Case study

KALAMANDIR

SAI SILKS (KALAMANDIR) L

High-risk on the numbers1y model -29.8%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

0Score

SAI SILKS (KALAMANDIR) L (KALAMANDIR) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is KALAMANDIR a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

SAI SILKS (KALAMANDIR) L (KALAMANDIR) trades at ₹110,on the numbers it high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 28/100.

On the numbers, SAI SILKS (KALAMANDIR) L (KALAMANDIR) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 28/100, weighing premium at 31.2× earnings, ROE of 2.0%, a 21% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 20272031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

KALAMANDIR fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹1,695 Cr
Current price
₹110
P/E ratio
31.2×
P/B ratio
120.88×
Book value
₹1
Dividend yield
0.91%
ROCE
2.0%
ROE
2.0%
Piotroski F-Score
4/9

Is KALAMANDIR overvalued? KALAMANDIR P/E vs its sector

KALAMANDIR's P/E of 31.2× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 0.91% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.65%.

KALAMANDIR P/E
31.2×
Peer median P/E
15.9×
KALAMANDIR div yield
0.91%
Peer median yield
1.65%

KALAMANDIR share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of KALAMANDIR history (-25%/yr drift, 46%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
KALAMANDIR 2027₹43₹77₹136-30%
KALAMANDIR 2028₹23₹53₹123-51%
KALAMANDIR 2029₹13₹37₹101-66%
KALAMANDIR 2030₹8₹26₹84-76%
KALAMANDIR 2031₹5₹18₹67-83%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability KALAMANDIR goes up, or doubles?

21%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
4%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
1%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹219 within 5 years

The bull case for KALAMANDIR

  • SAI SILKS (KALAMANDIR) L is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹101.

The bear case & risks

  • At 31.2× earnings the stock carries a premium to the market, strong growth is already in the price, so any miss tends to be punished.
  • A steep 120.9× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.
  • Return on equity is a soft 2.0%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers.
  • The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 21% chance of finishing above today's price.
  • High historical volatility (46%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹13.

KALAMANDIR volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 2.0 years KALAMANDIR compounded at -25%/year with annualized volatility of 46%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹43₹136, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

KALAMANDIR price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 2.0 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
29.8%
80% range₹43–₹136
P(price ↑)21%
P(price 2×)1%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
65.7%
80% range₹13–₹101
P(price ↑)8%
P(price 2×)1%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
83.4%
80% range₹5–₹67
P(price ↑)4%
P(price 2×)1%

KALAMANDIR price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
KALAMANDIR simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10–P90 (80%)P25–P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds KALAMANDIR hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the KALAMANDIR price target & forecast page.

KALAMANDIR Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?

4/9

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. KALAMANDIR scores 4/9,mixed financial health.

KALAMANDIR MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy KALAMANDIR with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
UpstoxCHEAPEST36.6%2.7×
ZerodhaCHEAPEST36.6%2.7×
Dhan40.0%2.5×

Compare every broker on the KALAMANDIR MTF page.

KALAMANDIR vs peers,sector comparison

StockP/EDiv yieldMarket cap
KALAMANDIR (this stock)31.2×0.91%₹1,695 Cr
RELIANCE23.1×0.45%₹17.95L Cr
TCS14.7×3.01%₹7.69L Cr
HDFCBANK15.9×1.65%₹12.11L Cr
INFY14.4×4.51%₹4.32L Cr
ICICIBANK17.9×0.81%₹9.70L Cr
SBIN11.5×1.67%₹9.61L Cr

About SAI SILKS (KALAMANDIR) L: sector, index & market-cap context

SAI SILKS (KALAMANDIR) L (KALAMANDIR) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹1,695 Cr. See more Nifty 500 stocks.

How the KALAMANDIR Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of SAI SILKS (KALAMANDIR) L's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

KALAMANDIR analysis, FAQs

Is SAI SILKS (KALAMANDIR) L (KALAMANDIR) a good buy?

On the numbers, SAI SILKS (KALAMANDIR) L (KALAMANDIR) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 28/100, weighing premium at 31.2× earnings, ROE of 2.0%, a 21% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is KALAMANDIR overvalued or undervalued?

KALAMANDIR trades at 31.2× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.

What is the KALAMANDIR share price target for 2031?

KALAMANDIR's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹18, with an 80% range of ₹5₹67 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability KALAMANDIR doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of KALAMANDIR reaching ₹219 (2×) within 5 years is 1%.

What is the bull case for KALAMANDIR?

SAI SILKS (KALAMANDIR) L is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.

What are the risks in KALAMANDIR?

At 31.2× earnings the stock carries a premium to the market, strong growth is already in the price, so any miss tends to be punished. A steep 120.9× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books. Return on equity is a soft 2.0%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers.

More on KALAMANDIR