Case study

JSWENERGY

JSW Energy

High-risk on the numbers1y model -18.5%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

0Score

JSW Energy (JSWENERGY) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is JSWENERGY a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

JSW Energy (JSWENERGY) trades at ₹582,on the numbers it high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 27/100.

On the numbers, JSW Energy (JSWENERGY) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 27/100, weighing expensive at 48.9× earnings, ROE of 7.5%, a 28% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 20272031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

JSWENERGY fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹1.07L Cr
Current price
₹582
P/E ratio
48.9×
P/B ratio
3.33×
Book value
₹175
Dividend yield
0.34%
ROCE
8.2%
ROE
7.5%
Piotroski F-Score
4/9

Is JSWENERGY overvalued? JSWENERGY P/E vs its sector

JSWENERGY's P/E of 48.9× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 0.34% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.65%.

JSWENERGY P/E
48.9×
Peer median P/E
15.9×
JSWENERGY div yield
0.34%
Peer median yield
1.65%

JSWENERGY share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of JSWENERGY history (-14%/yr drift, 35%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
JSWENERGY 2027₹301₹464₹731-19%
JSWENERGY 2028₹204₹380₹721-33%
JSWENERGY 2029₹145₹313₹677-45%
JSWENERGY 2030₹105₹254₹633-55%
JSWENERGY 2031₹78₹210₹582-63%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability JSWENERGY goes up, or doubles?

28%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
10%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
2%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹1,140 within 5 years

The bull case for JSWENERGY

  • JSW Energy is part of the nifty50 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹677.

The bear case & risks

  • A rich 48.9× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows.
  • Return on equity is a soft 7.5%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers.
  • The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 28% chance of finishing above today's price.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹145.

JSWENERGY volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 2.0 years JSWENERGY compounded at -14%/year with annualized volatility of 35%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹301₹731, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

JSWENERGY price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 2.0 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
18.5%
80% range₹301–₹731
P(price ↑)28%
P(price 2×)1%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
45.2%
80% range₹145–₹677
P(price ↑)16%
P(price 2×)2%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
63.2%
80% range₹78–₹582
P(price ↑)10%
P(price 2×)2%

JSWENERGY price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
JSWENERGY simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10–P90 (80%)P25–P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds JSWENERGY hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the JSWENERGY price target & forecast page.

JSWENERGY Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?

4/9

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. JSWENERGY scores 4/9,mixed financial health.

JSWENERGY MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy JSWENERGY with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox31.7%3.2×
Zerodha27.0%3.7×
DhanCHEAPEST24.7%4.1×

Compare every broker on the JSWENERGY MTF page.

JSWENERGY vs peers,sector comparison

StockP/EDiv yieldMarket cap
JSWENERGY (this stock)48.9×0.34%₹1.07L Cr
RELIANCE23.1×0.45%₹17.95L Cr
TCS14.7×3.01%₹7.69L Cr
HDFCBANK15.9×1.65%₹12.11L Cr
INFY14.4×4.51%₹4.32L Cr
ICICIBANK17.9×0.81%₹9.70L Cr
SBIN11.5×1.67%₹9.61L Cr

About JSW Energy: sector, index & market-cap context

JSW Energy (JSWENERGY) is a large-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 50 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹1.07L Cr. See more Nifty 50 stocks.

How the JSWENERGY Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of JSW Energy's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

JSWENERGY analysis, FAQs

Is JSW Energy (JSWENERGY) a good buy?

On the numbers, JSW Energy (JSWENERGY) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 27/100, weighing expensive at 48.9× earnings, ROE of 7.5%, a 28% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is JSWENERGY overvalued or undervalued?

JSWENERGY trades at 48.9× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.

What is the JSWENERGY share price target for 2031?

JSWENERGY's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹210, with an 80% range of ₹78₹582 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability JSWENERGY doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of JSWENERGY reaching ₹1,140 (2×) within 5 years is 2%.

What is the bull case for JSWENERGY?

JSW Energy is part of the nifty50 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.

What are the risks in JSWENERGY?

A rich 48.9× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows. Return on equity is a soft 7.5%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers. The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 28% chance of finishing above today's price.

More on JSWENERGY