KCPSUGIND
KCP Sugar & Industries Corporation Ltd
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
KCP Sugar & Industries Corporation Ltd (KCPSUGIND) Stock Analysis & Case Study
What the numbers say about KCPSUGIND, and the method behind each one.
KCP Sugar & Industries Corporation Ltd (KCPSUGIND) trades at ₹30,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 57/100.
On the numbers, KCP Sugar & Industries Corporation Ltd (KCPSUGIND) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 57/100, weighing inexpensive at 8.9× earnings, ROE of 2.5%, a 52% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
KCPSUGIND fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
How KCPSUGIND ranks against the 2,979 companies in our screener
- KCPSUGIND's market cap of 340 Cr ranks in the 34th percentile of the 2,979 NSE companies in our screener, as of 13 Aug 2026.
- KCPSUGIND's book value of ₹41 ranks in the 30th percentile of the 2,979 NSE companies in our screener, as of 13 Aug 2026.
- KCPSUGIND's promoter holding of 42.2% ranks in the 16th percentile of the 2,979 NSE companies in our screener, as of 13 Aug 2026.
- KCPSUGIND's 3-year revenue growth of -4.0% ranks in the 16th percentile of the 2,979 NSE companies in our screener, as of 13 Aug 2026.
- KCPSUGIND's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.28x is lower than 56% of the 2,979 NSE companies in our screener, as of 13 Aug 2026.
We do not hold a 3-year profit (PAT) growth figure for KCPSUGIND, as of 13 Aug 2026, so it is not ranked here.
Is KCPSUGIND overvalued? KCPSUGIND P/E vs peers
KCPSUGIND trades at 8.9× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.
KCPSUGIND share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of KCPSUGIND history (-1%/yr drift, 42%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KCPSUGIND 2027 | ₹18 | ₹31 | ₹53 | +2% |
| KCPSUGIND 2028 | ₹15 | ₹31 | ₹67 | +4% |
| KCPSUGIND 2029 | ₹12 | ₹32 | ₹82 | +6% |
| KCPSUGIND 2030 | ₹11 | ₹33 | ₹97 | +8% |
| KCPSUGIND 2031 | ₹10 | ₹33 | ₹111 | +11% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability KCPSUGIND goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for KCPSUGIND
- KCPSUGIND's P/E of 8.9x is lower than 86% of the 2,979 NSE companies in our screener, as of 13 Aug 2026.
- Low price-to-book of 0.75×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹82.
The bear case & risks
- KCPSUGIND's return on equity of 2.5% ranks in the 20th percentile of the 2,979 NSE companies in our screener, as of 13 Aug 2026.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹12.
KCPSUGIND volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 9.8 years KCPSUGIND compounded at -1%/year with annualized volatility of 42%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹18-₹53, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
KCPSUGIND price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
KCPSUGIND price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds KCPSUGIND hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the KCPSUGIND price target & forecast page.
KCPSUGIND Piotroski F-Score: 4/8, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. KCPSUGIND scores 4/8, mixed financial health.
About KCP Sugar & Industries Corporation Ltd: sector, index & market-cap context
KCP Sugar & Industries Corporation Ltd (KCPSUGIND) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹340 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.
How the KCPSUGIND Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of KCP Sugar & Industries Corporation Ltd's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
KCPSUGIND analysis, FAQs
Is KCP Sugar & Industries Corporation Ltd (KCPSUGIND) a good buy?
On the numbers, KCP Sugar & Industries Corporation Ltd (KCPSUGIND) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 57/100, weighing inexpensive at 8.9× earnings, ROE of 2.5%, a 52% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is KCPSUGIND overvalued or undervalued?
KCPSUGIND trades at 8.9× earnings, inexpensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.
What is the KCPSUGIND share price target for 2031?
KCPSUGIND's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹33, with an 80% range of ₹10-₹111 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability KCPSUGIND doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of KCPSUGIND reaching ₹60 (2×) within 5 years is 27%.
What is the bull case for KCPSUGIND?
KCPSUGIND's P/E of 8.9x is lower than 86% of the 2,979 NSE companies in our screener, as of 13 Aug 2026. Low price-to-book of 0.75×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.
What are the risks in KCPSUGIND?
KCPSUGIND's return on equity of 2.5% ranks in the 20th percentile of the 2,979 NSE companies in our screener, as of 13 Aug 2026.
More on KCPSUGIND
For information and education only. Downstox is a data and analytics platform, not a SEBI-registered Research Analyst or Investment Adviser. Nothing here is investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security. Any scores, ranks, targets or scenarios are model estimates shown with their method, not forecasts or assured outcomes. Markets carry risk; do your own research and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.