Case study

JSWDULUX

Akzo Nobel India

Mixed signals1y model +0.3%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

0Score

Akzo Nobel India (JSWDULUX) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is JSWDULUX a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Akzo Nobel India (JSWDULUX) trades at ₹3,271,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 52/100.

On the numbers, Akzo Nobel India (JSWDULUX) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 52/100, weighing expensive at 41.2× earnings, ROE of 19.1%, a 50% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 20272031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

JSWDULUX fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹14,876 Cr
Current price
₹3,271
P/E ratio
41.2×
P/B ratio
6.08×
Book value
₹538
Dividend yield
1.53%
ROCE
22.7%
ROE
19.1%
Piotroski F-Score
4/9

Is JSWDULUX overvalued? JSWDULUX P/E vs its sector

JSWDULUX's P/E of 41.2× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 1.53% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.65%.

JSWDULUX P/E
41.2×
Peer median P/E
15.9×
JSWDULUX div yield
1.53%
Peer median yield
1.65%

JSWDULUX share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of JSWDULUX history (6%/yr drift, 34%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
JSWDULUX 2027₹2,139₹3,302₹5,132+0%
JSWDULUX 2028₹1,805₹3,316₹6,172+1%
JSWDULUX 2029₹1,569₹3,343₹7,020+2%
JSWDULUX 2030₹1,396₹3,405₹7,905+3%
JSWDULUX 2031₹1,273₹3,376₹9,006+3%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability JSWDULUX goes up, or doubles?

50%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
51%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
19%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹6,584 within 5 years

The bull case for JSWDULUX

  • High return on equity (19.1%), the business compounds shareholder capital efficiently, the hallmark of a quality franchise.
  • Strong ROCE (22.7%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹7,020.

The bear case & risks

  • A rich 41.2× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹1,569.

JSWDULUX volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 2.0 years JSWDULUX compounded at 6%/year with annualized volatility of 34%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹2,139₹5,132, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

JSWDULUX price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 2.0 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
0.3%
80% range₹2,139–₹5,132
P(price ↑)50%
P(price 2×)2%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
1.6%
80% range₹1,569–₹7,020
P(price ↑)51%
P(price 2×)12%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
2.6%
80% range₹1,273–₹9,006
P(price ↑)51%
P(price 2×)19%

JSWDULUX price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
JSWDULUX simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10–P90 (80%)P25–P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds JSWDULUX hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the JSWDULUX price target & forecast page.

JSWDULUX Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?

4/9

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. JSWDULUX scores 4/9,mixed financial health.

JSWDULUX MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy JSWDULUX with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
UpstoxCHEAPEST30.0%3.3×
ZerodhaCHEAPEST30.0%3.3×

Compare every broker on the JSWDULUX MTF page.

JSWDULUX vs peers,sector comparison

StockP/EDiv yieldMarket cap
JSWDULUX (this stock)41.2×1.53%₹14,876 Cr
RELIANCE23.1×0.45%₹17.95L Cr
TCS14.7×3.01%₹7.69L Cr
HDFCBANK15.9×1.65%₹12.11L Cr
INFY14.4×4.51%₹4.32L Cr
ICICIBANK17.9×0.81%₹9.70L Cr
SBIN11.5×1.67%₹9.61L Cr

About Akzo Nobel India: sector, index & market-cap context

Akzo Nobel India (JSWDULUX) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 200 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹14,876 Cr. See more Nifty 200 stocks.

How the JSWDULUX Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Akzo Nobel India's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

JSWDULUX analysis, FAQs

Is Akzo Nobel India (JSWDULUX) a good buy?

On the numbers, Akzo Nobel India (JSWDULUX) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 52/100, weighing expensive at 41.2× earnings, ROE of 19.1%, a 50% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is JSWDULUX overvalued or undervalued?

JSWDULUX trades at 41.2× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.

What is the JSWDULUX share price target for 2031?

JSWDULUX's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹3,376, with an 80% range of ₹1,273₹9,006 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability JSWDULUX doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of JSWDULUX reaching ₹6,584 (2×) within 5 years is 19%.

What is the bull case for JSWDULUX?

High return on equity (19.1%), the business compounds shareholder capital efficiently, the hallmark of a quality franchise. Strong ROCE (22.7%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.

What are the risks in JSWDULUX?

A rich 41.2× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows.

More on JSWDULUX