KSL
Kalyani Steels
Each stock's 10,000-path forecast, rendered as light.
Kalyani Steels (KSL) Stock Analysis & Case Study
Is KSL a good buy? The data-driven verdict.
Kalyani Steels (KSL) trades at ₹826,on the numbers it worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 59/100.
On the numbers, Kalyani Steels (KSL) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 59/100, weighing inexpensive at 13.7× earnings, ROE of 13.2%, a 36% model probability of trading higher in a year. Below: the full bull case, bear case, sector-relative valuation, and a probability-weighted price target for 2027–2031.
Last updated . Data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
KSL fundamentals at a glance, PE, PB, ROE, ROCE, market cap, dividend yield
Is KSL overvalued? KSL P/E vs its sector
KSL's P/E of 13.7× sits below the sector peer median of 14.7×, so on earnings it screens in line with peers, while its 1.21% dividend yield is below the peer median of 1.65%.
KSL share price target 2027, 2028, 2029, 2030, 2031, a probability view
Unlike a single guessed number, this is a probability-weighted range from a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on 2.0y of KSL history (-6%/yr drift, 40%/yr volatility).
| Year | Low (P10) | Median target (P50) | High (P90) | Upside vs today |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KSL 2027 | ₹434 | ₹717 | ₹1,203 | -13% |
| KSL 2028 | ₹307 | ₹625 | ₹1,300 | -25% |
| KSL 2029 | ₹227 | ₹539 | ₹1,320 | -35% |
| KSL 2030 | ₹174 | ₹473 | ₹1,333 | -43% |
| KSL 2031 | ₹134 | ₹410 | ₹1,303 | -51% |
Median (P50) is the central estimate; the P10–P90 band is the 80% confidence range. Probabilities, not promises.
What is the probability KSL goes up, or doubles?
The bull case for KSL
- Trades at just 13.7× earnings, below the ~22× long-run Nifty average, so the valuation leaves room rather than pricing in perfection.
- A healthy 13.2% return on equity.
- Upside scenario: the model's optimistic (P90) 3-year path reaches ₹1,320.
The bear case & risks
- The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 36% chance of finishing above today's price.
- Downside scenario: the model's pessimistic (P10) 3-year path falls to ₹227.
KSL volatility & expected range, how bumpy is the ride?
Over the last 2.0 years KSL compounded at -6%/year with annualized volatility of 40%. That volatility implies a 1-year 80% range of ₹434–₹1,203, the honest backbone behind any single price target.
KSL price forecast, the full 60-month probability fan
KSL price probability fan
Each band shows where 10,000 simulated paths land. The wider the fan, the more uncertainty.
Probability of key outcomes
What are the odds KSL hits common targets within the simulated horizon?
Full multi-horizon detail on the KSL price target & forecast page.
KSL Piotroski F-Score: 4/9, how financially strong is it?
The Piotroski F-Score grades financial strength on nine profitability, leverage and efficiency checks. KSL scores 4/9,mixed financial health.
KSL MTF margin & leverage, Upstox, Zerodha, Groww, Dhan
Margin Trading Facility lets you buy KSL with part of the capital. Lower margin % = higher leverage. Rates compared across brokers (no competitor publishes this):
| Broker | Margin required | Approx. leverage |
|---|---|---|
| Upstox | 35.0% | 2.9× |
| ZerodhaCHEAPEST | 33.5% | 3.0× |
| Dhan | 40.0% | 2.5× |
Compare every broker on the KSL MTF page.
KSL vs peers,sector comparison
About Kalyani Steels: sector, index & market-cap context
Kalyani Steels (KSL) is a small-cap NSE-listed company, and a constituent of the Nifty 500 index group, with a market capitalisation of ₹3,610 Cr. See more Nifty 500 stocks.
How the KSL Snapshot Score & forecast are built
The Downstox Snapshot Score is a transparent, rules-based read of Kalyani Steels's public fundamentals plus a statistical forecast, not an analyst opinion. It rewards low-to-fair valuation, high ROE/ROCE, a strong Piotroski F-Score, a dividend, low volatility and a favourable probability of upside; it penalises rich valuations, weak capital efficiency, a low F-Score and high volatility. The price target is a 10,000-path Monte-Carlo simulation on real historical volatility, a distribution, not a single guess. The bull and bear cases are generated from the same data, so you always see both sides.
This is information, not investment advice. Do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered adviser before investing.
KSL analysis, FAQs
Is Kalyani Steels (KSL) a good buy?
On the numbers, Kalyani Steels (KSL) worth a closer look, a Downstox Snapshot Score of 59/100, weighing inexpensive at 13.7× earnings, ROE of 13.2%, a 36% model probability of trading higher in a year. This is a data snapshot for research, not investment advice.
Is KSL overvalued or undervalued?
KSL trades at 13.7× earnings versus a peer median of 14.7×, so it screens cheaper than its sector peers.
What is the KSL share price target for 2031?
KSL's probability-weighted 2031 median target is ₹410, with an 80% range of ₹134–₹1,303 (10,000-path Monte-Carlo).
What is the probability KSL doubles in 5 years?
The modelled probability of KSL reaching ₹1,659 (2×) within 5 years is 6%.
What is the bull case for KSL?
Trades at just 13.7× earnings, below the ~22× long-run Nifty average, so the valuation leaves room rather than pricing in perfection. A healthy 13.2% return on equity.
What are the risks in KSL?
The probability model is cautious 12 months out, only a 36% chance of finishing above today's price.