KANSAINER
Kansai Nerolac Paints
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Kansai Nerolac Paints (KANSAINER) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is KANSAINER a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Kansai Nerolac Paints (KANSAINER) trades at ₹215,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 33/100.
On the numbers, Kansai Nerolac Paints (KANSAINER) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 33/100, weighing premium at 30.1× earnings, ROE of 8.8%, a 26% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
KANSAINER fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is KANSAINER overvalued? KANSAINER P/E vs its sector
KANSAINER's P/E of 30.1× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 1.16% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.65%.
KANSAINER share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of KANSAINER history (-14%/yr drift, 26%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KANSAINER 2027 | ₹128 | ₹179 | ₹248 | -15% |
| KANSAINER 2028 | ₹95 | ₹151 | ₹241 | -29% |
| KANSAINER 2029 | ₹71 | ₹127 | ₹226 | -40% |
| KANSAINER 2030 | ₹54 | ₹107 | ₹205 | -49% |
| KANSAINER 2031 | ₹42 | ₹89 | ₹189 | -58% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability KANSAINER goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for KANSAINER
- Kansai Nerolac Paints is part of the nifty200 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹226.
The bear case & risks
- At 30.1× earnings the stock carries a premium to the market, strong growth is already in the price, so any miss tends to be punished.
- Return on equity is a soft 8.8%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers.
- The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 26% chance of finishing above today's price.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹71.
KANSAINER volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years KANSAINER compounded at -14%/year with annualized volatility of 26%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹128–₹248, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
KANSAINER price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
KANSAINER price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds KANSAINER hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the KANSAINER price target & forecast page.
KANSAINER Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. KANSAINER scores 4/9,mixed financial health.
KANSAINER MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy KANSAINER with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 35.0% | 2.9× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 28.2% | 3.5× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 28.2% | 3.5× |
Compare every broker on the KANSAINER MTF page.
KANSAINER vs peers,sector comparison
About Kansai Nerolac Paints: sector, index & market-cap context
Kansai Nerolac Paints (KANSAINER) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 200 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹17,418 Cr. See more Nifty 200 stocks.
How the KANSAINER Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Kansai Nerolac Paints's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
KANSAINER analysis, FAQs
Is Kansai Nerolac Paints (KANSAINER) a good buy?
On the numbers, Kansai Nerolac Paints (KANSAINER) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 33/100, weighing premium at 30.1× earnings, ROE of 8.8%, a 26% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is KANSAINER overvalued or undervalued?
KANSAINER trades at 30.1× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.
What is the KANSAINER share price target for 2031?
KANSAINER's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹89, with an 80% range of ₹42–₹189 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability KANSAINER doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of KANSAINER reaching ₹422 (2×) within 5 years is 0%.
What is the bull case for KANSAINER?
Kansai Nerolac Paints is part of the nifty200 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
What are the risks in KANSAINER?
At 30.1× earnings the stock carries a premium to the market, strong growth is already in the price, so any miss tends to be punished. Return on equity is a soft 8.8%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers. The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 26% chance of finishing above today's price.