Case study

JUBLFOOD

DOMINO'S PIZZA

Tread carefully1y model -17.6%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

0Score

DOMINO'S PIZZA (JUBLFOOD) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is JUBLFOOD a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

DOMINO'S PIZZA (JUBLFOOD) trades at ₹433,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 42/100.

On the numbers, DOMINO'S PIZZA (JUBLFOOD) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 42/100, weighing expensive at 68.8× earnings, ROE of 18.9%, a 26% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 20272031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

JUBLFOOD fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹28,598 Cr
Current price
₹433
P/E ratio
68.8×
P/B ratio
12.48×
Book value
₹35
Dividend yield
0.28%
ROCE
14.6%
ROE
18.9%
Piotroski F-Score
4/9

Is JUBLFOOD overvalued? JUBLFOOD P/E vs its QSR

JUBLFOOD's P/E of 68.8× sits above the QSR peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 0.28% dividend yield is below the peer median of 0.81%.

JUBLFOOD P/E
68.8×
Peer median P/E
15.9×
JUBLFOOD div yield
0.28%
Peer median yield
0.81%

JUBLFOOD share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of JUBLFOOD history (-16%/yr drift, 31%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
JUBLFOOD 2027₹231₹345₹507-18%
JUBLFOOD 2028₹159₹278₹484-34%
JUBLFOOD 2029₹114₹226₹451-46%
JUBLFOOD 2030₹83₹184₹409-56%
JUBLFOOD 2031₹63₹151₹363-64%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability JUBLFOOD goes up, or doubles?

26%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
7%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
1%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹838 within 5 years

The bull case for JUBLFOOD

  • High return on equity (18.9%), the business compounds shareholder capital efficiently, the hallmark of a quality franchise.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹451.

The bear case & risks

  • A rich 68.8× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows.
  • A steep 12.5× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.
  • The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 26% chance of finishing above today's price.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹114.

JUBLFOOD volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 2.0 years JUBLFOOD compounded at -16%/year with annualized volatility of 31%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹231₹507, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

JUBLFOOD price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 2.0 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
17.6%
80% range₹231–₹507
P(price ↑)26%
P(price 2×)0%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
46.2%
80% range₹114–₹451
P(price ↑)12%
P(price 2×)1%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
63.9%
80% range₹63–₹363
P(price ↑)7%
P(price 2×)1%

JUBLFOOD price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
JUBLFOOD simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10–P90 (80%)P25–P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds JUBLFOOD hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the JUBLFOOD price target & forecast page.

JUBLFOOD Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?

4/9

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. JUBLFOOD scores 4/9,mixed financial health.

JUBLFOOD MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy JUBLFOOD with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox30.4%3.3×
Zerodha25.9%3.9×
DhanCHEAPEST23.4%4.3×

Compare every broker on the JUBLFOOD MTF page.

JUBLFOOD vs peers,QSR comparison

StockP/EDiv yieldMarket cap
JUBLFOOD (this stock)68.8×0.28%₹28,598 Cr
DEVYANI12.5×0.00%₹14,457 Cr
RELIANCE23.1×0.45%₹17.95L Cr
TCS14.7×3.01%₹7.69L Cr
HDFCBANK15.9×1.65%₹12.11L Cr
INFY14.4×4.51%₹4.32L Cr
ICICIBANK17.9×0.81%₹9.70L Cr

About DOMINO'S PIZZA: sector, index & market-cap context

DOMINO'S PIZZA (JUBLFOOD) is a mid-cap NSE-listed company in the QSR sector, and a constituent of the Nifty 200 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹28,598 Cr. See more Nifty 200 stocks.

How the JUBLFOOD Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of DOMINO'S PIZZA's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

JUBLFOOD analysis, FAQs

Is DOMINO'S PIZZA (JUBLFOOD) a good buy?

On the numbers, DOMINO'S PIZZA (JUBLFOOD) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 42/100, weighing expensive at 68.8× earnings, ROE of 18.9%, a 26% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is JUBLFOOD overvalued or undervalued?

JUBLFOOD trades at 68.8× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its QSR peers.

What is the JUBLFOOD share price target for 2031?

JUBLFOOD's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹151, with an 80% range of ₹63₹363 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability JUBLFOOD doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of JUBLFOOD reaching ₹838 (2×) within 5 years is 1%.

What is the bull case for JUBLFOOD?

High return on equity (18.9%), the business compounds shareholder capital efficiently, the hallmark of a quality franchise.

What are the risks in JUBLFOOD?

A rich 68.8× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows. A steep 12.5× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books. The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 26% chance of finishing above today's price.

More on JUBLFOOD