Case study

KPIL

Kalpataru Projects International Limited

Worth a closer look1y model +6.8%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

61Score

Kalpataru Projects International Limited (KPIL) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is KPIL a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

Kalpataru Projects International Limited (KPIL) trades at ₹1,317,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 61/100.

On the numbers, Kalpataru Projects International Limited (KPIL) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 61/100, weighing fairly valued at 23.0× earnings, ROE of 13.7%, a 58% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

KPIL fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹22,494 Cr
Current price
₹1,317
P/E ratio
23.0×
P/B ratio
2.89×
Book value
₹455
Dividend yield
0.84%
ROCE
18.3%
ROE
13.7%
Piotroski F-Score
6/8

How KPIL ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is KPIL overvalued? KPIL P/E vs peers

KPIL trades at 23.0× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

KPIL share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of KPIL history (16%/yr drift, 34%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
KPIL 2027₹906₹1,407₹2,184+7%
KPIL 2028₹802₹1,502₹2,813+14%
KPIL 2029₹739₹1,604₹3,483+22%
KPIL 2030₹707₹1,713₹4,153+30%
KPIL 2031₹686₹1,830₹4,883+39%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability KPIL goes up, or doubles?

58%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
67%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
32%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹2,634 within 5 years

The bull case for KPIL

  • KPIL's P/E of 23.0x is lower than 57% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • KPIL's return on equity of 13.7% ranks in the 66th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • KPIL's return on capital employed of 18.3% ranks in the 76th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹3,483.

The bear case & risks

  • No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹739.

KPIL volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years KPIL compounded at 16%/year with annualized volatility of 34%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹906-₹2,184, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

KPIL price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
6.8%
80% range₹906-₹2,184
P(price ↑)58%
P(price 2×)3%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
21.8%
80% range₹739-₹3,483
P(price ↑)63%
P(price 2×)21%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
38.9%
80% range₹686-₹4,883
P(price ↑)67%
P(price 2×)32%

KPIL price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
KPIL simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds KPIL hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the KPIL price target & forecast page.

KPIL Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?

6/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. KPIL scores 6/8, mixed financial health.

KPIL MTF margin & leverage across 11 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy KPIL with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 11 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox30.59%3.3×
ZerodhaCHEAPEST30.58%3.3×
Groww30.72%3.3×
DhanCHEAPEST30.58%3.3×
Kotak NeoCHEAPEST30.58%3.3×
Paytm Money30.77%3.2×
Pocketful30.90%3.2×
Fyers31.25%3.2×
Anand RathiCHEAPEST30.58%3.3×
Bajaj Broking35.00%2.9×
Share India30.69%3.3×

Compare every broker on the KPIL MTF page.

About Kalpataru Projects International Limited: sector, index & market-cap context

Kalpataru Projects International Limited (KPIL) is a mid-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index, with a market capitalisation of ₹22,494 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the KPIL Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Kalpataru Projects International Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

KPIL analysis, FAQs

Is Kalpataru Projects International Limited (KPIL) a good buy?

On the numbers, Kalpataru Projects International Limited (KPIL) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 61/100, weighing fairly valued at 23.0× earnings, ROE of 13.7%, a 58% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is KPIL overvalued or undervalued?

KPIL trades at 23.0× earnings, fairly valued versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the KPIL share price target for 2031?

KPIL's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹1,830, with an 80% range of ₹686-₹4,883 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability KPIL doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of KPIL reaching ₹2,634 (2×) within 5 years is 32%.

What is the bull case for KPIL?

KPIL's P/E of 23.0x is lower than 57% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. KPIL's return on equity of 13.7% ranks in the 66th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. KPIL's return on capital employed of 18.3% ranks in the 76th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

What are the risks in KPIL?

No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.

More on KPIL