Case study

JYOTICNC

Jyoti Cnc Automation Limited

Mixed signals1y model +0.6%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

47Score

Jyoti Cnc Automation Limited (JYOTICNC) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is JYOTICNC a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Jyoti Cnc Automation Limited (JYOTICNC) trades at ₹784,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 47/100.

On the numbers, Jyoti Cnc Automation Limited (JYOTICNC) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 47/100, weighing expensive at 55.4× earnings, ROE of 18.2%, a 51% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

JYOTICNC fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹17,837 Cr
Current price
₹784
P/E ratio
55.4×
P/B ratio
8.91×
Book value
₹88
ROCE
21.3%
ROE
18.2%
Piotroski F-Score
5/8

How JYOTICNC ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is JYOTICNC overvalued? JYOTICNC P/E vs peers

JYOTICNC trades at 55.4× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

JYOTICNC share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.5y of JYOTICNC history (24%/yr drift, 47%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
JYOTICNC 2027₹438₹789₹1,420+1%
JYOTICNC 2028₹346₹793₹1,818+1%
JYOTICNC 2029₹290₹798₹2,193+2%
JYOTICNC 2030₹244₹802₹2,641+2%
JYOTICNC 2031₹209₹807₹3,119+3%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability JYOTICNC goes up, or doubles?

51%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
51%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
26%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹1,569 within 5 years

The bull case for JYOTICNC

  • JYOTICNC's return on equity of 18.2% ranks in the 80th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • JYOTICNC's return on capital employed of 21.3% ranks in the 83rd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹2,193.

The bear case & risks

  • JYOTICNC's P/E of 55.4x is lower than 23% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • A steep 8.9× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.
  • High historical volatility (47%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹290.

JYOTICNC volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 2.5 years JYOTICNC compounded at 24%/year with annualized volatility of 47%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹438-₹1,420, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

JYOTICNC price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 2.5 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
0.6%
80% range₹438-₹1,420
P(price ↑)51%
P(price 2×)7%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
1.7%
80% range₹290-₹2,193
P(price ↑)51%
P(price 2×)20%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
2.8%
80% range₹209-₹3,119
P(price ↑)51%
P(price 2×)26%

JYOTICNC price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
JYOTICNC simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds JYOTICNC hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the JYOTICNC price target & forecast page.

JYOTICNC Piotroski F-Score: 5/8, how financially strong is it?

5/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. JYOTICNC scores 5/8, mixed financial health.

JYOTICNC MTF margin & leverage across 10 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy JYOTICNC with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 10 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
UpstoxCHEAPEST36.03%2.8×
Zerodha36.58%2.7×
Groww36.16%2.8×
Dhan36.58%2.7×
Kotak Neo36.63%2.7×
Paytm Money36.19%2.8×
Pocketful36.45%2.7×
Anand Rathi36.58%2.7×
Bajaj Broking50.00%2.0×
Share India36.16%2.8×

Compare every broker on the JYOTICNC MTF page.

About Jyoti Cnc Automation Limited: sector, index & market-cap context

Jyoti Cnc Automation Limited (JYOTICNC) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index, with a market capitalisation of ₹17,837 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the JYOTICNC Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Jyoti Cnc Automation Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

JYOTICNC analysis, FAQs

Is Jyoti Cnc Automation Limited (JYOTICNC) a good buy?

On the numbers, Jyoti Cnc Automation Limited (JYOTICNC) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 47/100, weighing expensive at 55.4× earnings, ROE of 18.2%, a 51% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is JYOTICNC overvalued or undervalued?

JYOTICNC trades at 55.4× earnings, expensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the JYOTICNC share price target for 2031?

JYOTICNC's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹807, with an 80% range of ₹209-₹3,119 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability JYOTICNC doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of JYOTICNC reaching ₹1,569 (2×) within 5 years is 26%.

What is the bull case for JYOTICNC?

JYOTICNC's return on equity of 18.2% ranks in the 80th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. JYOTICNC's return on capital employed of 21.3% ranks in the 83rd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

What are the risks in JYOTICNC?

JYOTICNC's P/E of 55.4x is lower than 23% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. A steep 8.9× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books. High historical volatility (47%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.

More on JYOTICNC