Case study

KKCL

Kewal Kiran Clothing

Worth a closer look1y model -21.8%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

0Score

Kewal Kiran Clothing (KKCL) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is KKCL a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Kewal Kiran Clothing (KKCL) trades at ₹497,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 55/100.

On the numbers, Kewal Kiran Clothing (KKCL) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 55/100, weighing fairly valued at 21.6× earnings, ROE of 16.1%, a 22% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 20272031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

KKCL fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹3,070 Cr
Current price
₹497
P/E ratio
21.6×
P/B ratio
3.27×
Book value
₹152
Dividend yield
0.80%
ROCE
18.1%
ROE
16.1%
Piotroski F-Score
4/9

Is KKCL overvalued? KKCL P/E vs its sector

KKCL's P/E of 21.6× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 0.80% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.65%.

KKCL P/E
21.6×
Peer median P/E
15.9×
KKCL div yield
0.80%
Peer median yield
1.65%

KKCL share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of KKCL history (-20%/yr drift, 32%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
KKCL 2027₹255₹386₹586-22%
KKCL 2028₹171₹305₹541-38%
KKCL 2029₹117₹236₹476-52%
KKCL 2030₹81₹187₹418-62%
KKCL 2031₹57₹144₹356-71%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability KKCL goes up, or doubles?

22%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
4%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
0%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹987 within 5 years

The bull case for KKCL

  • A 21.6× P/E sits in the fair-value band, neither cheap nor stretched.
  • A healthy 16.1% return on equity.
  • Strong ROCE (18.1%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹476.

The bear case & risks

  • The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 22% chance of finishing above today's price.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹117.

KKCL volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 2.0 years KKCL compounded at -20%/year with annualized volatility of 32%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹255₹586, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

KKCL price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 2.0 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
21.8%
80% range₹255–₹586
P(price ↑)22%
P(price 2×)0%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
52.1%
80% range₹117–₹476
P(price ↑)9%
P(price 2×)0%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
70.8%
80% range₹57–₹356
P(price ↑)4%
P(price 2×)0%

KKCL price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
KKCL simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10–P90 (80%)P25–P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds KKCL hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the KKCL price target & forecast page.

KKCL Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?

4/9

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. KKCL scores 4/9,mixed financial health.

KKCL MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy KKCL with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
UpstoxCHEAPEST35.0%2.9×
Zerodha50.0%2.0×
Dhan40.0%2.5×

Compare every broker on the KKCL MTF page.

KKCL vs peers,sector comparison

StockP/EDiv yieldMarket cap
KKCL (this stock)21.6×0.80%₹3,070 Cr
RELIANCE23.1×0.45%₹17.95L Cr
TCS14.7×3.01%₹7.69L Cr
HDFCBANK15.9×1.65%₹12.11L Cr
INFY14.4×4.51%₹4.32L Cr
ICICIBANK17.9×0.81%₹9.70L Cr
SBIN11.5×1.67%₹9.61L Cr

About Kewal Kiran Clothing: sector, index & market-cap context

Kewal Kiran Clothing (KKCL) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹3,070 Cr. See more Nifty 500 stocks.

How the KKCL Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Kewal Kiran Clothing's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

KKCL analysis, FAQs

Is Kewal Kiran Clothing (KKCL) a good buy?

On the numbers, Kewal Kiran Clothing (KKCL) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 55/100, weighing fairly valued at 21.6× earnings, ROE of 16.1%, a 22% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is KKCL overvalued or undervalued?

KKCL trades at 21.6× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.

What is the KKCL share price target for 2031?

KKCL's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹144, with an 80% range of ₹57₹356 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability KKCL doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of KKCL reaching ₹987 (2×) within 5 years is 0%.

What is the bull case for KKCL?

A 21.6× P/E sits in the fair-value band, neither cheap nor stretched. A healthy 16.1% return on equity. Strong ROCE (18.1%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.

What are the risks in KKCL?

The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 22% chance of finishing above today's price.

More on KKCL