KPRMILL
KPR Mill
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
KPR Mill (KPRMILL) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is KPRMILL a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
KPR Mill (KPRMILL) trades at ₹1,152,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 45/100.
On the numbers, KPR Mill (KPRMILL) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 45/100, weighing expensive at 45.4× earnings, ROE of 16.2%, a 55% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
KPRMILL fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is KPRMILL overvalued? KPRMILL P/E vs its sector
KPRMILL's P/E of 45.4× sits above the sector peer median of 15.9×, so on earnings it screens richer than peers, while its 0.43% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.65%.
KPRMILL share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of KPRMILL history (13%/yr drift, 41%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KPRMILL 2027 | ₹718 | ₹1,220 | ₹2,065 | +5% |
| KPRMILL 2028 | ₹601 | ₹1,280 | ₹2,704 | +10% |
| KPRMILL 2029 | ₹542 | ₹1,357 | ₹3,387 | +17% |
| KPRMILL 2030 | ₹504 | ₹1,430 | ₹4,131 | +23% |
| KPRMILL 2031 | ₹474 | ₹1,499 | ₹4,770 | +29% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability KPRMILL goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for KPRMILL
- A healthy 16.2% return on equity.
- Strong ROCE (20.2%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹3,387.
The bear case & risks
- A rich 45.4× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹542.
KPRMILL volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years KPRMILL compounded at 13%/year with annualized volatility of 41%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹718–₹2,065, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
KPRMILL price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
KPRMILL price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds KPRMILL hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the KPRMILL price target & forecast page.
KPRMILL Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. KPRMILL scores 4/9,mixed financial health.
KPRMILL MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy KPRMILL with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| UpstoxCHEAPEST | 34.8% | 2.9× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 34.8% | 2.9× |
| DhanCHEAPEST | 34.8% | 2.9× |
Compare every broker on the KPRMILL MTF page.
KPRMILL vs peers,sector comparison
About KPR Mill: sector, index & market-cap context
KPR Mill (KPRMILL) is a mid-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 100 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹39,311 Cr. See more Nifty 100 stocks.
How the KPRMILL Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of KPR Mill's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
KPRMILL analysis, FAQs
Is KPR Mill (KPRMILL) a good buy?
On the numbers, KPR Mill (KPRMILL) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 45/100, weighing expensive at 45.4× earnings, ROE of 16.2%, a 55% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is KPRMILL overvalued or undervalued?
KPRMILL trades at 45.4× earnings versus a peer median of 15.9×, so it screens richer than its sector peers.
What is the KPRMILL share price target for 2031?
KPRMILL's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹1,499, with an 80% range of ₹474–₹4,770 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability KPRMILL doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of KPRMILL reaching ₹2,320 (2×) within 5 years is 32%.
What is the bull case for KPRMILL?
A healthy 16.2% return on equity. Strong ROCE (20.2%) shows the core business earns well above its cost of capital.
What are the risks in KPRMILL?
A rich 45.4× P/E leaves a thin margin of safety if growth slows.