Case study

KOKUYOCMLN

KOKUYOCMLN

High-risk on the numbers1y model -30.3%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

0Score

KOKUYOCMLN (KOKUYOCMLN) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is KOKUYOCMLN a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

KOKUYOCMLN (KOKUYOCMLN) trades at ₹91,on the numbers it high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 27/100.

On the numbers, KOKUYOCMLN (KOKUYOCMLN) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 27/100, weighing expensive at 60.5× earnings, ROE of 6.2%, a 17% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 20272031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

KOKUYOCMLN fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹917 Cr
Current price
₹91
P/E ratio
60.5×
P/B ratio
3.69×
Book value
₹25
Dividend yield
0.33%
ROCE
8.6%
ROE
6.2%
Piotroski F-Score
4/9

Is KOKUYOCMLN overvalued? KOKUYOCMLN P/E vs its sector

KOKUYOCMLN's P/E of 60.5× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 0.33% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.65%.

KOKUYOCMLN P/E
60.5×
Peer median P/E
15.9×
KOKUYOCMLN div yield
0.33%
Peer median yield
1.65%

KOKUYOCMLN share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of KOKUYOCMLN history (-29%/yr drift, 37%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
KOKUYOCMLN 2027₹38₹61₹98-30%
KOKUYOCMLN 2028₹22₹43₹84-51%
KOKUYOCMLN 2029₹13₹30₹69-66%
KOKUYOCMLN 2030₹8₹21₹54-76%
KOKUYOCMLN 2031₹5₹15₹43-83%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability KOKUYOCMLN goes up, or doubles?

17%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
2%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
0%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹174 within 5 years

The bull case for KOKUYOCMLN

  • KOKUYOCMLN is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹69.

The bear case & risks

  • A rich 60.5× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows.
  • Return on equity is a soft 6.2%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers.
  • The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 17% chance of finishing above today's price.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹13.

KOKUYOCMLN volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 2.0 years KOKUYOCMLN compounded at -29%/year with annualized volatility of 37%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹38₹98, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

KOKUYOCMLN price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 2.0 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
30.3%
80% range₹38–₹98
P(price ↑)17%
P(price 2×)0%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
65.8%
80% range₹13–₹69
P(price ↑)5%
P(price 2×)1%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
83.1%
80% range₹5–₹43
P(price ↑)2%
P(price 2×)0%

KOKUYOCMLN price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
KOKUYOCMLN simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10–P90 (80%)P25–P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds KOKUYOCMLN hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the KOKUYOCMLN price target & forecast page.

KOKUYOCMLN Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?

4/9

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. KOKUYOCMLN scores 4/9,mixed financial health.

KOKUYOCMLN MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy KOKUYOCMLN with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
DhanCHEAPEST50.0%2.0×

Compare every broker on the KOKUYOCMLN MTF page.

KOKUYOCMLN vs peers,sector comparison

StockP/EDiv yieldMarket cap
KOKUYOCMLN (this stock)60.5×0.33%₹917 Cr
RELIANCE23.1×0.45%₹17.95L Cr
TCS14.7×3.01%₹7.69L Cr
HDFCBANK15.9×1.65%₹12.11L Cr
INFY14.4×4.51%₹4.32L Cr
ICICIBANK17.9×0.81%₹9.70L Cr
SBIN11.5×1.67%₹9.61L Cr

About KOKUYOCMLN: sector, index & market-cap context

KOKUYOCMLN (KOKUYOCMLN) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹917 Cr. See more Nifty 500 stocks.

How the KOKUYOCMLN Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of KOKUYOCMLN's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

KOKUYOCMLN analysis, FAQs

Is KOKUYOCMLN (KOKUYOCMLN) a good buy?

On the numbers, KOKUYOCMLN (KOKUYOCMLN) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 27/100, weighing expensive at 60.5× earnings, ROE of 6.2%, a 17% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is KOKUYOCMLN overvalued or undervalued?

KOKUYOCMLN trades at 60.5× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.

What is the KOKUYOCMLN share price target for 2031?

KOKUYOCMLN's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹15, with an 80% range of ₹5₹43 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability KOKUYOCMLN doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of KOKUYOCMLN reaching ₹174 (2×) within 5 years is 0%.

What is the bull case for KOKUYOCMLN?

KOKUYOCMLN is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.

What are the risks in KOKUYOCMLN?

A rich 60.5× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows. Return on equity is a soft 6.2%, capital efficiency trails higher-quality peers. The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 17% chance of finishing above today's price.

More on KOKUYOCMLN