Case study

KRISHANA

KRISHANA PHOSCHEM LIMITED

Worth a closer look1y model +5.1%

Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.

58Score

KRISHANA PHOSCHEM LIMITED (KRISHANA) Stock Analysis & Case Study

Is KRISHANA a good buy? The data-driven verdict.

KRISHANA PHOSCHEM LIMITED (KRISHANA) trades at ₹179,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 58/100.

On the numbers, KRISHANA PHOSCHEM LIMITED (KRISHANA) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 58/100, weighing premium at 28.1× earnings, ROE of 38.2%, a 54% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.

Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

KRISHANA fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield

Market cap
₹5,523 Cr
Current price
₹179
P/E ratio
28.1×
P/B ratio
9.89×
Book value
₹18
Dividend yield
0.06%
ROCE
27.2%
ROE
38.2%
Piotroski F-Score
5/8

How KRISHANA ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener

Is KRISHANA overvalued? KRISHANA P/E vs peers

KRISHANA trades at 28.1× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.

KRISHANA share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view

Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 9.3y of KRISHANA history (42%/yr drift, 44%/yr volatility).

YearLow (P10)Median target (P50)High (P90)Upside vs today
KRISHANA 2027₹107₹188₹331+5%
KRISHANA 2028₹89₹197₹439+10%
KRISHANA 2029₹78₹207₹552+16%
KRISHANA 2030₹69₹218₹683+22%
KRISHANA 2031₹63₹229₹836+28%

Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.

What is the probability KRISHANA goes up, or doubles?

54%
Higher in 1 year
Modelled chance the price is above today in 12 months
59%
Higher in 5 years
Modelled chance the price is above today in 5 years
33%
Doubles in 5 years
Modelled chance of reaching ₹357 within 5 years

The bull case for KRISHANA

  • KRISHANA's return on equity of 38.2% ranks in the top 3% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • KRISHANA's return on capital employed of 27.2% ranks in the 90th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹552.

The bear case & risks

  • KRISHANA's P/E of 28.1x is lower than 48% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
  • A steep 9.9× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.
  • Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹78.

KRISHANA volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?

Over the last 9.3 years KRISHANA compounded at 42%/year with annualized volatility of 44%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹107-₹331, the honest backbone behind any single price target.

KRISHANA price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan

Spot Price · Today
₹0
Based on 9.3 years of daily NSE data ·0.0% annualised volatility
5-yr median forecast
₹0
P(price ↑ in 5y)
0%
1-Year Forecast
2027
₹0
Median (P50)
5.1%
80% range₹107-₹331
P(price ↑)54%
P(price 2×)8%
3-Year Forecast
2029
₹0
Median (P50)
16.0%
80% range₹78-₹552
P(price ↑)58%
P(price 2×)24%
5-Year Forecast
2031
₹0
Median (P50)
28.1%
80% range₹63-₹836
P(price ↑)59%
P(price 2×)33%

KRISHANA price probability fan

Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.

Probability Fan
KRISHANA simulated paths · 60 months · 10,000 trials
P10-P90 (80%)P25-P75 (50%)Median (P50)

Probability of key outcomes

What are the odds KRISHANA hits common targets within the simulated horizon?

0%
P(↑ 1Y)
Above today's price in 1 year
0%
P(↑ 5Y)
Above today's price in 5 years
0%
P(2×)
Doubles within 5 years
0%
P(↓)
Falls below today in 5 years

Full multi-horizon detail on the KRISHANA price target & forecast page.

KRISHANA Piotroski F-Score: 5/8, how financially strong is it?

5/8

The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. KRISHANA scores 5/8, mixed financial health.

KRISHANA MTF margin & leverage across 7 brokers

Margin Trading Facility lets you buy KRISHANA with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 7 brokers (no competitor publishes this):

BrokerMargin requiredApprox. leverage
Upstox36.92%2.7×
ZerodhaCHEAPEST36.87%2.7×
Dhan40.00%2.5×
Kotak Neo40.00%2.5×
Paytm Money37.15%2.7×
Anand RathiCHEAPEST36.87%2.7×
Share India37.07%2.7×

Compare every broker on the KRISHANA MTF page.

About KRISHANA PHOSCHEM LIMITED: sector, index & market-cap context

KRISHANA PHOSCHEM LIMITED (KRISHANA) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹5,523 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.

How the KRISHANA Snapshot Score & forecast are built

The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of KRISHANA PHOSCHEM LIMITED's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.

This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.

KRISHANA analysis, FAQs

Is KRISHANA PHOSCHEM LIMITED (KRISHANA) a good buy?

On the numbers, KRISHANA PHOSCHEM LIMITED (KRISHANA) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 58/100, weighing premium at 28.1× earnings, ROE of 38.2%, a 54% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.

Is KRISHANA overvalued or undervalued?

KRISHANA trades at 28.1× earnings, premium versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.

What is the KRISHANA share price target for 2031?

KRISHANA's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹229, with an 80% range of ₹63-₹836 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).

What is the probability KRISHANA doubles in 5 years?

The modelled probability of KRISHANA reaching ₹357 (2×) within 5 years is 33%.

What is the bull case for KRISHANA?

KRISHANA's return on equity of 38.2% ranks in the top 3% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. KRISHANA's return on capital employed of 27.2% ranks in the 90th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.

What are the risks in KRISHANA?

KRISHANA's P/E of 28.1x is lower than 48% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. A steep 9.9× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.

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