Case study

KOTHARIPET

KOTHARIPET

Tread carefully1y model -16.3%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

0Score

KOTHARIPET (KOTHARIPET) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is KOTHARIPET a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

KOTHARIPET (KOTHARIPET) trades at ₹123,on the numbers it tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 39/100.

On the numbers, KOTHARIPET (KOTHARIPET) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 39/100, weighing expensive at 76.5× earnings, ROE of 14.2%, a 35% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 20272031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

KOTHARIPET fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹724 Cr
Current price
₹123
P/E ratio
76.5×
P/B ratio
10.60×
Book value
₹12
Dividend yield
0.81%
ROCE
18.0%
ROE
14.2%
Piotroski F-Score
4/9

Is KOTHARIPET overvalued? KOTHARIPET P/E vs its sector

KOTHARIPET's P/E of 76.5× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 0.81% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.65%.

KOTHARIPET P/E
76.5×
Peer median P/E
15.9×
KOTHARIPET div yield
0.81%
Peer median yield
1.65%

KOTHARIPET share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of KOTHARIPET history (-7%/yr drift, 45%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
KOTHARIPET 2027₹57₹103₹182-16%
KOTHARIPET 2028₹38₹86₹194-30%
KOTHARIPET 2029₹27₹72₹195-41%
KOTHARIPET 2030₹19₹60₹190-51%
KOTHARIPET 2031₹14₹51₹181-59%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability KOTHARIPET goes up, or doubles?

35%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
19%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
5%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹245 within 5 years

The bull case for KOTHARIPET

  • A healthy 14.2% return on equity.
  • Strong ROCE (18.0%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹195.

The bear case & risks

  • A rich 76.5× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows.
  • A steep 10.6× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.
  • The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 35% chance of finishing above today's price.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹27.

KOTHARIPET volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 2.0 years KOTHARIPET compounded at -7%/year with annualized volatility of 45%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹57₹182, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

KOTHARIPET price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 2.0 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
16.3%
80% range₹57–₹182
P(price ↑)35%
P(price 2×)3%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
41.0%
80% range₹27–₹195
P(price ↑)25%
P(price 2×)6%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
58.8%
80% range₹14–₹181
P(price ↑)19%
P(price 2×)5%

KOTHARIPET price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
KOTHARIPET simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10–P90 (80%)P25–P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds KOTHARIPET hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the KOTHARIPET price target & forecast page.

KOTHARIPET Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?

4/9

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. KOTHARIPET scores 4/9,mixed financial health.

KOTHARIPET MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy KOTHARIPET with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
ZerodhaCHEAPEST50.0%2.0×

Compare every broker on the KOTHARIPET MTF page.

KOTHARIPET vs peers,sector comparison

StockP/EDiv yieldMarket cap
KOTHARIPET (this stock)76.5×0.81%₹724 Cr
RELIANCE23.1×0.45%₹17.95L Cr
TCS14.7×3.01%₹7.69L Cr
HDFCBANK15.9×1.65%₹12.11L Cr
INFY14.4×4.51%₹4.32L Cr
ICICIBANK17.9×0.81%₹9.70L Cr
SBIN11.5×1.67%₹9.61L Cr

About KOTHARIPET: sector, index & market-cap context

KOTHARIPET (KOTHARIPET) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹724 Cr. See more Nifty 500 stocks.

How the KOTHARIPET Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of KOTHARIPET's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

KOTHARIPET analysis, FAQs

Is KOTHARIPET (KOTHARIPET) a good buy?

On the numbers, KOTHARIPET (KOTHARIPET) tread carefully, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 39/100, weighing expensive at 76.5× earnings, ROE of 14.2%, a 35% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is KOTHARIPET overvalued or undervalued?

KOTHARIPET trades at 76.5× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.

What is the KOTHARIPET share price target for 2031?

KOTHARIPET's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹51, with an 80% range of ₹14₹181 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability KOTHARIPET doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of KOTHARIPET reaching ₹245 (2×) within 5 years is 5%.

What is the bull case for KOTHARIPET?

A healthy 14.2% return on equity. Strong ROCE (18.0%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.

What are the risks in KOTHARIPET?

A rich 76.5× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows. A steep 10.6× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books. The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 35% chance of finishing above today's price.

More on KOTHARIPET