Case study

KOLTEPATIL

Kolte - Patil Developers Limited

Tread carefully1y model +4.5%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

30Score

Kolte - Patil Developers Limited (KOLTEPATIL) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is KOLTEPATIL a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Kolte - Patil Developers Limited (KOLTEPATIL) trades at ₹445,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 30/100.

On the numbers, Kolte - Patil Developers Limited (KOLTEPATIL) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 30/100, weighing expensive at 136.0× earnings, ROE of -4.4%, a 55% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

KOLTEPATIL fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹3,947 Cr
Current price
₹445
P/E ratio
136.0×
P/B ratio
3.27×
Book value
₹136
ROCE
-0.3%
ROE
-4.4%
Piotroski F-Score
1/8

How KOLTEPATIL ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is KOLTEPATIL overvalued? KOLTEPATIL P/E vs peers

KOLTEPATIL trades at 136.0× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

KOLTEPATIL share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of KOLTEPATIL history (12%/yr drift, 35%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
KOLTEPATIL 2027₹293₹465₹739+4%
KOLTEPATIL 2028₹252₹486₹936+9%
KOLTEPATIL 2029₹231₹508₹1,115+14%
KOLTEPATIL 2030₹215₹531₹1,310+19%
KOLTEPATIL 2031₹200₹555₹1,538+25%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability KOLTEPATIL goes up, or doubles?

55%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
62%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
27%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹890 within 5 years

The bull case for KOLTEPATIL

  • Kolte - Patil Developers Limited is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹1,115.

The bear case & risks

  • KOLTEPATIL's P/E of 136.0x is lower than 8% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • KOLTEPATIL's Piotroski F-Score of 1/8 ranks in the bottom 1% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹231.

KOLTEPATIL volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years KOLTEPATIL compounded at 12%/year with annualized volatility of 35%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹293-₹739, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

KOLTEPATIL price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
4.5%
80% range₹293-₹739
P(price ↑)55%
P(price 2×)3%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
14.1%
80% range₹231-₹1,115
P(price ↑)59%
P(price 2×)18%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
24.6%
80% range₹200-₹1,538
P(price ↑)62%
P(price 2×)27%

KOLTEPATIL price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
KOLTEPATIL simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds KOLTEPATIL hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the KOLTEPATIL price target & forecast page.

KOLTEPATIL Piotroski F-Score: 1/8, how financially strong is it?

1/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. KOLTEPATIL scores 1/8, weak on the financial-strength checks.

KOLTEPATIL MTF margin & leverage across 10 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy KOLTEPATIL with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 10 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox35.00%2.9×
Zerodha31.66%3.2×
Groww31.60%3.2×
Dhan40.00%2.5×
Kotak Neo40.00%2.5×
Paytm Money31.60%3.2×
Pocketful31.26%3.2×
Anand Rathi31.66%3.2×
Bajaj Broking38.00%2.6×
Share IndiaCHEAPEST31.03%3.2×

Compare every broker on the KOLTEPATIL MTF page.

About Kolte - Patil Developers Limited: sector, index & market-cap context

Kolte - Patil Developers Limited (KOLTEPATIL) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹3,947 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the KOLTEPATIL Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Kolte - Patil Developers Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

KOLTEPATIL analysis, FAQs

Is Kolte - Patil Developers Limited (KOLTEPATIL) a good buy?

On the numbers, Kolte - Patil Developers Limited (KOLTEPATIL) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 30/100, weighing expensive at 136.0× earnings, ROE of -4.4%, a 55% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is KOLTEPATIL overvalued or undervalued?

KOLTEPATIL trades at 136.0× earnings, expensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the KOLTEPATIL share price target for 2031?

KOLTEPATIL's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹555, with an 80% range of ₹200-₹1,538 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability KOLTEPATIL doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of KOLTEPATIL reaching ₹890 (2×) within 5 years is 27%.

What is the bull case for KOLTEPATIL?

Kolte - Patil Developers Limited is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.

What are the risks in KOLTEPATIL?

KOLTEPATIL's P/E of 136.0x is lower than 8% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. KOLTEPATIL's Piotroski F-Score of 1/8 ranks in the bottom 1% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

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