KECL
Kirloskar Electric Company
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Kirloskar Electric Company (KECL) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is KECL a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Kirloskar Electric Company (KECL) trades at ₹144,on the numbers it high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 28/100.
On the numbers, Kirloskar Electric Company (KECL) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 28/100, weighing expensive at 109.0× earnings, ROE of 6.8%, a 51% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
KECL fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
How KECL ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener
- KECL's market cap of 953 Cr ranks in the 38th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- KECL's book value of ₹20 ranks in the 18th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- KECL's promoter holding of 49.7% ranks in the 29th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- KECL's 3-year profit (PAT) growth of -29.0% ranks in the 7th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- KECL's 3-year revenue growth of 8.0% ranks in the 44th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- KECL's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.76x is lower than 22% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
Is KECL overvalued? KECL P/E vs peers
KECL trades at 109.0× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.
KECL share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of KECL history (11%/yr drift, 47%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KECL 2027 | ₹80 | ₹145 | ₹265 | +1% |
| KECL 2028 | ₹63 | ₹147 | ₹346 | +3% |
| KECL 2029 | ₹53 | ₹149 | ₹423 | +4% |
| KECL 2030 | ₹46 | ₹151 | ₹498 | +5% |
| KECL 2031 | ₹41 | ₹153 | ₹579 | +7% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability KECL goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for KECL
- Kirloskar Electric Company is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹423.
The bear case & risks
- KECL's P/E of 109.0x is lower than 10% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- KECL's return on equity of 6.8% ranks in the 36th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- High historical volatility (47%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹53.
KECL volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 9.8 years KECL compounded at 11%/year with annualized volatility of 47%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹80-₹265, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
KECL price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
KECL price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds KECL hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the KECL price target & forecast page.
KECL Piotroski F-Score: 4/8, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. KECL scores 4/8, mixed financial health.
KECL MTF margin & leverage across 2 brokers
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy KECL with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 2 brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Groww | 38.17% | 2.6× |
| Share IndiaCHEAPEST | 37.74% | 2.6× |
Compare every broker on the KECL MTF page.
About Kirloskar Electric Company: sector, index & market-cap context
Kirloskar Electric Company (KECL) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹953 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.
How the KECL Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Kirloskar Electric Company's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
KECL analysis, FAQs
Is Kirloskar Electric Company (KECL) a good buy?
On the numbers, Kirloskar Electric Company (KECL) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 28/100, weighing expensive at 109.0× earnings, ROE of 6.8%, a 51% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is KECL overvalued or undervalued?
KECL trades at 109.0× earnings, expensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.
What is the KECL share price target for 2031?
KECL's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹153, with an 80% range of ₹41-₹579 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability KECL doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of KECL reaching ₹287 (2×) within 5 years is 27%.
What is the bull case for KECL?
Kirloskar Electric Company is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
What are the risks in KECL?
KECL's P/E of 109.0x is lower than 10% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. KECL's return on equity of 6.8% ranks in the 36th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. High historical volatility (47%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.