Case study

KAMATHOTEL

KAMATHOTEL

Mixed signals1y model -23.4%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

0Score

KAMATHOTEL (KAMATHOTEL) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is KAMATHOTEL a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

KAMATHOTEL (KAMATHOTEL) trades at ₹175,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 46/100.

On the numbers, KAMATHOTEL (KAMATHOTEL) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 46/100, weighing inexpensive at 12.1× earnings, ROE of 14.4%, a 30% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 20272031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

KAMATHOTEL fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹519 Cr
Current price
₹175
P/E ratio
12.1×
P/B ratio
1.64×
Book value
₹107
ROCE
15.8%
ROE
14.4%
Piotroski F-Score
3/9

Is KAMATHOTEL overvalued? KAMATHOTEL P/E vs its sector

KAMATHOTEL's P/E of 12.1× sits below the sector peer median of 14.7×, so on earnings it screens cheaper than peers.

KAMATHOTEL P/E
12.1×
Peer median P/E
14.7×
Peer median yield
1.66%

KAMATHOTEL share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of KAMATHOTEL history (-15%/yr drift, 50%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
KAMATHOTEL 2027₹69₹131₹249-23%
KAMATHOTEL 2028₹40₹98₹247-43%
KAMATHOTEL 2029₹24₹74₹226-57%
KAMATHOTEL 2030₹16₹57₹204-67%
KAMATHOTEL 2031₹10₹42₹180-75%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability KAMATHOTEL goes up, or doubles?

30%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
11%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
3%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹342 within 5 years

The bull case for KAMATHOTEL

  • Trades at just 12.1× earnings, below the ~22× long-run Nifty average, so the valuation leaves room rather than pricing in perfection.
  • A healthy 14.4% return on equity.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹226.

The bear case & risks

  • A low Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 flags weaker financial health this cycle, worth understanding why before committing.
  • The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 30% chance of finishing above today's price.
  • High historical volatility (50%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹24.

KAMATHOTEL volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 2.0 years KAMATHOTEL compounded at -15%/year with annualized volatility of 50%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹69₹249, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

KAMATHOTEL price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 2.0 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
23.4%
80% range₹69–₹249
P(price ↑)30%
P(price 2×)3%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
57.0%
80% range₹24–₹226
P(price ↑)17%
P(price 2×)4%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
75.4%
80% range₹10–₹180
P(price ↑)11%
P(price 2×)3%

KAMATHOTEL price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
KAMATHOTEL simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10–P90 (80%)P25–P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds KAMATHOTEL hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the KAMATHOTEL price target & forecast page.

KAMATHOTEL Piotroski F-Score: 3/9, how financially strong is it?

3/9

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. KAMATHOTEL scores 3/9,weak on the financial-strength checks.

KAMATHOTEL MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy KAMATHOTEL with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
ZerodhaCHEAPEST50.0%2.0×
DhanCHEAPEST50.0%2.0×

Compare every broker on the KAMATHOTEL MTF page.

KAMATHOTEL vs peers,sector comparison

StockP/EDiv yieldMarket cap
KAMATHOTEL (this stock)12.1×₹519 Cr
RELIANCE23.1×0.45%₹17.95L Cr
TCS14.7×3.01%₹7.69L Cr
HDFCBANK15.9×1.65%₹12.11L Cr
INFY14.4×4.51%₹4.32L Cr
ICICIBANK17.9×0.81%₹9.70L Cr
SBIN11.5×1.67%₹9.61L Cr

About KAMATHOTEL: sector, index & market-cap context

KAMATHOTEL (KAMATHOTEL) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹519 Cr. See more Nifty 500 stocks.

How the KAMATHOTEL Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of KAMATHOTEL's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

KAMATHOTEL analysis, FAQs

Is KAMATHOTEL (KAMATHOTEL) a good buy?

On the numbers, KAMATHOTEL (KAMATHOTEL) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 46/100, weighing inexpensive at 12.1× earnings, ROE of 14.4%, a 30% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is KAMATHOTEL overvalued or undervalued?

KAMATHOTEL trades at 12.1× earnings versus a peer median of 14.7×, so it screens cheaper than its sector peers.

What is the KAMATHOTEL share price target for 2031?

KAMATHOTEL's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹42, with an 80% range of ₹10₹180 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability KAMATHOTEL doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of KAMATHOTEL reaching ₹342 (2×) within 5 years is 3%.

What is the bull case for KAMATHOTEL?

Trades at just 12.1× earnings, below the ~22× long-run Nifty average, so the valuation leaves room rather than pricing in perfection. A healthy 14.4% return on equity.

What are the risks in KAMATHOTEL?

A low Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 flags weaker financial health this cycle, worth understanding why before committing. The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 30% chance of finishing above today's price. High historical volatility (50%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.

More on KAMATHOTEL