Case study

KIRLOSIND

Kirloskar Industries Limited

Worth a closer look1y model +3.9%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

57Score

Kirloskar Industries Limited (KIRLOSIND) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is KIRLOSIND a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Kirloskar Industries Limited (KIRLOSIND) trades at ₹3,760,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 57/100.

On the numbers, Kirloskar Industries Limited (KIRLOSIND) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 57/100, weighing inexpensive at 12.9× earnings, ROE of 3.8%, a 54% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

KIRLOSIND fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹3,951 Cr
Current price
₹3,760
P/E ratio
12.9×
P/B ratio
0.63×
Book value
₹5,947
Dividend yield
0.35%
ROCE
7.0%
ROE
3.8%
Piotroski F-Score
6/8

How KIRLOSIND ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is KIRLOSIND overvalued? KIRLOSIND P/E vs peers

KIRLOSIND trades at 12.9× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

KIRLOSIND share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of KIRLOSIND history (16%/yr drift, 41%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
KIRLOSIND 2027₹2,310₹3,908₹6,610+4%
KIRLOSIND 2028₹1,918₹4,062₹8,603+8%
KIRLOSIND 2029₹1,720₹4,223₹10,366+12%
KIRLOSIND 2030₹1,539₹4,389₹12,518+17%
KIRLOSIND 2031₹1,416₹4,563₹14,699+21%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability KIRLOSIND goes up, or doubles?

54%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
59%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
30%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹7,519 within 5 years

The bull case for KIRLOSIND

  • KIRLOSIND's P/E of 12.9x is lower than 80% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Low price-to-book of 0.63×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹10,366.

The bear case & risks

  • KIRLOSIND's return on equity of 3.8% ranks in the 25th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹1,720.

KIRLOSIND volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years KIRLOSIND compounded at 16%/year with annualized volatility of 41%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹2,310-₹6,610, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

KIRLOSIND price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
3.9%
80% range₹2,310-₹6,610
P(price ↑)54%
P(price 2×)6%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
12.3%
80% range₹1,720-₹10,366
P(price ↑)57%
P(price 2×)21%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
21.4%
80% range₹1,416-₹14,699
P(price ↑)59%
P(price 2×)30%

KIRLOSIND price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
KIRLOSIND simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds KIRLOSIND hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the KIRLOSIND price target & forecast page.

KIRLOSIND Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?

6/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. KIRLOSIND scores 6/8, mixed financial health.

KIRLOSIND MTF margin & leverage across 11 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy KIRLOSIND with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 11 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox35.52%2.8×
Zerodha50.00%2.0×
Groww35.62%2.8×
Dhan40.00%2.5×
Kotak Neo100.00%1.0×
Paytm Money36.04%2.8×
Pocketful50.00%2.0×
Fyers35.71%2.8×
Anand RathiCHEAPEST35.47%2.8×
Bajaj Broking37.00%2.7×
Share India35.57%2.8×

Compare every broker on the KIRLOSIND MTF page.

About Kirloskar Industries Limited: sector, index & market-cap context

Kirloskar Industries Limited (KIRLOSIND) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹3,951 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the KIRLOSIND Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Kirloskar Industries Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

KIRLOSIND analysis, FAQs

Is Kirloskar Industries Limited (KIRLOSIND) a good buy?

On the numbers, Kirloskar Industries Limited (KIRLOSIND) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 57/100, weighing inexpensive at 12.9× earnings, ROE of 3.8%, a 54% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is KIRLOSIND overvalued or undervalued?

KIRLOSIND trades at 12.9× earnings, inexpensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the KIRLOSIND share price target for 2031?

KIRLOSIND's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹4,563, with an 80% range of ₹1,416-₹14,699 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability KIRLOSIND doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of KIRLOSIND reaching ₹7,519 (2×) within 5 years is 30%.

What is the bull case for KIRLOSIND?

KIRLOSIND's P/E of 12.9x is lower than 80% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. Low price-to-book of 0.63×, the market is paying little over the company's net assets.

What are the risks in KIRLOSIND?

KIRLOSIND's return on equity of 3.8% ranks in the 25th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

More on KIRLOSIND