Case study

KPRMILL

K.P.R. Mill Limited

Mixed signals1y model +5.6%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

45Score

K.P.R. Mill Limited (KPRMILL) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is KPRMILL a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

K.P.R. Mill Limited (KPRMILL) trades at ₹1,077,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 45/100.

On the numbers, K.P.R. Mill Limited (KPRMILL) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 45/100, weighing expensive at 43.8× earnings, ROE of 15.7%, a 55% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

KPRMILL fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹36,803 Cr
Current price
₹1,077
P/E ratio
43.8×
P/B ratio
6.45×
Book value
₹167
Dividend yield
0.46%
ROCE
19.6%
ROE
15.7%
Piotroski F-Score
6/8

How KPRMILL ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is KPRMILL overvalued? KPRMILL P/E vs peers

KPRMILL trades at 43.8× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

KPRMILL share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.8y of KPRMILL history (23%/yr drift, 41%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
KPRMILL 2027₹670₹1,137₹1,931+6%
KPRMILL 2028₹572₹1,201₹2,524+12%
KPRMILL 2029₹500₹1,269₹3,222+18%
KPRMILL 2030₹451₹1,341₹3,985+25%
KPRMILL 2031₹428₹1,416₹4,684+32%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability KPRMILL goes up, or doubles?

55%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
61%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
33%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹2,153 within 5 years

The bull case for KPRMILL

  • KPRMILL's return on equity of 15.7% ranks in the 74th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • KPRMILL's return on capital employed of 19.6% ranks in the 79th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹3,222.

The bear case & risks

  • KPRMILL's P/E of 43.8x is lower than 30% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹500.

KPRMILL volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.8 years KPRMILL compounded at 23%/year with annualized volatility of 41%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹670-₹1,931, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

KPRMILL price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.8 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
5.6%
80% range₹670-₹1,931
P(price ↑)55%
P(price 2×)6%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
17.9%
80% range₹500-₹3,222
P(price ↑)59%
P(price 2×)23%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
31.5%
80% range₹428-₹4,684
P(price ↑)61%
P(price 2×)33%

KPRMILL price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
KPRMILL simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds KPRMILL hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the KPRMILL price target & forecast page.

KPRMILL Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?

6/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. KPRMILL scores 6/8, mixed financial health.

KPRMILL MTF margin & leverage across 10 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy KPRMILL with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 10 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox34.52%2.9×
ZerodhaCHEAPEST34.48%2.9×
Groww34.66%2.9×
Dhan34.48%2.9×
Kotak NeoCHEAPEST34.48%2.9×
Paytm Money34.80%2.9×
Pocketful34.90%2.9×
Anand RathiCHEAPEST34.48%2.9×
Bajaj Broking36.00%2.8×
Share India34.62%2.9×

Compare every broker on the KPRMILL MTF page.

About K.P.R. Mill Limited: sector, index & market-cap context

K.P.R. Mill Limited (KPRMILL) is a mid-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index, with a market capitalisation of ₹36,803 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the KPRMILL Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of K.P.R. Mill Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

KPRMILL analysis, FAQs

Is K.P.R. Mill Limited (KPRMILL) a good buy?

On the numbers, K.P.R. Mill Limited (KPRMILL) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 45/100, weighing expensive at 43.8× earnings, ROE of 15.7%, a 55% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is KPRMILL overvalued or undervalued?

KPRMILL trades at 43.8× earnings, expensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the KPRMILL share price target for 2031?

KPRMILL's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹1,416, with an 80% range of ₹428-₹4,684 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability KPRMILL doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of KPRMILL reaching ₹2,153 (2×) within 5 years is 33%.

What is the bull case for KPRMILL?

KPRMILL's return on equity of 15.7% ranks in the 74th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. KPRMILL's return on capital employed of 19.6% ranks in the 79th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

What are the risks in KPRMILL?

KPRMILL's P/E of 43.8x is lower than 30% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

More on KPRMILL