KIRLFER
Kirloskar Ferrous Industries Ltd.
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Kirloskar Ferrous Industries Ltd. (KIRLFER) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is KIRLFER a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Kirloskar Ferrous Industries Ltd. (KIRLFER) trades at ₹440,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 57/100.
On the numbers, Kirloskar Ferrous Industries Ltd. (KIRLFER) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 57/100, weighing fairly valued at 18.8× earnings, ROE of 14.5%, a 57% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
KIRLFER fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
How KIRLFER ranks against the 2,374 companies in our screener
- KIRLFER's market cap of 7,256 Cr ranks in the 71st percentile of the 2,374 NSE companies in our screener, as of 10 Aug 2026.
- KIRLFER's book value of ₹234 ranks in the 75th percentile of the 2,374 NSE companies in our screener, as of 10 Aug 2026.
- KIRLFER's promoter holding of 50.8% ranks in the 32nd percentile of the 2,374 NSE companies in our screener, as of 10 Aug 2026.
- KIRLFER's 3-year profit (PAT) growth of 7.0% ranks in the 38th percentile of the 2,374 NSE companies in our screener, as of 10 Aug 2026.
- KIRLFER's 3-year revenue growth of 2.0% ranks in the 27th percentile of the 2,374 NSE companies in our screener, as of 10 Aug 2026.
- KIRLFER's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.27x is lower than 55% of the 2,374 NSE companies in our screener, as of 10 Aug 2026.
Is KIRLFER overvalued? KIRLFER P/E vs peers
KIRLFER trades at 18.8× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.
KIRLFER share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of KIRLFER history (17%/yr drift, 35%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KIRLFER 2027 | ₹303 | ₹474 | ₹741 | +7% |
| KIRLFER 2028 | ₹267 | ₹505 | ₹957 | +13% |
| KIRLFER 2029 | ₹250 | ₹538 | ₹1,159 | +21% |
| KIRLFER 2030 | ₹240 | ₹573 | ₹1,371 | +29% |
| KIRLFER 2031 | ₹233 | ₹610 | ₹1,602 | +37% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability KIRLFER goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for KIRLFER
- KIRLFER's P/E of 18.8x is lower than 65% of the 2,374 NSE companies in our screener, as of 10 Aug 2026.
- KIRLFER's return on equity of 14.5% ranks in the 69th percentile of the 2,374 NSE companies in our screener, as of 10 Aug 2026.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹1,159.
The bear case & risks
- No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹250.
KIRLFER volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 9.8 years KIRLFER compounded at 17%/year with annualized volatility of 35%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹303-₹741, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
KIRLFER price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
KIRLFER price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds KIRLFER hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the KIRLFER price target & forecast page.
KIRLFER Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. KIRLFER scores 6/8, mixed financial health.
KIRLFER MTF margin & leverage across 9 brokers
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy KIRLFER with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 9 brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 35.00% | 2.9× |
| Zerodha | 50.00% | 2.0× |
| Groww | 32.20% | 3.1× |
| Dhan | 50.00% | 2.0× |
| Kotak Neo | 100.00% | 1.0× |
| Paytm Money | 32.40% | 3.1× |
| Pocketful | 50.00% | 2.0× |
| Anand RathiCHEAPEST | 32.16% | 3.1× |
| Share IndiaCHEAPEST | 32.16% | 3.1× |
Compare every broker on the KIRLFER MTF page.
About Kirloskar Ferrous Industries Ltd.: sector, index & market-cap context
Kirloskar Ferrous Industries Ltd. (KIRLFER) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹7,256 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.
How the KIRLFER Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Kirloskar Ferrous Industries Ltd.'s public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
KIRLFER analysis, FAQs
Is Kirloskar Ferrous Industries Ltd. (KIRLFER) a good buy?
On the numbers, Kirloskar Ferrous Industries Ltd. (KIRLFER) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 57/100, weighing fairly valued at 18.8× earnings, ROE of 14.5%, a 57% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is KIRLFER overvalued or undervalued?
KIRLFER trades at 18.8× earnings, fairly valued versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.
What is the KIRLFER share price target for 2031?
KIRLFER's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹610, with an 80% range of ₹233-₹1,602 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability KIRLFER doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of KIRLFER reaching ₹890 (2×) within 5 years is 31%.
What is the bull case for KIRLFER?
KIRLFER's P/E of 18.8x is lower than 65% of the 2,374 NSE companies in our screener, as of 10 Aug 2026. KIRLFER's return on equity of 14.5% ranks in the 69th percentile of the 2,374 NSE companies in our screener, as of 10 Aug 2026.
What are the risks in KIRLFER?
No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.