Case study

JUBLFOOD

Jubilant Foodworks Limited

Mixed signals1y model +7.3%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

48Score

Jubilant Foodworks Limited (JUBLFOOD) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is JUBLFOOD a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Jubilant Foodworks Limited (JUBLFOOD) trades at ₹486,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 48/100.

On the numbers, Jubilant Foodworks Limited (JUBLFOOD) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 48/100, weighing expensive at 69.7× earnings, ROE of 21.0%, a 59% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

JUBLFOOD fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹32,101 Cr
Current price
₹486
P/E ratio
69.7×
P/B ratio
14.01×
Book value
₹35
Dividend yield
0.25%
ROCE
14.8%
ROE
21.0%
Piotroski F-Score
5/8

How JUBLFOOD ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is JUBLFOOD overvalued? JUBLFOOD P/E vs peers

JUBLFOOD trades at 69.7× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

JUBLFOOD share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of JUBLFOOD history (14%/yr drift, 32%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
JUBLFOOD 2027₹346₹522₹787+7%
JUBLFOOD 2028₹312₹560₹1,006+15%
JUBLFOOD 2029₹299₹601₹1,211+24%
JUBLFOOD 2030₹284₹645₹1,465+33%
JUBLFOOD 2031₹277₹692₹1,732+42%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability JUBLFOOD goes up, or doubles?

59%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
69%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
32%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹973 within 5 years

The bull case for JUBLFOOD

  • JUBLFOOD's return on equity of 21.0% ranks in the 85th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹1,211.

The bear case & risks

  • JUBLFOOD's P/E of 69.7x is lower than 17% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • A steep 14.0× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹299.

JUBLFOOD volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years JUBLFOOD compounded at 14%/year with annualized volatility of 32%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹346-₹787, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

JUBLFOOD price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
7.3%
80% range₹346-₹787
P(price ↑)59%
P(price 2×)3%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
23.6%
80% range₹299-₹1,211
P(price ↑)65%
P(price 2×)19%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
42.3%
80% range₹277-₹1,732
P(price ↑)69%
P(price 2×)32%

JUBLFOOD price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
JUBLFOOD simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds JUBLFOOD hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the JUBLFOOD price target & forecast page.

JUBLFOOD Piotroski F-Score: 5/8, how financially strong is it?

5/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. JUBLFOOD scores 5/8, mixed financial health.

JUBLFOOD MTF margin & leverage across 11 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy JUBLFOOD with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 11 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox27.30%3.7×
Zerodha26.30%3.8×
Groww26.22%3.8×
Dhan23.82%4.2×
Kotak Neo23.81%4.2×
Paytm MoneyCHEAPEST23.80%4.2×
Pocketful30.53%3.3×
Fyers31.25%3.2×
Anand Rathi30.82%3.2×
Bajaj Broking24.00%4.2×
Share India30.70%3.3×

Compare every broker on the JUBLFOOD MTF page.

About Jubilant Foodworks Limited: sector, index & market-cap context

Jubilant Foodworks Limited (JUBLFOOD) is a mid-cap NSE-listed company in the QSR sector, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index, with a market capitalisation of ₹32,101 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the JUBLFOOD Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Jubilant Foodworks Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

JUBLFOOD analysis, FAQs

Is Jubilant Foodworks Limited (JUBLFOOD) a good buy?

On the numbers, Jubilant Foodworks Limited (JUBLFOOD) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 48/100, weighing expensive at 69.7× earnings, ROE of 21.0%, a 59% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is JUBLFOOD overvalued or undervalued?

JUBLFOOD trades at 69.7× earnings, expensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the JUBLFOOD share price target for 2031?

JUBLFOOD's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹692, with an 80% range of ₹277-₹1,732 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability JUBLFOOD doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of JUBLFOOD reaching ₹973 (2×) within 5 years is 32%.

What is the bull case for JUBLFOOD?

JUBLFOOD's return on equity of 21.0% ranks in the 85th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

What are the risks in JUBLFOOD?

JUBLFOOD's P/E of 69.7x is lower than 17% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. A steep 14.0× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.

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