KELLTONTEC
KELLTONTEC
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
KELLTONTEC (KELLTONTEC) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is KELLTONTEC a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
KELLTONTEC (KELLTONTEC) trades at ₹16,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 46/100.
On the numbers, KELLTONTEC (KELLTONTEC) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 46/100, weighing inexpensive at 9.1× earnings, ROE of 13.6%, a 28% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
KELLTONTEC fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is KELLTONTEC overvalued? KELLTONTEC P/E vs its sector
KELLTONTEC's P/E of 9.1× sits below the sector peer median of 14.7×, so on earnings it screens cheaper than peers.
KELLTONTEC share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of KELLTONTEC history (-18%/yr drift, 56%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KELLTONTEC 2027 | ₹5 | ₹11 | ₹23 | -27% |
| KELLTONTEC 2028 | ₹3 | ₹8 | ₹22 | -48% |
| KELLTONTEC 2029 | ₹2 | ₹6 | ₹20 | -63% |
| KELLTONTEC 2030 | ₹1 | ₹4 | ₹17 | -73% |
| KELLTONTEC 2031 | ₹1 | ₹3 | ₹14 | -81% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability KELLTONTEC goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for KELLTONTEC
- Trades at just 9.1× earnings, below the ~22× long-run Nifty average, so the valuation leaves room rather than pricing in perfection.
- Low price-to-book of 1.03×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.
- A healthy 13.6% return on equity.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹20.
The bear case & risks
- A low Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 flags weaker financial health this cycle, worth understanding why before committing.
- The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 28% chance of finishing above today's price.
- High historical volatility (56%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹2.
KELLTONTEC volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years KELLTONTEC compounded at -18%/year with annualized volatility of 56%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹5–₹23, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
KELLTONTEC price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
KELLTONTEC price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds KELLTONTEC hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the KELLTONTEC price target & forecast page.
KELLTONTEC Piotroski F-Score: 3/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. KELLTONTEC scores 3/9,weak on the financial-strength checks.
KELLTONTEC MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy KELLTONTEC with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 39.3% | 2.5× |
| Dhan | 40.0% | 2.5× |
Compare every broker on the KELLTONTEC MTF page.
KELLTONTEC vs peers,sector comparison
About KELLTONTEC: sector, index & market-cap context
KELLTONTEC (KELLTONTEC) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹830 Cr. See more Nifty 500 stocks.
How the KELLTONTEC Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of KELLTONTEC's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
KELLTONTEC analysis, FAQs
Is KELLTONTEC (KELLTONTEC) a good buy?
On the numbers, KELLTONTEC (KELLTONTEC) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 46/100, weighing inexpensive at 9.1× earnings, ROE of 13.6%, a 28% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is KELLTONTEC overvalued or undervalued?
KELLTONTEC trades at 9.1× earnings versus a peer median of 14.7×, so it screens cheaper than its sector peers.
What is the KELLTONTEC share price target for 2031?
KELLTONTEC's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹3, with an 80% range of ₹1–₹14 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability KELLTONTEC doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of KELLTONTEC reaching ₹31 (2×) within 5 years is 3%.
What is the bull case for KELLTONTEC?
Trades at just 9.1× earnings, below the ~22× long-run Nifty average, so the valuation leaves room rather than pricing in perfection. Low price-to-book of 1.03×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets. A healthy 13.6% return on equity.
What are the risks in KELLTONTEC?
A low Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 flags weaker financial health this cycle, worth understanding why before committing. The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 28% chance of finishing above today's price. High historical volatility (56%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.