KERNEX
Kernex Microsystems (India) Limited
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Kernex Microsystems (India) Limited (KERNEX) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is KERNEX a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Kernex Microsystems (India) Limited (KERNEX) trades at ₹2,452,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 47/100.
On the numbers, Kernex Microsystems (India) Limited (KERNEX) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 47/100, weighing expensive at 46.6× earnings, ROE of 43.5%, a 50% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
KERNEX fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
How KERNEX ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener
- KERNEX's market cap of 4,120 Cr ranks in the 63rd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- KERNEX's book value of ₹148 ranks in the 64th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- KERNEX's promoter holding of 28.7% ranks in the 7th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- KERNEX's 3-year profit (PAT) growth of 86.0% ranks in the 92nd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- KERNEX's 3-year revenue growth of 374.0% ranks in the top 1% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- KERNEX's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.65x is lower than 27% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
Is KERNEX overvalued? KERNEX P/E vs peers
KERNEX trades at 46.6× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.
KERNEX share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of KERNEX history (43%/yr drift, 59%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KERNEX 2027 | ₹1,148 | ₹2,436 | ₹5,172 | -1% |
| KERNEX 2028 | ₹832 | ₹2,421 | ₹7,046 | -1% |
| KERNEX 2029 | ₹659 | ₹2,406 | ₹8,788 | -2% |
| KERNEX 2030 | ₹535 | ₹2,391 | ₹10,686 | -2% |
| KERNEX 2031 | ₹445 | ₹2,376 | ₹12,671 | -3% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability KERNEX goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for KERNEX
- KERNEX's return on equity of 43.5% ranks in the top 2% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- KERNEX's return on capital employed of 47.8% ranks in the top 2% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹8,788.
The bear case & risks
- KERNEX's P/E of 46.6x is lower than 29% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- A steep 16.6× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.
- High historical volatility (59%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹659.
KERNEX volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 9.8 years KERNEX compounded at 43%/year with annualized volatility of 59%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹1,148-₹5,172, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
KERNEX price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
KERNEX price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds KERNEX hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the KERNEX price target & forecast page.
KERNEX Piotroski F-Score: 5/8, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. KERNEX scores 5/8, mixed financial health.
KERNEX MTF margin & leverage across 7 brokers
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy KERNEX with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 7 brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Zerodha | 42.18% | 2.4× |
| Groww | 60.00% | 1.7× |
| Kotak Neo | 42.19% | 2.4× |
| Paytm Money | 100.00% | 1.0× |
| Pocketful | 42.36% | 2.4× |
| Anand Rathi | 100.00% | 1.0× |
| Share IndiaCHEAPEST | 42.01% | 2.4× |
Compare every broker on the KERNEX MTF page.
About Kernex Microsystems (India) Limited: sector, index & market-cap context
Kernex Microsystems (India) Limited (KERNEX) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹4,120 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.
How the KERNEX Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Kernex Microsystems (India) Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
KERNEX analysis, FAQs
Is Kernex Microsystems (India) Limited (KERNEX) a good buy?
On the numbers, Kernex Microsystems (India) Limited (KERNEX) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 47/100, weighing expensive at 46.6× earnings, ROE of 43.5%, a 50% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is KERNEX overvalued or undervalued?
KERNEX trades at 46.6× earnings, expensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.
What is the KERNEX share price target for 2031?
KERNEX's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹2,376, with an 80% range of ₹445-₹12,671 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability KERNEX doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of KERNEX reaching ₹4,904 (2×) within 5 years is 29%.
What is the bull case for KERNEX?
KERNEX's return on equity of 43.5% ranks in the top 2% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. KERNEX's return on capital employed of 47.8% ranks in the top 2% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
What are the risks in KERNEX?
KERNEX's P/E of 46.6x is lower than 29% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. A steep 16.6× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books. High historical volatility (59%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.