JSWHL
JSW Holdings
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
JSW Holdings (JSWHL) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is JSWHL a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
JSW Holdings (JSWHL) trades at ₹12,602,on the numbers it high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 28/100.
On the numbers, JSW Holdings (JSWHL) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 28/100, weighing expensive at 94.1× earnings, ROE of 0.5%, a 63% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
JSWHL fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is JSWHL overvalued? JSWHL P/E vs its sector
JSWHL's P/E of 94.1× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers.
JSWHL share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of JSWHL history (27%/yr drift, 47%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| JSWHL 2027 | ₹8,034 | ₹14,699 | ₹26,694 | +17% |
| JSWHL 2028 | ₹7,317 | ₹17,126 | ₹40,157 | +36% |
| JSWHL 2029 | ₹6,970 | ₹19,975 | ₹56,795 | +59% |
| JSWHL 2030 | ₹6,906 | ₹23,416 | ₹78,698 | +86% |
| JSWHL 2031 | ₹7,003 | ₹27,614 | ₹1,06,280 | +120% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability JSWHL goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for JSWHL
- Low price-to-book of 0.42×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.
- A 10,000-path probability model puts a 63% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹14,699 (+17%).
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹56,795.
The bear case & risks
- A rich 94.1× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows.
- Return on equity is a soft 0.5%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers.
- A low Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 flags weaker financial health this cycle, worth understanding why before committing.
- High historical volatility (47%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹6,970.
JSWHL volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years JSWHL compounded at 27%/year with annualized volatility of 47%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹8,034–₹26,694, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
JSWHL price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
JSWHL price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds JSWHL hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the JSWHL price target & forecast page.
JSWHL Piotroski F-Score: 3/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. JSWHL scores 3/9,weak on the financial-strength checks.
JSWHL MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy JSWHL with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| UpstoxCHEAPEST | 35.0% | 2.9× |
| Zerodha | 50.0% | 2.0× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 35.0% | 2.9× |
Compare every broker on the JSWHL MTF page.
JSWHL vs peers,sector comparison
About JSW Holdings: sector, index & market-cap context
JSW Holdings (JSWHL) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 200 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹13,967 Cr. See more Nifty 200 stocks.
How the JSWHL Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of JSW Holdings's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
JSWHL analysis, FAQs
Is JSW Holdings (JSWHL) a good buy?
On the numbers, JSW Holdings (JSWHL) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 28/100, weighing expensive at 94.1× earnings, ROE of 0.5%, a 63% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is JSWHL overvalued or undervalued?
JSWHL trades at 94.1× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.
What is the JSWHL share price target for 2031?
JSWHL's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹27,614, with an 80% range of ₹7,003–₹1,06,280 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability JSWHL doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of JSWHL reaching ₹25,156 (2×) within 5 years is 54%.
What is the bull case for JSWHL?
Low price-to-book of 0.42×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets. A 10,000-path probability model puts a 63% chance the price is higher in a year, with a median target of ₹14,699 (+17%).
What are the risks in JSWHL?
A rich 94.1× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows. Return on equity is a soft 0.5%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers. A low Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 flags weaker financial health this cycle, worth understanding why before committing.