JUBLINGREA
Jubilant Ingrevia
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Jubilant Ingrevia (JUBLINGREA) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is JUBLINGREA a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Jubilant Ingrevia (JUBLINGREA) trades at ₹646,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 39/100.
On the numbers, Jubilant Ingrevia (JUBLINGREA) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 39/100, weighing premium at 35.7× earnings, ROE of 9.5%, a 50% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
JUBLINGREA fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is JUBLINGREA overvalued? JUBLINGREA P/E vs its sector
JUBLINGREA's P/E of 35.7× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 0.77% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.65%.
JUBLINGREA share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of JUBLINGREA history (10%/yr drift, 43%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| JUBLINGREA 2027 | ₹367 | ₹642 | ₹1,115 | +1% |
| JUBLINGREA 2028 | ₹293 | ₹638 | ₹1,404 | +0% |
| JUBLINGREA 2029 | ₹242 | ₹640 | ₹1,703 | +0% |
| JUBLINGREA 2030 | ₹212 | ₹648 | ₹1,964 | +2% |
| JUBLINGREA 2031 | ₹189 | ₹648 | ₹2,233 | +2% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability JUBLINGREA goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for JUBLINGREA
- Jubilant Ingrevia is part of the nifty200 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹1,703.
The bear case & risks
- At 35.7× earnings the stock carries a premium to the market, strong growth is already in the price, so any miss tends to be punished.
- Return on equity is a soft 9.5%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹242.
JUBLINGREA volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years JUBLINGREA compounded at 10%/year with annualized volatility of 43%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹367–₹1,115, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
JUBLINGREA price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
JUBLINGREA price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds JUBLINGREA hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the JUBLINGREA price target & forecast page.
JUBLINGREA Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. JUBLINGREA scores 4/9,mixed financial health.
JUBLINGREA MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy JUBLINGREA with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| UpstoxCHEAPEST | 33.5% | 3.0× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 33.5% | 3.0× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 33.5% | 3.0× |
Compare every broker on the JUBLINGREA MTF page.
JUBLINGREA vs peers,sector comparison
About Jubilant Ingrevia: sector, index & market-cap context
Jubilant Ingrevia (JUBLINGREA) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 200 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹10,277 Cr. See more Nifty 200 stocks.
How the JUBLINGREA Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Jubilant Ingrevia's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
JUBLINGREA analysis, FAQs
Is Jubilant Ingrevia (JUBLINGREA) a good buy?
On the numbers, Jubilant Ingrevia (JUBLINGREA) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 39/100, weighing premium at 35.7× earnings, ROE of 9.5%, a 50% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is JUBLINGREA overvalued or undervalued?
JUBLINGREA trades at 35.7× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.
What is the JUBLINGREA share price target for 2031?
JUBLINGREA's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹648, with an 80% range of ₹189–₹2,233 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability JUBLINGREA doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of JUBLINGREA reaching ₹1,275 (2×) within 5 years is 24%.
What is the bull case for JUBLINGREA?
Jubilant Ingrevia is part of the nifty200 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
What are the risks in JUBLINGREA?
At 35.7× earnings the stock carries a premium to the market, strong growth is already in the price, so any miss tends to be punished. Return on equity is a soft 9.5%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers.