Case study

JSWINFRA

JSW INFRA

Tread carefully1y model -7.4%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

0Score

JSW INFRA (JSWINFRA) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is JSWINFRA a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

JSW INFRA (JSWINFRA) trades at ₹307,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 35/100.

On the numbers, JSW INFRA (JSWINFRA) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 35/100, weighing expensive at 40.5× earnings, ROE of 15.4%, a 41% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 20272031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

JSWINFRA fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹64,376 Cr
Current price
₹307
P/E ratio
40.5×
P/B ratio
5.93×
Book value
₹52
Dividend yield
0.29%
ROCE
13.7%
ROE
15.4%
Piotroski F-Score
4/9

Is JSWINFRA overvalued? JSWINFRA P/E vs its sector

JSWINFRA's P/E of 40.5× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 0.29% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.65%.

JSWINFRA P/E
40.5×
Peer median P/E
15.9×
JSWINFRA div yield
0.29%
Peer median yield
1.65%

JSWINFRA share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of JSWINFRA history (-3%/yr drift, 34%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
JSWINFRA 2027₹185₹285₹441-7%
JSWINFRA 2028₹142₹261₹490-15%
JSWINFRA 2029₹114₹241₹506-22%
JSWINFRA 2030₹93₹222₹532-28%
JSWINFRA 2031₹77₹203₹537-34%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability JSWINFRA goes up, or doubles?

41%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
29%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
7%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹616 within 5 years

The bull case for JSWINFRA

  • A healthy 15.4% return on equity.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹506.

The bear case & risks

  • A rich 40.5× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows.
  • The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 41% chance of finishing above today's price.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹114.

JSWINFRA volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 2.0 years JSWINFRA compounded at -3%/year with annualized volatility of 34%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹185₹441, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

JSWINFRA price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 2.0 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
7.4%
80% range₹185–₹441
P(price ↑)41%
P(price 2×)1%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
21.7%
80% range₹114–₹506
P(price ↑)34%
P(price 2×)6%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
34.2%
80% range₹77–₹537
P(price ↑)29%
P(price 2×)7%

JSWINFRA price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
JSWINFRA simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10–P90 (80%)P25–P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds JSWINFRA hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the JSWINFRA price target & forecast page.

JSWINFRA Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?

4/9

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. JSWINFRA scores 4/9,mixed financial health.

JSWINFRA MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy JSWINFRA with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
UpstoxCHEAPEST30.8%3.2×
ZerodhaCHEAPEST30.8%3.2×
DhanCHEAPEST30.8%3.2×

Compare every broker on the JSWINFRA MTF page.

JSWINFRA vs peers,sector comparison

StockP/EDiv yieldMarket cap
JSWINFRA (this stock)40.5×0.29%₹64,376 Cr
RELIANCE23.1×0.45%₹17.95L Cr
TCS14.7×3.01%₹7.69L Cr
HDFCBANK15.9×1.65%₹12.11L Cr
INFY14.4×4.51%₹4.32L Cr
ICICIBANK17.9×0.81%₹9.70L Cr
SBIN11.5×1.67%₹9.61L Cr

About JSW INFRA: sector, index & market-cap context

JSW INFRA (JSWINFRA) is a mid-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 100 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹64,376 Cr. See more Nifty 100 stocks.

How the JSWINFRA Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of JSW INFRA's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

JSWINFRA analysis, FAQs

Is JSW INFRA (JSWINFRA) a good buy?

On the numbers, JSW INFRA (JSWINFRA) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 35/100, weighing expensive at 40.5× earnings, ROE of 15.4%, a 41% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is JSWINFRA overvalued or undervalued?

JSWINFRA trades at 40.5× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.

What is the JSWINFRA share price target for 2031?

JSWINFRA's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹203, with an 80% range of ₹77₹537 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability JSWINFRA doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of JSWINFRA reaching ₹616 (2×) within 5 years is 7%.

What is the bull case for JSWINFRA?

A healthy 15.4% return on equity.

What are the risks in JSWINFRA?

A rich 40.5× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows. The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 41% chance of finishing above today's price.

More on JSWINFRA