KPIL
Kalpataru Power Transmission
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Kalpataru Power Transmission (KPIL) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is KPIL a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Kalpataru Power Transmission (KPIL) trades at ₹1,440,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 57/100.
On the numbers, Kalpataru Power Transmission (KPIL) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 57/100, weighing fairly valued at 24.2× earnings, ROE of 14.2%, a 54% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
KPIL fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is KPIL overvalued? KPIL P/E vs its sector
KPIL's P/E of 24.2× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 0.76% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.65%.
KPIL share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of KPIL history (9%/yr drift, 35%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KPIL 2027 | ₹929 | ₹1,443 | ₹2,248 | +3% |
| KPIL 2028 | ₹795 | ₹1,487 | ₹2,767 | +6% |
| KPIL 2029 | ₹704 | ₹1,522 | ₹3,329 | +9% |
| KPIL 2030 | ₹640 | ₹1,584 | ₹3,851 | +13% |
| KPIL 2031 | ₹598 | ₹1,619 | ₹4,395 | +16% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability KPIL goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for KPIL
- A 24.2× P/E sits in the fair-value band, neither cheap nor stretched.
- A healthy 14.2% return on equity.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹3,329.
The bear case & risks
- No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹704.
KPIL volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years KPIL compounded at 9%/year with annualized volatility of 35%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹929–₹2,248, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
KPIL price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
KPIL price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds KPIL hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the KPIL price target & forecast page.
KPIL Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. KPIL scores 4/9,mixed financial health.
KPIL MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy KPIL with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| UpstoxCHEAPEST | 31.1% | 3.2× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 31.1% | 3.2× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 31.1% | 3.2× |
Compare every broker on the KPIL MTF page.
KPIL vs peers,sector comparison
About Kalpataru Power Transmission: sector, index & market-cap context
Kalpataru Power Transmission (KPIL) is a mid-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 200 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹24,598 Cr. See more Nifty 200 stocks.
How the KPIL Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Kalpataru Power Transmission's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
KPIL analysis, FAQs
Is Kalpataru Power Transmission (KPIL) a good buy?
On the numbers, Kalpataru Power Transmission (KPIL) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 57/100, weighing fairly valued at 24.2× earnings, ROE of 14.2%, a 54% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is KPIL overvalued or undervalued?
KPIL trades at 24.2× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.
What is the KPIL share price target for 2031?
KPIL's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹1,619, with an 80% range of ₹598–₹4,395 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability KPIL doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of KPIL reaching ₹2,797 (2×) within 5 years is 24%.
What is the bull case for KPIL?
A 24.2× P/E sits in the fair-value band, neither cheap nor stretched. A healthy 14.2% return on equity.
What are the risks in KPIL?
No model or past record guarantees future returns, treat this as one input, not a decision.