Case study

KPIGREEN

KPI GREEN ENERGY LIMITED

Mixed signals1y model -24.2%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

0Score

KPI GREEN ENERGY LIMITED (KPIGREEN) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is KPIGREEN a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

KPI GREEN ENERGY LIMITED (KPIGREEN) trades at ₹411,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 46/100.

On the numbers, KPI GREEN ENERGY LIMITED (KPIGREEN) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 46/100, weighing fairly valued at 17.1× earnings, ROE of 17.4%, a 28% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 20272031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

KPIGREEN fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹8,110 Cr
Current price
₹411
P/E ratio
17.1×
P/B ratio
2.67×
Book value
₹154
Dividend yield
0.16%
ROCE
13.8%
ROE
17.4%
Piotroski F-Score
4/9

Is KPIGREEN overvalued? KPIGREEN P/E vs its sector

KPIGREEN's P/E of 17.1× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens in line with peers, while its 0.16% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.65%.

KPIGREEN P/E
17.1×
Peer median P/E
15.9×
KPIGREEN div yield
0.16%
Peer median yield
1.65%

KPIGREEN share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of KPIGREEN history (-18%/yr drift, 47%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
KPIGREEN 2027₹170₹310₹559-24%
KPIGREEN 2028₹100₹232₹539-43%
KPIGREEN 2029₹61₹172₹487-58%
KPIGREEN 2030₹40₹129₹426-69%
KPIGREEN 2031₹25₹97₹373-76%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability KPIGREEN goes up, or doubles?

28%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
8%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
2%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹818 within 5 years

The bull case for KPIGREEN

  • A 17.1× P/E sits in the fair-value band, neither cheap nor stretched.
  • A healthy 17.4% return on equity.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹487.

The bear case & risks

  • The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 28% chance of finishing above today's price.
  • High historical volatility (47%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹61.

KPIGREEN volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 2.0 years KPIGREEN compounded at -18%/year with annualized volatility of 47%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹170₹559, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

KPIGREEN price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 2.0 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
24.2%
80% range₹170–₹559
P(price ↑)28%
P(price 2×)2%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
57.9%
80% range₹61–₹487
P(price ↑)14%
P(price 2×)3%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
76.2%
80% range₹25–₹373
P(price ↑)8%
P(price 2×)2%

KPIGREEN price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
KPIGREEN simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10–P90 (80%)P25–P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds KPIGREEN hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the KPIGREEN price target & forecast page.

KPIGREEN Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?

4/9

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. KPIGREEN scores 4/9,mixed financial health.

KPIGREEN MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy KPIGREEN with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
UpstoxCHEAPEST36.6%2.7×
ZerodhaCHEAPEST36.6%2.7×
DhanCHEAPEST36.6%2.7×

Compare every broker on the KPIGREEN MTF page.

KPIGREEN vs peers,sector comparison

StockP/EDiv yieldMarket cap
KPIGREEN (this stock)17.1×0.16%₹8,110 Cr
RELIANCE23.1×0.45%₹17.95L Cr
TCS14.7×3.01%₹7.69L Cr
HDFCBANK15.9×1.65%₹12.11L Cr
INFY14.4×4.51%₹4.32L Cr
ICICIBANK17.9×0.81%₹9.70L Cr
SBIN11.5×1.67%₹9.61L Cr

About KPI GREEN ENERGY LIMITED: sector, index & market-cap context

KPI GREEN ENERGY LIMITED (KPIGREEN) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹8,110 Cr. See more Nifty 500 stocks.

How the KPIGREEN Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of KPI GREEN ENERGY LIMITED's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

KPIGREEN analysis, FAQs

Is KPI GREEN ENERGY LIMITED (KPIGREEN) a good buy?

On the numbers, KPI GREEN ENERGY LIMITED (KPIGREEN) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 46/100, weighing fairly valued at 17.1× earnings, ROE of 17.4%, a 28% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is KPIGREEN overvalued or undervalued?

KPIGREEN trades at 17.1× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.

What is the KPIGREEN share price target for 2031?

KPIGREEN's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹97, with an 80% range of ₹25₹373 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability KPIGREEN doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of KPIGREEN reaching ₹818 (2×) within 5 years is 2%.

What is the bull case for KPIGREEN?

A 17.1× P/E sits in the fair-value band, neither cheap nor stretched. A healthy 17.4% return on equity.

What are the risks in KPIGREEN?

The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 28% chance of finishing above today's price. High historical volatility (47%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.

More on KPIGREEN