JTEKTINDIA
Jtekt India
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Jtekt India (JTEKTINDIA) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is JTEKTINDIA a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Jtekt India (JTEKTINDIA) trades at ₹136,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 35/100.
On the numbers, Jtekt India (JTEKTINDIA) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 35/100, weighing expensive at 48.2× earnings, ROE of 12.4%, a 23% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
JTEKTINDIA fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is JTEKTINDIA overvalued? JTEKTINDIA P/E vs its sector
JTEKTINDIA's P/E of 48.2× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 0.51% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.65%.
JTEKTINDIA share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of JTEKTINDIA history (-22%/yr drift, 40%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| JTEKTINDIA 2027 | ₹60 | ₹101 | ₹170 | -26% |
| JTEKTINDIA 2028 | ₹36 | ₹75 | ₹154 | -46% |
| JTEKTINDIA 2029 | ₹23 | ₹55 | ₹135 | -60% |
| JTEKTINDIA 2030 | ₹15 | ₹41 | ₹115 | -70% |
| JTEKTINDIA 2031 | ₹10 | ₹30 | ₹96 | -78% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability JTEKTINDIA goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for JTEKTINDIA
- A healthy 12.4% return on equity.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹135.
The bear case & risks
- A rich 48.2× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows.
- The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 23% chance of finishing above today's price.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹23.
JTEKTINDIA volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years JTEKTINDIA compounded at -22%/year with annualized volatility of 40%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹60–₹170, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
JTEKTINDIA price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
JTEKTINDIA price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds JTEKTINDIA hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the JTEKTINDIA price target & forecast page.
JTEKTINDIA Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. JTEKTINDIA scores 4/9,mixed financial health.
JTEKTINDIA MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy JTEKTINDIA with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 35.0% | 2.9× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 34.4% | 2.9× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 34.4% | 2.9× |
Compare every broker on the JTEKTINDIA MTF page.
JTEKTINDIA vs peers,sector comparison
About Jtekt India: sector, index & market-cap context
Jtekt India (JTEKTINDIA) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹3,781 Cr. See more Nifty 500 stocks.
How the JTEKTINDIA Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Jtekt India's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
JTEKTINDIA analysis, FAQs
Is Jtekt India (JTEKTINDIA) a good buy?
On the numbers, Jtekt India (JTEKTINDIA) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 35/100, weighing expensive at 48.2× earnings, ROE of 12.4%, a 23% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is JTEKTINDIA overvalued or undervalued?
JTEKTINDIA trades at 48.2× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.
What is the JTEKTINDIA share price target for 2031?
JTEKTINDIA's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹30, with an 80% range of ₹10–₹96 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability JTEKTINDIA doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of JTEKTINDIA reaching ₹275 (2×) within 5 years is 1%.
What is the bull case for JTEKTINDIA?
A healthy 12.4% return on equity.
What are the risks in JTEKTINDIA?
A rich 48.2× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows. The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 23% chance of finishing above today's price.