KRISHNADEF
Krishna Defence And Allied Industries Limited
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Krishna Defence And Allied Industries Limited (KRISHNADEF) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is KRISHNADEF a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Krishna Defence And Allied Industries Limited (KRISHNADEF) trades at ₹1,181,on the numbers it mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 47/100.
On the numbers, Krishna Defence And Allied Industries Limited (KRISHNADEF) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 47/100, weighing expensive at 42.8× earnings, ROE of 25.4%, a 49% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027-2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
KRISHNADEF fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
How KRISHNADEF ranks against the 2,373 companies in our screener
- KRISHNADEF's market cap of 1,766 Cr ranks in the 49th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- KRISHNADEF's book value of ₹130 ranks in the 60th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- KRISHNADEF's promoter holding of 59.9% ranks in the 51st percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- KRISHNADEF's 3-year profit (PAT) growth of 98.0% ranks in the 94th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- KRISHNADEF's 3-year revenue growth of 57.0% ranks in the 94th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- KRISHNADEF's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.01x is lower than 98% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
Is KRISHNADEF overvalued? KRISHNADEF P/E vs peers
KRISHNADEF trades at 42.8× earnings. We don't have a verified sector peer group for this stock yet, so no sector peer median or peer comparison table is shown here. Showing one anyway would compare it against an arbitrary set of large-cap names, not real sector peers.
KRISHNADEF share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 4.2y of KRISHNADEF history (56%/yr drift, 54%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KRISHNADEF 2027 | ₹578 | ₹1,160 | ₹2,328 | -2% |
| KRISHNADEF 2028 | ₹426 | ₹1,139 | ₹3,050 | -4% |
| KRISHNADEF 2029 | ₹337 | ₹1,119 | ₹3,721 | -5% |
| KRISHNADEF 2030 | ₹273 | ₹1,099 | ₹4,424 | -7% |
| KRISHNADEF 2031 | ₹223 | ₹1,079 | ₹5,221 | -9% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10-P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability KRISHNADEF goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for KRISHNADEF
- KRISHNADEF's return on equity of 25.4% ranks in the 90th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- KRISHNADEF's return on capital employed of 30.7% ranks in the 93rd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹3,721.
The bear case & risks
- KRISHNADEF's P/E of 42.8x is lower than 31% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
- A steep 9.1× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books.
- High historical volatility (54%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹337.
KRISHNADEF volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 4.2 years KRISHNADEF compounded at 56%/year with annualized volatility of 54%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹578-₹2,328, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
KRISHNADEF price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
KRISHNADEF price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds KRISHNADEF hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the KRISHNADEF price target & forecast page.
KRISHNADEF Piotroski F-Score: 6/8, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. Downstox scores the eight checks it can verify from published filings, so 8 is full marks. KRISHNADEF scores 6/8, mixed financial health.
KRISHNADEF MTF margin & leverage across 8 brokers
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy KRISHNADEF with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across 8 brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 35.00% | 2.9× |
| Zerodha | 34.17% | 2.9× |
| Dhan | 50.00% | 2.0× |
| Kotak Neo | 100.00% | 1.0× |
| Paytm Money | 34.38% | 2.9× |
| Pocketful | 34.19% | 2.9× |
| Anand Rathi | 34.17% | 2.9× |
| Share IndiaCHEAPEST | 34.08% | 2.9× |
Compare every broker on the KRISHNADEF MTF page.
About Krishna Defence And Allied Industries Limited: sector, index & market-cap context
Krishna Defence And Allied Industries Limited (KRISHNADEF) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, with a market capitalisation of ₹1,766 Cr. See more stocks on our screener.
How the KRISHNADEF Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Krishna Defence And Allied Industries Limited's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
KRISHNADEF analysis, FAQs
Is Krishna Defence And Allied Industries Limited (KRISHNADEF) a good buy?
On the numbers, Krishna Defence And Allied Industries Limited (KRISHNADEF) mixed signals, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 47/100, weighing expensive at 42.8× earnings, ROE of 25.4%, a 49% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is KRISHNADEF overvalued or undervalued?
KRISHNADEF trades at 42.8× earnings, expensive versus the ~22× long-run Nifty average.
What is the KRISHNADEF share price target for 2031?
KRISHNADEF's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹1,079, with an 80% range of ₹223-₹5,221 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability KRISHNADEF doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of KRISHNADEF reaching ₹2,363 (2×) within 5 years is 26%.
What is the bull case for KRISHNADEF?
KRISHNADEF's return on equity of 25.4% ranks in the 90th percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. KRISHNADEF's return on capital employed of 30.7% ranks in the 93rd percentile of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026.
What are the risks in KRISHNADEF?
KRISHNADEF's P/E of 42.8x is lower than 31% of the 2,373 NSE companies in our screener, as of 9 Aug 2026. A steep 9.1× price-to-book means most of the value is intangible/expectations, not assets on the books. High historical volatility (54%/yr) means a wide, bumpy range of outcomes, size positions accordingly.