Case study

KIRLOSIND

Kirloskar Industries

Tread carefully1y model -28.7%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

0Score

Kirloskar Industries (KIRLOSIND) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is KIRLOSIND a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 44/100.

On the numbers, Kirloskar Industries (KIRLOSIND) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 44/100, weighing a 19% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 20272031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

KIRLOSIND share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of KIRLOSIND history (-26%/yr drift, 40%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
KIRLOSIND 2027₹1,612₹2,674₹4,442-29%
KIRLOSIND 2028₹932₹1,897₹3,969-49%
KIRLOSIND 2029₹558₹1,358₹3,338-64%
KIRLOSIND 2030₹345₹971₹2,742-74%
KIRLOSIND 2031₹226₹690₹2,191-82%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability KIRLOSIND goes up, or doubles?

19%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
3%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
0%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹7,500 within 5 years

The bull case for KIRLOSIND

  • Kirloskar Industries is part of the NSE universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹3,338.

The bear case & risks

  • The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 19% chance of finishing above today's price.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹558.

KIRLOSIND volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 2.0 years KIRLOSIND compounded at -26%/year with annualized volatility of 40%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹1,612₹4,442, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

KIRLOSIND price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 2.0 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
28.7%
80% range₹1,612–₹4,442
P(price ↑)19%
P(price 2×)0%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
63.8%
80% range₹558–₹3,338
P(price ↑)7%
P(price 2×)1%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
81.6%
80% range₹226–₹2,191
P(price ↑)3%
P(price 2×)0%

KIRLOSIND price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
KIRLOSIND simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10–P90 (80%)P25–P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds KIRLOSIND hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the KIRLOSIND price target & forecast page.

KIRLOSIND MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy KIRLOSIND with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
UpstoxCHEAPEST35.0%2.9×
Zerodha50.0%2.0×
Groww35.0%2.9×
Dhan40.0%2.5×

Compare every broker on the KIRLOSIND MTF page.

KIRLOSIND vs peers,sector comparison

StockP/EDiv yieldMarket cap
KIRLOSIND (this stock)
RELIANCE23.1×0.45%₹17.95L Cr
TCS14.7×3.01%₹7.69L Cr
HDFCBANK15.9×1.65%₹12.11L Cr
INFY14.4×4.51%₹4.32L Cr
ICICIBANK17.9×0.81%₹9.70L Cr
SBIN11.5×1.67%₹9.61L Cr

About Kirloskar Industries: sector, index & market-cap context

Kirloskar Industries (KIRLOSIND) is an NSE-listed company.

How the KIRLOSIND Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Kirloskar Industries's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

KIRLOSIND analysis, FAQs

Is Kirloskar Industries (KIRLOSIND) a good buy?

On the numbers, Kirloskar Industries (KIRLOSIND) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 44/100, weighing a 19% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is KIRLOSIND overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation ratios for KIRLOSIND are tracked live on Downstox.

What is the KIRLOSIND share price target for 2031?

KIRLOSIND's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹690, with an 80% range of ₹226₹2,191 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability KIRLOSIND doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of KIRLOSIND reaching ₹7,500 (2×) within 5 years is 0%.

What is the bull case for KIRLOSIND?

Kirloskar Industries is part of the NSE universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.

What are the risks in KIRLOSIND?

The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 19% chance of finishing above today's price.

More on KIRLOSIND