Case study

KOLTEPATIL

Kolte Patil Developers

High-risk on the numbers1y model -13.3%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

0Score

Kolte Patil Developers (KOLTEPATIL) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is KOLTEPATIL a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Kolte Patil Developers (KOLTEPATIL) trades at ₹377,on the numbers it high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 24/100.

On the numbers, Kolte Patil Developers (KOLTEPATIL) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 24/100, weighing expensive at 136.0× earnings, ROE of -3.8%, a 34% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 20272031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

KOLTEPATIL fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹3,352 Cr
Current price
₹377
P/E ratio
136.0×
P/B ratio
2.77×
Book value
₹136
ROCE
-0.1%
ROE
-3.8%
Piotroski F-Score
1/9

Is KOLTEPATIL overvalued? KOLTEPATIL P/E vs its sector

KOLTEPATIL's P/E of 136.0× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers.

KOLTEPATIL P/E
136.0×
Peer median P/E
15.9×
Peer median yield
1.66%

KOLTEPATIL share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of KOLTEPATIL history (-9%/yr drift, 35%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
KOLTEPATIL 2027₹210₹328₹514-13%
KOLTEPATIL 2028₹147₹282₹539-25%
KOLTEPATIL 2029₹111₹243₹533-36%
KOLTEPATIL 2030₹85₹210₹516-45%
KOLTEPATIL 2031₹66₹181₹497-52%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability KOLTEPATIL goes up, or doubles?

34%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
18%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
4%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹756 within 5 years

The bull case for KOLTEPATIL

  • Kolte Patil Developers is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹533.

The bear case & risks

  • A rich 136.0× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows.
  • A low Piotroski F-Score of 1/9 flags weaker financial health this cycle, worth understanding why before committing.
  • The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 34% chance of finishing above today's price.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹111.

KOLTEPATIL volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 2.0 years KOLTEPATIL compounded at -9%/year with annualized volatility of 35%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹210₹514, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

KOLTEPATIL price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 2.0 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
13.3%
80% range₹210–₹514
P(price ↑)34%
P(price 2×)1%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
35.8%
80% range₹111–₹533
P(price ↑)23%
P(price 2×)3%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
52.1%
80% range₹66–₹497
P(price ↑)18%
P(price 2×)4%

KOLTEPATIL price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
KOLTEPATIL simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10–P90 (80%)P25–P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds KOLTEPATIL hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the KOLTEPATIL price target & forecast page.

KOLTEPATIL Piotroski F-Score: 1/9, how financially strong is it?

1/9

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. KOLTEPATIL scores 1/9,weak on the financial-strength checks.

KOLTEPATIL MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy KOLTEPATIL with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox35.0%2.9×
ZerodhaCHEAPEST31.4%3.2×
Dhan40.0%2.5×

Compare every broker on the KOLTEPATIL MTF page.

KOLTEPATIL vs peers,sector comparison

StockP/EDiv yieldMarket cap
KOLTEPATIL (this stock)136.0×₹3,352 Cr
RELIANCE23.1×0.45%₹17.95L Cr
TCS14.7×3.01%₹7.69L Cr
HDFCBANK15.9×1.65%₹12.11L Cr
INFY14.4×4.51%₹4.32L Cr
ICICIBANK17.9×0.81%₹9.70L Cr
SBIN11.5×1.67%₹9.61L Cr

About Kolte Patil Developers: sector, index & market-cap context

Kolte Patil Developers (KOLTEPATIL) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹3,352 Cr. See more Nifty 500 stocks.

How the KOLTEPATIL Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Kolte Patil Developers's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

KOLTEPATIL analysis, FAQs

Is Kolte Patil Developers (KOLTEPATIL) a good buy?

On the numbers, Kolte Patil Developers (KOLTEPATIL) high-risk on the numbers, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 24/100, weighing expensive at 136.0× earnings, ROE of -3.8%, a 34% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is KOLTEPATIL overvalued or undervalued?

KOLTEPATIL trades at 136.0× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.

What is the KOLTEPATIL share price target for 2031?

KOLTEPATIL's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹181, with an 80% range of ₹66₹497 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability KOLTEPATIL doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of KOLTEPATIL reaching ₹756 (2×) within 5 years is 4%.

What is the bull case for KOLTEPATIL?

Kolte Patil Developers is part of the nifty500 universe with live, tracked fundamentals on Downstox.

What are the risks in KOLTEPATIL?

A rich 136.0× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows. A low Piotroski F-Score of 1/9 flags weaker financial health this cycle, worth understanding why before committing. The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 34% chance of finishing above today's price.

More on KOLTEPATIL