Case study

KANSAINER

Kansai Nerolac Paints Limited

Tread carefully1y model +4.7%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

39Score

Kansai Nerolac Paints Limited (KANSAINER) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is KANSAINER a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Kansai Nerolac Paints Limited (KANSAINER) trades at ₹212,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 39/100.

On the numbers, Kansai Nerolac Paints Limited (KANSAINER) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 39/100, weighing premium at 26.6× earnings, ROE of 8.8%, a 57% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

KANSAINER fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹17,173 Cr
Current price
₹212
P/E ratio
26.6×
P/B ratio
2.55×
Book value
₹83
Dividend yield
1.18%
ROCE
12.0%
ROE
8.8%
Piotroski F-Score
6/8

How KANSAINER ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is KANSAINER overvalued? KANSAINER P/E vs peers

KANSAINER trades at 26.6× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

KANSAINER share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of KANSAINER history (-2%/yr drift, 27%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
KANSAINER 2027₹157₹222₹314+5%
KANSAINER 2028₹142₹233₹382+10%
KANSAINER 2029₹134₹244₹442+15%
KANSAINER 2030₹128₹255₹508+20%
KANSAINER 2031₹125₹267₹570+26%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability KANSAINER goes up, or doubles?

57%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
65%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
22%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹425 within 5 years

The bull case for KANSAINER

  • Kansai Nerolac Paints Limited is part of the nifty200 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹442.

The bear case & risks

  • KANSAINER's P/E of 26.6x is lower than 50% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • KANSAINER's return on equity of 8.8% ranks in the 43rd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹134.

KANSAINER volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years KANSAINER compounded at -2%/year with annualized volatility of 27%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹157-₹314, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

KANSAINER price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
4.7%
80% range₹157-₹314
P(price ↑)57%
P(price 2×)1%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
14.8%
80% range₹134-₹442
P(price ↑)62%
P(price 2×)12%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
25.8%
80% range₹125-₹570
P(price ↑)65%
P(price 2×)22%

KANSAINER price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
KANSAINER simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds KANSAINER hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the KANSAINER price target & forecast page.

KANSAINER Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?

6/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. KANSAINER scores 6/8, mixed financial health.

KANSAINER MTF margin & leverage across 10 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy KANSAINER with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 10 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox35.00%2.9×
Zerodha28.72%3.5×
Groww28.78%3.5×
Dhan28.72%3.5×
Kotak Neo30.03%3.3×
Paytm Money28.78%3.5×
PocketfulCHEAPEST28.23%3.5×
Anand Rathi28.72%3.5×
Bajaj Broking29.00%3.4×
Share India28.48%3.5×

Compare every broker on the KANSAINER MTF page.

About Kansai Nerolac Paints Limited: sector, index & market-cap context

Kansai Nerolac Paints Limited (KANSAINER) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹17,173 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the KANSAINER Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Kansai Nerolac Paints Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

KANSAINER analysis, FAQs

Is Kansai Nerolac Paints Limited (KANSAINER) a good buy?

On the numbers, Kansai Nerolac Paints Limited (KANSAINER) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 39/100, weighing premium at 26.6× earnings, ROE of 8.8%, a 57% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is KANSAINER overvalued or undervalued?

KANSAINER trades at 26.6× earnings, premium versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the KANSAINER share price target for 2031?

KANSAINER's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹267, with an 80% range of ₹125-₹570 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability KANSAINER doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of KANSAINER reaching ₹425 (2×) within 5 years is 22%.

What is the bull case for KANSAINER?

Kansai Nerolac Paints Limited is part of the nifty200 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.

What are the risks in KANSAINER?

KANSAINER's P/E of 26.6x is lower than 50% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. KANSAINER's return on equity of 8.8% ranks in the 43rd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

More on KANSAINER