Case study

KIOCL

Kiocl Limited

High-risk on the numbers1y model -4.0%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

28Score

Kiocl Limited (KIOCL) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is KIOCL a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Kiocl Limited (KIOCL) trades at ₹392,on the numbers it high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 28/100.

On the numbers, Kiocl Limited (KIOCL) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 28/100, weighing expensive at 1437.0× earnings, ROE of 1.0%, a 47% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

KIOCL fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹23,809 Cr
Current price
₹392
P/E ratio
1437.0×
P/B ratio
13.71×
Book value
₹29
ROCE
1.4%
ROE
1.0%
Piotroski F-Score
4/8

How KIOCL ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is KIOCL overvalued? KIOCL P/E vs peers

KIOCL trades at 1437.0× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

KIOCL share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.5y of KIOCL history (38%/yr drift, 57%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
KIOCL 2027₹182₹376₹777-4%
KIOCL 2028₹132₹361₹985-8%
KIOCL 2029₹98₹347₹1,224-11%
KIOCL 2030₹77₹333₹1,445-15%
KIOCL 2031₹62₹320₹1,655-18%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability KIOCL goes up, or doubles?

47%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
44%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
24%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹784 within 5 years

The bull case for KIOCL

  • Kiocl Limited is part of the nifty200 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹1,224.

The bear case & risks

  • KIOCL's P/E of 1437.0x is lower than 1% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • A steep 13.7× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.
  • KIOCL's return on equity of 1.0% ranks in the 14th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • High historical volatility (57%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹98.

KIOCL volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.5 years KIOCL compounded at 38%/year with annualized volatility of 57%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹182-₹777, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

KIOCL price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.5 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
4.0%
80% range₹182-₹777
P(price ↑)47%
P(price 2×)10%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
11.4%
80% range₹98-₹1,224
P(price ↑)45%
P(price 2×)20%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
18.3%
80% range₹62-₹1,655
P(price ↑)44%
P(price 2×)24%

KIOCL price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
KIOCL simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds KIOCL hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the KIOCL price target & forecast page.

KIOCL Piotroski F-Score: 4/8, how financially strong is it?

4/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. KIOCL scores 4/8, mixed financial health.

KIOCL MTF margin & leverage across 9 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy KIOCL with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 9 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
ZerodhaCHEAPEST40.33%2.5×
Groww40.58%2.5×
DhanCHEAPEST40.33%2.5×
Kotak Neo100.00%1.0×
Paytm Money40.58%2.5×
Pocketful40.85%2.4×
Fyers41.67%2.4×
Anand RathiCHEAPEST40.33%2.5×
Share India40.58%2.5×

Compare every broker on the KIOCL MTF page.

About Kiocl Limited: sector, index & market-cap context

Kiocl Limited (KIOCL) is a mid-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹23,809 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the KIOCL Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Kiocl Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

KIOCL analysis, FAQs

Is Kiocl Limited (KIOCL) a good buy?

On the numbers, Kiocl Limited (KIOCL) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 28/100, weighing expensive at 1437.0× earnings, ROE of 1.0%, a 47% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is KIOCL overvalued or undervalued?

KIOCL trades at 1437.0× earnings, expensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the KIOCL share price target for 2031?

KIOCL's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹320, with an 80% range of ₹62-₹1,655 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability KIOCL doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of KIOCL reaching ₹784 (2×) within 5 years is 24%.

What is the bull case for KIOCL?

Kiocl Limited is part of the nifty200 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.

What are the risks in KIOCL?

KIOCL's P/E of 1437.0x is lower than 1% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. A steep 13.7× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books. KIOCL's return on equity of 1.0% ranks in the 14th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

More on KIOCL