
18.4×
P/B ratio
3.06×
Book value
₹240
Dividend yield
0.14%
ROCE
19.3%
ROE
17.8%
Piotroski F-Score
6/8

How JSL ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is JSL overvalued? JSL P/E vs peers

JSL trades at 18.4× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

JSL share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of JSL history (34%/yr drift, 34%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
JSL 2027₹516₹800₹1,239+9%
JSL 2028₹473₹870₹1,601+18%
JSL 2029₹450₹947₹1,991+29%
JSL 2030₹436₹1,031₹2,436+40%
JSL 2031₹428₹1,122₹2,936+53%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability JSL goes up, or doubles?

60%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
71%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
36%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹1,469 within 5 years

The bull case for JSL

  • JSL's P/E of 18.4x is lower than 66% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • JSL's return on equity of 17.8% ranks in the 79th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • JSL's return on capital employed of 19.3% ranks in the 79th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹1,991.

The bear case & risks

  • No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹450.

JSL volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years JSL compounded at 34%/year with annualized volatility of 34%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹516-₹1,239, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

JSL price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
8.8%
80% range₹516-₹1,239
P(price ↑)60%
P(price 2×)4%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
28.9%
80% range₹450-₹1,991
P(price ↑)67%
P(price 2×)22%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
52.7%
80% range₹428-₹2,936
P(price ↑)71%
P(price 2×)36%

JSL price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
JSL simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds JSL hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the JSL price target & forecast page.

JSL Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?

6/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. JSL scores 6/8, mixed financial health.

JSL MTF margin & leverage across 10 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy JSL with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 10 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox30.85%3.2×
ZerodhaCHEAPEST30.81%3.2×
Groww30.96%3.2×
Dhan30.81%3.2×
Kotak Neo30.86%3.2×
Paytm Money31.10%3.2×
Pocketful31.24%3.2×
Anand RathiCHEAPEST30.81%3.2×
Bajaj Broking33.00%3.0×
Share India30.92%3.2×

Compare every broker on the JSL MTF page.

About JINDAL STAINLESS LIMITED: sector, index & market-cap context

JINDAL STAINLESS LIMITED (JSL) is a mid-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index, with a market capitalisation of ₹60,566 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the JSL Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of JINDAL STAINLESS LIMITED's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

JSL analysis, FAQs

Is JINDAL STAINLESS LIMITED (JSL) a good buy?

On the numbers, JINDAL STAINLESS LIMITED (JSL) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 61/100, weighing fairly valued at 18.4× earnings, ROE of 17.8%, a 60% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is JSL overvalued or undervalued?

JSL trades at 18.4× earnings, fairly valued versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the JSL share price target for 2031?

JSL's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹1,122, with an 80% range of ₹428-₹2,936 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability JSL doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of JSL reaching ₹1,469 (2×) within 5 years is 36%.

What is the bull case for JSL?

JSL's P/E of 18.4x is lower than 66% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. JSL's return on equity of 17.8% ranks in the 79th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. JSL's return on capital employed of 19.3% ranks in the 79th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

What are the risks in JSL?

No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.

More on JSL