KOTHARIPET
Kothari Petrochem Ltd
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Kothari Petrochem Ltd (KOTHARIPET) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is KOTHARIPET a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Kothari Petrochem Ltd (KOTHARIPET) trades at ₹150,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 45/100.
On the numbers, Kothari Petrochem Ltd (KOTHARIPET) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 45/100, weighing expensive at 92.9× earnings, ROE of 14.2%, a 52% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
KOTHARIPET fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
How KOTHARIPET ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener
- KOTHARIPET's market cap of 880 Cr ranks in the 37th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- KOTHARIPET's book value of ₹12 ranks in the 13th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- KOTHARIPET's promoter holding of 72.2% ranks in the 80th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- KOTHARIPET's 3-year profit (PAT) growth of 27.0% ranks in the 66th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- KOTHARIPET's 3-year revenue growth of -4.0% ranks in the 17th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- KOTHARIPET's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.26x is lower than 56% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
Is KOTHARIPET overvalued? KOTHARIPET P/E vs peers
KOTHARIPET trades at 92.9× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.
KOTHARIPET share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of KOTHARIPET history (20%/yr drift, 44%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KOTHARIPET 2027 | ₹86 | ₹153 | ₹270 | +2% |
| KOTHARIPET 2028 | ₹68 | ₹156 | ₹357 | +4% |
| KOTHARIPET 2029 | ₹59 | ₹160 | ₹433 | +7% |
| KOTHARIPET 2030 | ₹53 | ₹163 | ₹504 | +9% |
| KOTHARIPET 2031 | ₹47 | ₹167 | ₹593 | +12% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability KOTHARIPET goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for KOTHARIPET
- KOTHARIPET's return on equity of 14.2% ranks in the 68th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- KOTHARIPET's return on capital employed of 18.0% ranks in the 75th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹433.
The bear case & risks
- KOTHARIPET's P/E of 92.9x is lower than 12% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- A steep 12.9× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹59.
KOTHARIPET volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 9.8 years KOTHARIPET compounded at 20%/year with annualized volatility of 44%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹86-₹270, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
KOTHARIPET price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
KOTHARIPET price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds KOTHARIPET hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the KOTHARIPET price target & forecast page.
KOTHARIPET Piotroski F-Score: 5/8, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. KOTHARIPET scores 5/8, mixed financial health.
KOTHARIPET MTF margin & leverage across 3 brokers
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy KOTHARIPET with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 3 brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Zerodha | 50.00% | 2.0× |
| Kotak Neo | 100.00% | 1.0× |
| Share IndiaCHEAPEST | 34.85% | 2.9× |
Compare every broker on the KOTHARIPET MTF page.
About Kothari Petrochem Ltd: sector, index & market-cap context
Kothari Petrochem Ltd (KOTHARIPET) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹880 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.
How the KOTHARIPET Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Kothari Petrochem Ltd's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
KOTHARIPET analysis, FAQs
Is Kothari Petrochem Ltd (KOTHARIPET) a good buy?
On the numbers, Kothari Petrochem Ltd (KOTHARIPET) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 45/100, weighing expensive at 92.9× earnings, ROE of 14.2%, a 52% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is KOTHARIPET overvalued or undervalued?
KOTHARIPET trades at 92.9× earnings, expensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.
What is the KOTHARIPET share price target for 2031?
KOTHARIPET's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹167, with an 80% range of ₹47-₹593 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability KOTHARIPET doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of KOTHARIPET reaching ₹299 (2×) within 5 years is 28%.
What is the bull case for KOTHARIPET?
KOTHARIPET's return on equity of 14.2% ranks in the 68th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. KOTHARIPET's return on capital employed of 18.0% ranks in the 75th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
What are the risks in KOTHARIPET?
KOTHARIPET's P/E of 92.9x is lower than 12% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. A steep 12.9× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.