JYOTICNC
JYOTI CNC AUTOMATION LTD
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
JYOTI CNC AUTOMATION LTD (JYOTICNC) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is JYOTICNC a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
JYOTI CNC AUTOMATION LTD (JYOTICNC) trades at ₹730,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 33/100.
On the numbers, JYOTI CNC AUTOMATION LTD (JYOTICNC) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 33/100, weighing expensive at 49.3× earnings, ROE of 18.2%, a 22% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
JYOTICNC fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is JYOTICNC overvalued? JYOTICNC P/E vs its sector
JYOTICNC's P/E of 49.3× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers.
JYOTICNC share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of JYOTICNC history (-26%/yr drift, 47%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| JYOTICNC 2027 | ₹274 | ₹514 | ₹931 | -30% |
| JYOTICNC 2028 | ₹148 | ₹347 | ₹826 | -53% |
| JYOTICNC 2029 | ₹84 | ₹242 | ₹705 | -67% |
| JYOTICNC 2030 | ₹50 | ₹165 | ₹567 | -78% |
| JYOTICNC 2031 | ₹31 | ₹114 | ₹446 | -84% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability JYOTICNC goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for JYOTICNC
- High return on equity (18.2%), the business compounds shareholder capital efficiently, the hallmark of a quality franchise.
- Strong ROCE (21.3%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹705.
The bear case & risks
- A rich 49.3× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows.
- A steep 8.3× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.
- A low Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 flags weaker financial health this cycle, worth understanding why before committing.
- The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 22% chance of finishing above today's price.
- High historical volatility (47%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹84.
JYOTICNC volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years JYOTICNC compounded at -26%/year with annualized volatility of 47%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹274–₹931, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
JYOTICNC price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
JYOTICNC price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds JYOTICNC hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the JYOTICNC price target & forecast page.
JYOTICNC Piotroski F-Score: 3/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. JYOTICNC scores 3/9,weak on the financial-strength checks.
JYOTICNC MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy JYOTICNC with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| UpstoxCHEAPEST | 36.8% | 2.7× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 36.8% | 2.7× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 36.8% | 2.7× |
Compare every broker on the JYOTICNC MTF page.
JYOTICNC vs peers,sector comparison
About JYOTI CNC AUTOMATION LTD: sector, index & market-cap context
JYOTI CNC AUTOMATION LTD (JYOTICNC) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 200 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹16,568 Cr. See more Nifty 200 stocks.
How the JYOTICNC Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of JYOTI CNC AUTOMATION LTD's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
JYOTICNC analysis, FAQs
Is JYOTI CNC AUTOMATION LTD (JYOTICNC) a good buy?
On the numbers, JYOTI CNC AUTOMATION LTD (JYOTICNC) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 33/100, weighing expensive at 49.3× earnings, ROE of 18.2%, a 22% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is JYOTICNC overvalued or undervalued?
JYOTICNC trades at 49.3× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.
What is the JYOTICNC share price target for 2031?
JYOTICNC's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹114, with an 80% range of ₹31–₹446 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability JYOTICNC doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of JYOTICNC reaching ₹1,476 (2×) within 5 years is 1%.
What is the bull case for JYOTICNC?
High return on equity (18.2%), the business compounds shareholder capital efficiently, the hallmark of a quality franchise. Strong ROCE (21.3%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.
What are the risks in JYOTICNC?
A rich 49.3× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows. A steep 8.3× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books. A low Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 flags weaker financial health this cycle, worth understanding why before committing.