Case study

JTLIND

JTL INDUSTRIES LIMITED

Tread carefully1y model -0.8%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

34Score

JTL INDUSTRIES LIMITED (JTLIND) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is JTLIND a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

JTL INDUSTRIES LIMITED (JTLIND) trades at ₹77,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 34/100.

On the numbers, JTL INDUSTRIES LIMITED (JTLIND) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 34/100, weighing premium at 25.8× earnings, ROE of 7.3%, a 49% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

JTLIND fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹2,954 Cr
Current price
₹77
P/E ratio
25.8×
P/B ratio
1.99×
Book value
₹39
Dividend yield
0.16%
ROCE
9.6%
ROE
7.3%
Piotroski F-Score
6/8

How JTLIND ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is JTLIND overvalued? JTLIND P/E vs peers

JTLIND trades at 25.8× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

JTLIND share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of JTLIND history (33%/yr drift, 55%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
JTLIND 2027₹38₹77₹155-1%
JTLIND 2028₹29₹76₹203-2%
JTLIND 2029₹23₹76₹248-2%
JTLIND 2030₹19₹75₹299-3%
JTLIND 2031₹15₹74₹359-4%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability JTLIND goes up, or doubles?

49%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
49%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
27%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹155 within 5 years

The bull case for JTLIND

  • JTL INDUSTRIES LIMITED is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹248.

The bear case & risks

  • JTLIND's P/E of 25.8x is lower than 52% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • JTLIND's return on equity of 7.3% ranks in the 37th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • High historical volatility (55%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹23.

JTLIND volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years JTLIND compounded at 33%/year with annualized volatility of 55%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹38-₹155, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

JTLIND price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
0.8%
80% range₹38-₹155
P(price ↑)49%
P(price 2×)10%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
2.4%
80% range₹23-₹248
P(price ↑)49%
P(price 2×)22%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
3.9%
80% range₹15-₹359
P(price ↑)49%
P(price 2×)27%

JTLIND price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
JTLIND simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds JTLIND hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the JTLIND price target & forecast page.

JTLIND Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?

6/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. JTLIND scores 6/8, mixed financial health.

JTLIND MTF margin & leverage across 10 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy JTLIND with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 10 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox41.46%2.4×
ZerodhaCHEAPEST41.40%2.4×
Groww41.62%2.4×
DhanCHEAPEST41.40%2.4×
Kotak Neo41.49%2.4×
Paytm Money41.84%2.4×
Pocketful42.16%2.4×
Fyers41.67%2.4×
Anand RathiCHEAPEST41.40%2.4×
Share India41.56%2.4×

Compare every broker on the JTLIND MTF page.

About JTL INDUSTRIES LIMITED: sector, index & market-cap context

JTL INDUSTRIES LIMITED (JTLIND) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹2,954 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the JTLIND Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of JTL INDUSTRIES LIMITED's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

JTLIND analysis, FAQs

Is JTL INDUSTRIES LIMITED (JTLIND) a good buy?

On the numbers, JTL INDUSTRIES LIMITED (JTLIND) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 34/100, weighing premium at 25.8× earnings, ROE of 7.3%, a 49% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is JTLIND overvalued or undervalued?

JTLIND trades at 25.8× earnings, premium versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the JTLIND share price target for 2031?

JTLIND's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹74, with an 80% range of ₹15-₹359 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability JTLIND doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of JTLIND reaching ₹155 (2×) within 5 years is 27%.

What is the bull case for JTLIND?

JTL INDUSTRIES LIMITED is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.

What are the risks in JTLIND?

JTLIND's P/E of 25.8x is lower than 52% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. JTLIND's return on equity of 7.3% ranks in the 37th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. High historical volatility (55%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.

More on JTLIND